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HighStakes

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Everything posted by HighStakes

  1. HighStakes
    Bottom line is if Euro stays stubborn and continues to show same results or even improve and ends up being correct than the GFS won't catch on until tomorrow maybe as late as 0z. I'm still on the front running train. Let's max out on that as WxUSAF outlined in his earlier post.
  2. HighStakes
    I'm really good with several inches. Such a delicate set up I wish I could just lock up 4 inches instead of rolling the dice for a bigger event especially for my location.
  3. HighStakes
    With a system like this we still have an eternity to go. As I stated yesterday we can't lose the snow with the initial northern energy. We've all invested too much time not to see snow falling and have something on the ground for the weekend.
  4. HighStakes
    Bitter cold behind it.
  5. HighStakes
    This has been my thinking all along.
  6. HighStakes
    We need an emoji for being an idiot!
  7. HighStakes
    Yep...pick up another hobby This is not a hobby. It is an addictive sickness!
  8. HighStakes
    I would've thought by now they would run the off hour Euro runs at least out to 7 days.
  9. HighStakes
    Is that what you tell your clients when you take on a new case.
  10. HighStakes
    At the very least I don't want to lose the snow associated with the initial northern energy. A cold windy weekend with bare ground and some sort of pattern change looming will be a let down.
  11. HighStakes
    Quite the prolonged period of lighter snows over there area as depicted on this run.
  12. HighStakes
    Some memorable occurrences from that storm: 1. During heavy bands when the winds gusted visibility was down to 200 ft. 2. By early afternoon snow became more squall like and in between the heavier showers and squalls the sky would brighten then get dark as the heavier snow started back up. 3. Little finger bands dropping out of PA kept the snowing going til almost midnight.
  13. HighStakes
    See my post above lol.
  14. HighStakes
    Did you get anything from the first part before the deform band set up too far east for you the next morning?
  15. HighStakes
    It was more like 30 -32 here. 12 inches with the first round Tuesday p.m. then 20 plus early Wednesday morning until it shut off 10 p.m. Wednesday night.
  16. HighStakes
    Very nerve wracking set up. Rug could be pulled right at gametime.
  17. HighStakes
    It was decent storm. Pulled off a solid 7 or 8 inches maybe even a bit more in Reisterstown. It was generally a 6-10 inch storm in the region. Interestly there was a storm the week before that stayed south similar to this past system on Friday night. That storm did however get a couple inches as far north as Laurel while DC got 4-5.
  18. HighStakes
    Few flurries here too.
  19. HighStakes
    If you eliminate the other 7,428 times then you're probably right.
  20. HighStakes
  21. HighStakes
    Besides these obvious jerks we deal with there are also several closet trolls. I'll leave who they are nameless. This is a weather board for weather enthusiasts you have to be a complete loser moron to troll a weather board. I get it on a sports or political forum but on a weather board. COME ON MAN!!
  22. HighStakes
    Euro and GFS ensemble teleconnections charts are in general agreement heading into early February. Both like the AO to go negative but both are in strong agreement of a somewhat strong positive EPO. One trend to watch is they are slowly backing away from s prolonged negative PNA and actually appear to have it nudging close to neutral by the the end of the period. WPO has consistently modeled to remain deeply negative on both models. NAO is not great on either chart but it's also not off the grid positive. If we get another nice period of blocking hopefully it is not until mid March like in 2018 and maybe the PAC will still be workable. I see no reason to be overly pessimistic. February could turn out to be quite the fight!
  23. HighStakes
    That was there yesterday on the 12z run that crushed us.
  24. HighStakes
    Little bit of a change on last night's 0z euro ensemble teleconnections. AO is now showing a going negative right around the very beginning of February. EPO stays solidly negative as does WPO. PNA still showing negative however not quite as bad as a few days ago and certainly not anywhere near December levels. If this holds then February should yield plenty chances. Just need to be lucky as usual and get on the right side of the boundary. Could see some ice as well.
  25. HighStakes
    So true. Needing a west trend puts us in a terrible spot. That quickly becomes a dreadful scenario and often produces the most bitter endings when areas just to our northeast gets hammered. The Blizzard of 78 is one of the very rare instances where this happened and it was only enough to save from BWI north. If that occurred today half the forum would meltdown. 8 inches at BWI and 12 in the city and probably a bit more up here. Bel Air maybe 18. Hardly anything in DC and Dulles. I often wonder why storms don't back into our area a little bit more often. There are probably only a few times in the last 100 years. The April fools storm in 1997 that crushed New England did back into us. Had that storm occurred a month earlier or in the heart of winter it would have been respectable from Baltimore north.
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