hawkeye_wx

Yeah, I was pretty shocked as well. All I could think is the forecast is computer generated and they didn't bother human-tweaking it. Over several days the forecast went from 105 to 101 to 99 to 96 to low 90s, and now upper 80s.

The locals and NWS should just stop forecasting anything above low 90s for us at this point. Today's forecast was mid 90s, but we aren't even getting out of the 80s. Wednesday has been wildly over-forecasted for a week. The NWS actually had 105º in my forecast for Wednesday late last week. That is a dust bowl temp, nearly impossible to achieve today. It now appears we'll be lucky to get out of the 80s again Wednesday. I see the NWS has upper 90s in the forecast, yet again, for Saturday. Low 90s is much more likely.

For the second straight night a strong storm moved through Cedar Rapids. This time I got a bit of small hail and a quick 0.46" of rain. Much of eastern Iowa got nothing both nights, but I lucked out and got hit twice.

I was one of the lucky ones tonight. Much of the area received nothing, but a cluster of strong storms moved through Cedar Rapids. I got 1" of rain and a station only a mile south got 2". It lasted quite a while and had constant lightning, but pretty quiet thunder. Right after the back edge moved through I went outside just to check the gauge, but I was treated to one of the most amazing lightning displays I've ever seen, directly above.

This morning's Euro removed ALL 90s from my forecast through ten days. There are also now four rain chances over the next week with multiple fronts moving through. 100º is certainly out of the picture Wednesday because of an earlier frontal passage.

I'd really love more storms and heavy rain, but the weather has been pretty great overall. Any surges of heat and humidity have been brief.

Unlike you, I love the lack of 90s. 80s during the day and 60s at night is perfect for me.

Timely rains had been keeping us near average precip so far this summer, but this weekend has been a fail. We only managed to get 0.21" combined, Friday and Saturday nights. With no rain in sight, I will likely finish July about 2" below average. The upcoming pattern should be very pleasant, but I sure wish a few storms could be sprinkled in, too.

Northeast Iowa really whiffed on this one. They could get some good storms tonight, though, when the LLJ kicks in.

We got teased with plenty of lightning and a constant light rumble for an hour or two, but barely any rain fell as the storms mostly passed just north.

Cedar Rapids hasn't hit 90º since July 5th. Our hottest days this week only hit 88º. We have one more chance on Saturday. The rest of the month currently looks <90º.

It appears the airport only got 0.55" as the northeast part of the metro missed out on the last round of storms. Much of the rest of the city got 1-1.5".

A cluster of storms at the tail end turned Madison's rain from meh to pretty solid.

I received a nice 0.88" of rain this morning from the back-building showers and storms. A few timely rain events this summer have, so far, held off any drought. A band of 2-4" fell from ne IA, through Dubuque, into nw IL. Dubuque has really done well over the last couple weeks after having been one of the driest locations in the region earlier in summer.

No Covid for me.

Models have trended northeast, out of my area, with the good rain Friday. The next chance won't be for another week.

The possible northern gulf low has largely disappeared from the latest global models.

The big heatwave on the GFS is gone, replaced by continued nw flow. This morning's run has Cedar Rapids touching 90º once the rest of the month.

I woke up at 6am with a line of severe storms on the doorstep, but the line collapsed as it moved into Cedar Rapids. I got some light thunder and 0.23" of rain.

A nice area of rain dropped south through east-central Iowa this morning. Much of the heavy rain went around me, but I still picked up a decent 0.83". Much of the city got 1+" and a band of 2-3" fell on the north and east sides. For the week I've received 1.43". That's a disappointing total given the pattern and other totals across eastern Iowa, but not everyone can be the big winner. There is a town ten miles southeast of Cedar Rapids that got another 3" this morning, putting them at 10" over the last two weeks.

A lousy 0.16" of rain here.

It appears 60-70 mph wind gusts hit the far north side of Cedar Rapids, but probably only 40+ here on the west side. Unfortunately, this line is all gust front and little rain.

A very clear front lies from northeast Iowa to Chicago. Models are pretty unanimously lighting up the front out ahead of the SD MCS this evening. There should be some good rain totals in that corridor. It looks like the back half of an MCS may sweep through my area more quickly, with much less rain in general.

A band of 1-2" of rain tracked just south of me this morning (the same corridor that received 3-5" in late June). I got 0.44". That should be it for us until at least Tuesday night.

Bonnie is down to 996 mb following a strong burst of convection over the center.