Met1985

About the same but crazy right before Helene. 00z NAM Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Yeah I noticed you have training going right over you tonight. Not good at all.

Yeah this is exactly what we are worried about. I talked in our thread about this being a historical event for us...

I have not seen it. Go ahead and post it. We are keeping a very close eye in things over this side of the mountain. The trend is NOT our friend.

Also from what I'm gathering from the main tropical thread is that this storm. Is going to be large scale in size. This isn't going to be an extremely compact storm but more of a beast of a storm.. That will help generate some wild weather here across the mountains.

Yeah the winds which we usually don't have to worry about seem worrisome currently. With a saturated ground and gusts 50 plus... That is a recipe for a lot of down trees.

I would if you want to get home in time.

Yeah I believe @GaWx has alluded to possible severe storms and Tornados as Helene runs her way through the SE and us. If she moves quickly and right over our area we could see some narly cells cross the area.

You are probably screwd....

Yeah no doubt about that and also a great assessment to the southern upslope factor.

Tomorrow morning is the time to batten down the hatches. Get your generator going and making sure you have flashlights, blankets, water, maybe a camp cooking stove, and possibly an alternative place to stay in case your power goes out for an extended period of time. Also if you live near a river or stream keep an eye out but do not wait until the last minute to leave your home. Also be sure you have an alternate plan for your animals. They are family so take care of them and keep them safe as well. Just be prepared and tune into here and the NWS because you know we are some of the best to keep up to date info at the first of hearing anything.

Yeah as shown currently this is going to be a historical event.. Not hyping but just looking at the data. Again any sudden change with this thing and that could greatly impact our area but so far all models have us as ground zero.

Things are going to go downhill from here on out.

I bet these will be upped as well. This is still extremely impressive. Also if this thing ends up strengthening a good bit that will really put us under the gun for some extreme weather.

The trends are not going the right way.

18z gfs catastrophic. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

18z gfs rainfall before Helene. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Looks like a wide area of 8 to 12 inches.

You're going to end up with a foot.

18z NAM..... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall are expected due to the interaction of tropical moisture along a stationary front, followed by the passage of Tropical Storm Helene. Storm-total rainfall of 8-12 inches is expected along the entire length of the Blue Ridge Escarpment with widespread 5-8 inches expected across the remainder of the mountains as well as the Piedmont. This has the potential to be an extremely rare event with significant and damaging flash-flooding along numerous streams.

Rabun-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson- Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains-Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains-Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains- Greenville Mountains- Including the cities of Hot Springs, Mountain Rest, Cullowhee, Kyle, Franklin, Sylva, Brevard, Ramseytown, Spruce Pine, Asheville, Alarka, Stecoah, Old Fort, Busick, Mountain City, Cruso, Canton, Jonas Ridge, Cedar Mountain, Saluda, Burnsville, Swiss, East Flat Rock, Waterville, Black Mountain, Cashiers, Newland, Ingalls, Almond, Luada, Banner Elk, Bryson City, Cove Creek, Wesser, Faust, Micaville, Marshall, Walnut, Poplar, Robbinsville, Rainbow Springs, Patterson, Tuckasegee, Little River, Woodlawn, Chimney Rock State Park, Mars Hill, Glassy Mountain, Waynesville, Highlands, Ashford, Pine Mountain, Luck, Hendersonville, Etowah, Sugar Hill, Fletcher, Celo, Allenstand, Rocky Bottom, Clayton, Tuxedo, Wolf Mountain, Dana, and Candler 322 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of northeast Georgia, including the following area, Rabun, western North Carolina, including the following areas, Avery, Buncombe, Burke Mountains, Caldwell Mountains, Graham, Haywood, Henderson, Macon, Madison, McDowell Mountains, Mitchell, Northern Jackson, Polk Mountains, Rutherford Mountains, Southern Jackson, Swain, Transylvania and Yancey, and upstate South Carolina, including the following areas, Greenville Mountains, Oconee Mountains and Pickens Mountains. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through Friday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in significant and damaging flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Areas that are not typically impacted by floodwaters may flood.

Thank you! I forgot about the 3 dots!

No you can change it. It should allow you to modify the thread name.

Yeah that line is freaking blowing up now.