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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We got off to a record start, snow-wise, but it was inevitable that areas to the north and northwest would surge past us. -
Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
00z Euro ... and the other models are very similar. -
Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It's looking like a strong low will track through southeast Iowa on Tuesday. My area should see mostly rain with a bit of snow on the backside. Northern Iowa ene-ward could get a nice thump. -
Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion
hawkeye_wx replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Tonight's UK and Euro are well north of previous runs Tuesday/Wednesday. -
Typhoon Bualoi is about to move over/near Anatahan island in the Mariana Islands. This is the second strong typhoon to directly hit the tiny island this month. That's difficult to do.
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It's the new GFS.
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Trami was an awesome super typhoon, but once it stalled it didn't take long for the upwelled cool water to hollow out the core.
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March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
hawkeye_wx replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
That's some pretty awesome stuff you guys are reporting/photographing. Half those rates/totals would be a dream storm here in Iowa. Around here, >foot totals are next to impossible and even ten-inch storms are rare. Four inches counts as a good storm. It's the ultimate nickel-dimer climate. OceanStWx used to work here at DVN, so he knows how pathetic this area can be. -
The last four runs of the Euro are showing something interesting in the 6-10 day period... possible tropical storm or typhoon formation in the Gulf of Thailand.
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A system is developing in the Bay of Bengal. Models have a solid cyclone lifting northward into Bangladesh or western Myanmar Tuesday.
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It appears another eyewall replacement cycle may be on the way. Satellite shows the eye steadily shrinking over the last few hours, and a microwave image from an hour ago shows a distinct outer band.
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Josh (iCyclone) is headed to the Philippines to chase Haima. The eastern coastal region of Luzon is nothing but mountains and dense rain forest, though, so not ideal for chasing.
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The current westpac pattern is highly favorable for strong, lower latitude, west-tracking typhoons. Luzon is going to have a rough week, as may the Hainan to Hong Kong region. Cat 3 typhoon Sarika is hitting today. As the above image shows, the next one could be worse.
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It looked like it may have plateaued yesterday, but, wow, it has turned it up another gear over the last twelve hours. We just don't see many like this.
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Meranti just accomplished this in only 24 hours. It's always very impressive to watch cyclones explode like this.
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Meranti has prime conditions now and is showing it. This one is going to be a real beauty over open water the next few days.
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Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
hawkeye_wx replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As bad as this is, it is VERY fortunate that it moved more left as it approached Birmingham and missed the heavily populated downtown and south side. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
hawkeye_wx replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Holy crap, I've never seen anything like this.