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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. We are about 35º warmer than at the same time yesterday morning.
  2. All the models (minus the ICON) are going north this morning. The midnight Euro, plus the 12z UK and Canadian have snow through southeast Iowa. Here's the Canadian.
  3. There are reports of 5" of snow from just east of Cedar Rapids last night where a small pocket of heavy snow sat for a couple hours.
  4. Up to 7" has fallen in north-central Iowa and it's still snowing there. Models handled this system poorly. Instead of a narrow nw-se band through the state, it's more like one heavy pocket with not a lot elsewhere. The HRRR suggests there could be another decent pocket over in the QC area.
  5. It's not looking as favorable here now. The band was expected to stall over us, but the dry slot is about to clear through the area. We may end up with only an inch.
  6. It's certainly looking like a couple inches is a good bet around here. Unfortunately, it appears every snow system this winter is going to start just after dark in the evening.
  7. Euro.... this run has better interaction between the lead, moist, wave and the upper energy diving in from Iowa.
  8. 12z Euro - End of week system. It's there, but not exceptionally organized.
  9. I'd take a repeat of last winter. December was blah and the first week of January was a blowtorch, but then the hammer dropped and we had the snowiest five week period on record. Winter ended after those five weeks, but it was an amazing period.
  10. Yikes! That's pretty awful. Positive everything, MJO looping right back into the warm phases. Let's hope not.
  11. The other models are now caving to the GFS... the euro overnight and the ICON, Canadian, and UK this morning.
  12. Of course, the Euro decides to shake things up tonight. Here is the shift from last night's run to tonight's for the end of the month.
  13. The GFS is the only model showing the phased cutter. The ICON, Canadian, UK, and Euro all look about the same.
  14. I'd love to get blasted by a 16" blizzard as much as the next guy, but I don't mind the snowless December or mild Christmas week. The older I get, the more I feel, "whatever happens, happens". I'll just enjoy not having to go out in the cold to clean driveways. At some point we'll get some good snow and cold again, and when we do I'll enjoy that.
  15. UK is a nothingburger, suppressed south of the subforum.
  16. Euro not on the same planet as GFS as we head toward Xmas. It shows a very benign pattern.
  17. This. While we did see some morning and afternoon snow, the heart of each of our three snow events began in the evening and ended by sunrise. I swear it works out that way far more often than odds say it should.
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