HighStakes
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Everything posted by HighStakes
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Down to 19.
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Snow here is very dry. Almost shocked me when I just shoveled. My temp now is 28.
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Tonight is not the problem. The problem maybe temps spiking a bit right before the real front arrives. Ive seen it happen before even as a squall line approaches. Nothing outrageous but areas south of you could go above freezing for a brief time.
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Tom T. likes our chances for snow showers and squalls tomorrow. I know we don't take the RPM seriously but it did show a definitive squall line diving through the region on his future cast.
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This is the kind of deal where as long as the models don't lose it or dry out completely we should se something. Let it hold steady through tomorrow where it is now and then hope it juices up a bit on Thursday. .2 is probably the best we can squeeze out of it and that would be fine as it would yield a nice cold 1-3 inch event and someone lucky could pull off 4.
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Last band rolling through now.
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When things were unclear as late as this morning my bar for this event became 2. Looks like will end up around 3 so I'll take it. I was just hoping to have something on the ground for the arctic blast so Ill call this a success. Give me a good squall tomorrow and another 2 inches on friday then this week will be a win for sure.
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You're probably in the worst spot of anyone in the forum for this event.
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But Baltimore guy said this was just the run of the mill cold front.
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Yesterday he said couldn't wait for it to be over before it started.
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Yup. Everything covered up. Temp fell from 33-34 to 31 under heavier returns. Solid inch or so with almost inch an hour rates. Total so far is 1.75 but lost a half inch when the first batch stuff melted off.
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Wow. Things were looking very iffy for you leading into this. Nice to see you got into the action.
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GFS has the high here on Saturday at 28. Euro says it will be 48. nice. lol.
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Heaviest of the day. Radar looks decent now.
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Picked up a half inch or a bit more earlier but most has pretty much melted because we hab a short lull. Started up again but very light. Best chance for a couple inches even up here will be to get a 3-4 hour period of moderate snow late afternoon and early evening. Temp now is 33. Models were vert good with temps in this area so far.
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Steady snow. 31.
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Getting some light stuff here as well.
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And backed down a bit on the severity of the cold too.
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Especially when it gets warm during most prime climo 10 day period we have.
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That caught my attention as well. Hope that continues on future runs. Hard not to get greedy when you see those really nice totals just to our northeast. Be great to see the .4 line move west towards Hagerstown and bump everyone else up into the .6-.7 range going forward.
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This one is going to be fun to track right up til game time. A little early to get too excited but I can definitely see the upside. As they say arctic fronts love to squeeze all the moisture out of the atmosphere and with the majority of the precip. behind the front good things can happen. This is not like the Feb. 2015 front where we new the max. potential was 2 inches give or take.
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Rpm ftw.
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Surprised to see how juicy this run was. Has almost .7 for the northern tier.
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Not sure if that look will continue but if it does and we can get mjo to phase 8 in a week or so we'll be in business fast and models will respond. That period in the 8-15 that doesn't look so great will change quickly. Similar to what happened before the snowstorm 2 weeks ago.
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I may do a post later today about winters that started either awful or mediocre and ended up decent to very good. We still can pull off a very solid 2-4 week period. There are quite a few examples. Granted I know even if it snows a lot late in season how difficult it is to sustain snow cover and deep winter feel ( 2015 aside ) and many of you will point that out again.
