HighStakes

My 77 year old Jewish father is less neurotic than PSU. Lol

I get it. It's tough too ignore the fail scenarios.

I thought so too.

Right. 5 inches here on tuesday morning.

It's kinda crazy but we got a real shot. Im cautiously optimistic despite the marginal surface temps because both the NAM and Euro are showing heavy rates. Rates overcome so many set up flaws. If we get a heavy slug of moisture well be S+ and temp will go right to 32-33.Me and you could be under a winter storm watch by this time tomorrow. Maybe I'm getting a bit carried away.

I'll take that trade off.

You think Philly knows nothing about pizza then you never want to get Pizza around here. Horrible, but I'm a pizza snob too and probably way too critical. Even the non franchise places suck. Most people around here think the pizza is great. I don't even bother debating them. There's a couple places in Westminster that are decent and a couple places here in Hampstead/Manchester that are passable at best.

I got so wrapped up looking at the Wednesday storm that I didnt even realize the Euro give us .85 of liquid on Monday. We got a real shot and a few inches. That's crazy.

You are the eternal optimist. Which there is nothing wrong with.

If this storm is a hit then about 80 percent of the entries in the snowfall contest will be eliminated before the winter solstice. Lol.

Gets our temps down to 18-20 Wednesday morning before precip. moves in.

All good points. We'll see how they look against Buffalo. Should be an interesting game. Chiefs kind of have to beat themselves although as good as they look they too have has some close calls. Number 1 seed is much more important to the Steelers than the Chiefs.

Disagree. They're decent but no where near an 11-0 team. Every close game went their way and there are so many horrible teams this year that they feasted on. They can't run the ball and they tend to play down to their competion. Defensively they have the statistics but again overrated. Ben throwing the ball 50 times again shows they have no balance on offensive and is a sure recipe for a short playoff stint. Bottom line is they are very unimpressive. I never buy into the theory that the good teams find a way to win, in the Steelers case this year they've just been plain lucky. Plus it was a horrible decision by Tomlin to go for it on 4th and 1 and not to kick the FG. It was only a 45 yarder regardless of a new kicker. Maybe if it was a 50 yarder you go for it but but not on a 45 yarder.

These are the kind of events that when they trend our way it goes a long way in determining good winters or at least decent winters. They pop up inside of 3-5 days and aren't too complex. Of course they have a ceiling limit as far as juicing up but definitely can be noteworthy light/moderate events.

Let's hear your game plan with a below average QB that has had no practice and hasn't played a game in a year. Maybe you forgot about the depleted offensive line and no TE's. Plus the mediocre receiving core to begin with. Come on, give me a break.

Same here.

I definitely remember that squall. It was a good one.

I have to agree 100 percent with your viewpoint. Then throw in the constant doom and gloom narrative that dominates the tone in here really makes me care even less.

BWI: 23.5 DCA: 16.1 IAD: 24.7 RIC: 12.4 Tiebreaker SBY: 13.5

The whole situation really sucks. Coincidentally I just mentioned Jilly's to my father a few days ago. I haven't been there in a good while but I used to eat there at least once a week.

Great example bringing up the Feb. 2006 storm. Tremendous deform band. This storm demonstrates how getting into the CCB band can be a serious game changer and produce big time totals. I got 16 in Reisterstown. There were a few other spotters close by that measured 18. I believe Randallstown got 20 and like you said Columbia was 20-22. The storm was really slow to get going. When the first flakes started to fall most areas where well above freezing. Snow was rather light for most of the afternoon and didnt really start accumulating nicely until early evening. Even then rates never really got any better than moderate. Local mets didnt pick up on the deform potential and during the 11 o'clock news they pretty much thought the storm would wind down by 2 or 3 a.m. with maybe a couple more inches to come. I remember being exhausted and fell a sleep around 12:30 a.m. We had around 6 maybe 7 on the ground at that time. I woke up roughly 3 hours later. When I looked out the window I was shocked. S++. Easily 2-3 inches per hour. 10-12 inches fell in the area in just a 4-5 hour period. The deform band took this otherwise run of the mill decent type snowstorm and made it truly awesome. Had it been colder following the storm we would all remember it more fondly. On the other side of the spectrum you have several storms where the deform band underachieved and kept what could've been great storms rather pedestrian. The 2 late Feb. storms in 2005 come to mind. Classic Miller A's that both should've been 6-12 areawide ended up under producing only barely hitting low end warning criteria in most spots.

GFS is a tiny bit more chilly than the Euro for next weeks temps. Lol.

You are on a roll today. Great job.

The cards are lining up for what will most likely be a typical winter for our region. It will snow, just not nearly as much as we want most likely. Stop acting like we live in Watertown NY.

The airmass in front is reason to pause the argument the first storm in a pattern change never works out. If we trying to get the cold to catch up to the precip that often fails especially in the southern part of our region. That is not the case with next weekends system. of course things may look different but as of now it's a decent if not really good look at some frozen accumulation.