hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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A system is developing in the Bay of Bengal. Models have a solid cyclone lifting northward into Bangladesh or western Myanmar Tuesday. -
It appears another eyewall replacement cycle may be on the way. Satellite shows the eye steadily shrinking over the last few hours, and a microwave image from an hour ago shows a distinct outer band.
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Josh (iCyclone) is headed to the Philippines to chase Haima. The eastern coastal region of Luzon is nothing but mountains and dense rain forest, though, so not ideal for chasing.
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That was a very smooth eyewall replacement cycle. It reminds me of Katrina's ERC.
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Satellite suggests, and microwave confirms, a concentric eyewall structure.
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The current westpac pattern is highly favorable for strong, lower latitude, west-tracking typhoons. Luzon is going to have a rough week, as may the Hainan to Hong Kong region. Cat 3 typhoon Sarika is hitting today. As the above image shows, the next one could be worse.
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It looked like it may have plateaued yesterday, but, wow, it has turned it up another gear over the last twelve hours. We just don't see many like this.
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Meranti just accomplished this in only 24 hours. It's always very impressive to watch cyclones explode like this.
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Meranti has prime conditions now and is showing it. This one is going to be a real beauty over open water the next few days.
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I think it's fair to say the nwpac basin is a bit more moist than the Atlantic.
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Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
hawkeye_wx replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As bad as this is, it is VERY fortunate that it moved more left as it approached Birmingham and missed the heavily populated downtown and south side. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
hawkeye_wx replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Holy crap, I've never seen anything like this.