HighStakes

1/12-13: 3.0 Total: 9.0

Dropping like a rock. 19.

The early March storm in 2014 could also fall into this type. Going way back I can recall a system in jan. 1991 that had a trailing wave work out. Also in March 1996 and jan. 1988 were a couple other examples. I'm sure I could dig up a few more examples but I'm too lazy lol.

Can't get over some if these totals. Awesome. Congrats. One thing is becoming clear, this is not last year or the year before. Good times ahead.

I measured closer to 3 in several places. Maybe a decent band literally stopped 100 feet short of your house lol.

The best part of this storm for me will be that even if we dont get much more up here at least it will be cloudy and cold with some occasional snow bands rolling through opposed to the sun breaking through and temps shooting up to 47 with everything melted by late morning.

Light snow. 27

21

Since LWX changed the format in the text when they issue watches, warnings, etc. they never include temperatures during event. You would think the general public might find this helpful. Kinda mind boggling

There may be a lot of crazy runs the next 6-8 weeks. Get ready.

Gotta love the single digit temps during the height of the storm. Ridiculous run. If only.

No doubt. The enhancement and higher totals in the catoctins just to the west and northwest of the fdk valley has been consistently modeled for days now.

Nice little snow shower rolling through here now.

I thought last nights euro hinted at this as well.

Yup. My youngest daughter is in 3rd grade there. My older daughters are now at North Carroll middle but went there as well for elementary school. Been very pleased with Ebb Valley but not so much with North Carroll.

My daughter has basketball practice every Wednesday at the same time. Fortunately it is at the elementary school across the street.

We're due lol. In all seriousness though seeing the precipitation field extend well into PA gives everyone a goog margin for error. This type of system could create some good branding. For those who get into banding they will see the high ratio stuff opposed to sand and needles at 23 degrees taking forever to pile up.

Once we got inside 3 days on the boxing day debacle it got bad fast like you said. If memory serves me correct the last real good model run was the 18z gfs on Christmas eve.

Your last paragraph has been my stance for the last several days. Like you said in a post a few says ago there really is no example of a pattern locking in the entire winter wall to wall. It will change, just a matter of how dramatic. Once it became quite clear we weren't going to get an epic wire to wire winter my attention turned to the later flip examples such as 87, 58, 2015, 2007 etc. This is still very much on the table if not likely.

Yup that's exactly what happened. After that storm winter was over. I think I recall a March event that busted. Aside from that February storm the winter was essentially a 1 week winter. The first storm got us good on Jan. 22nd. We ended up the the good side of a bust. I was living between pikeville and Owings mills and got 14-16 inches. That was followed by an arctic front. The 2nd storm on Superbowl Sunday into Monday morning dropped around 6. The higher total were south and east. Where I live now probably got only 4 but that's a guess. A few days after the 2nd storm there was a clipper but more like warm front that had an intense but short period of snow that dropped a quick 2-3 and up to 4 inches some areas. That was it until the above mentioned February storm. I'm sure many here would be unhappy with those results but I would sign up for a repeat in a minute.

Yup, going to be nervewracking day. Just dont want to experience that sickening feeling we had go through last year after the Cincinnati game. Last game of the season at home for all the marbles would be devastating to lose 2 years in a row. Mayfield is feeling real confident right now. We need to knock him around early like we did against rivers.

Euro has .10 for our area.

He was decent when he was here in the early to mid 90's. He left for a few years and when he came back he changed quite a bit. Coincidentally he and Berk used to do an hour long radio show together on wcbm about 12 years ago.

If we we're more fortunate last week and got in on the storm then a 3-4 week wait would be easier to take. I think we're still fine and I fully expected to wait for the second half of winter to get in on the best, however, the one thing I really hoped for was the earlier hit in December. December's in 57, 60, 63, 02 and 09 all had the early hit. Some huge as we know. Those all turned out to be monster winters. Now that's its looking more apparent that we may miss something in december we may be headed more towards a 77/78, 86/87, 06/07, 14/15 type nino winter. Everything got going very early so it seems like we've been at this forever when in actuality it's still extremely early in the game. Very little cause for concern yet.

You have nothing to worry about. He will.