216 500mb is bizarre. Going to hook back into NJ/NYC. Nowhere to escape.
Edit, nevermind it just stalled offshore. Northern stream didn't capture it, although it looks close.
I really don't see how we make this setup work. The high is over West Virginia, and doesn't extend north into New England . The scenarios suppressed enough for snow all have weak sauce
That was a nasty dive. The ULL went north of STL, then still went over Jacksonville.
Edit so does the surface low. Forms near Wilmington then Drops south from 180 to 192, One of the most bizarre runs I've seen.
Euro is really really doesn't want to let the southern stream take on a negative tilt. It could have started phasing in the MS valley instead of over the Bahamas, but the southern stream keeps moving southeast and stays positively tilted.