Will the warm flip back to cold again(and then back and back and back) or is the warm going to stick?
Last winter lasted five weeks. Maybe this winter will last two weeks.
All the models (minus the ICON) are going north this morning. The midnight Euro, plus the 12z UK and Canadian have snow through southeast Iowa.
Here's the Canadian.
I'd take a repeat of last winter. December was blah and the first week of January was a blowtorch, but then the hammer dropped and we had the snowiest five week period on record. Winter ended after those five weeks, but it was an amazing period.
It's looking like a strong low will track through southeast Iowa on Tuesday. My area should see mostly rain with a bit of snow on the backside. Northern Iowa ene-ward could get a nice thump.
Typhoon Bualoi is about to move over/near Anatahan island in the Mariana Islands. This is the second strong typhoon to directly hit the tiny island this month. That's difficult to do.