Snowstorms

Still room for shifts. Extremely tight gradient but a lot of factors impacting the exact strength and track of that secondary low. The main thing imo is how much the trough digs. I'd say tonight’s 00Z runs will be key but tomorrow's 12z runs will give us the best clarity. Potential is there for either 1-2" (2-5cm) or 4-8" (10-20cm). Not going to write it off just yet.

Very interesting set-up. The operational NAM was further west, like the RGEM, but the high-resolution NAM was much cooler at the surface. Which suggests stronger dynamic cooling as the initial low parks up over Hudson Bay keeping the WAA at bay. We’re riding an extremely tight gradient here. Depending where that gradient sets up, someone from Windsor to Toronto will have a brief but very intense burst of heavy snow with a fast-moving deformation band. The CMC digs the low more than the 3KM NAM and that pushes the secondary Low further west. You remained optimistic about this set-up from the start so let's hope that optimism pays off.

18"? Wow. Our Feb average over the last 10 years is 16.7". Your seasonal average over the last 10 years has definitely surpassed Toronto's average. Been much snowier in SEMI of late compared to surrounding regions. There's some missing data at YYZ this month so I can't tell you the actual figure but I am certain its ~17" which puts us above average to date. We've officially surpassed 2011-12 LOL. Only 4" short of our seasonal avg for December. A few other stations across the city are above 20" already. Close to 20" imby too. How is Detroit?

It’s sad when strong winds are the only exciting thing to talk about in December.

Solid points. December 2016 wasn't really all that cold tbh. Only December 2013 and 2017 were well rounded Decembers of late. I love a good November snowstorm but to take that followed by a snowless December? Nah. November snow and cold barely last more than a few days and the excitement of it dies out quick. We did get spoiled yes, but this stretch we are going through right now is equally comparable. February has been exceptional over the past 20 years locally. Our February average since 2000 is close to 14" lol. But similarly, other months especially Dec, Jan and Mar have taken a big hit. We got shit in March 2017 and 2018 so lucky you. March 2014 was our last above average month and before that March 2011. Tired of these half ass winters we keep getting.

I think what's most frustrating is losing December again. 3rd warm December in a row and our 7th since 2010. That's just straight up ridiculous. Would be nice to get some good snowy cold Decembers again and not have to continually rely on January or February for snow. It's been years since we've seen a nice widespread March snowstorm as well. Seems like winters are continually being condensed into 2 months and it's becoming really frustrating. Losing December as a snow lover hurts, it's the worst.

I haven't seen a good March snowstorm since 2014. Just dry cold without any decent warmth. Terrible.

I hope it's not some half ass lockdown. This Toronto and Peel lockdown hasn't done anything to reduce case numbers. It's either you go all in or you don't at all. Hopefully we start seeing vaccinations ramp up. My girlfriends’ brother is a doctor in Virginia and recently got both vaccine doses. He's doing great and if there are any side effects with these vaccines, they would likely occur within 48 hours should anyone get them. I'm tired of this and just want to move forward.

You're right. It was a boring year. Only a few things come to my mind. - January rainstorm. (3" of rain. Has never happened before). - Rare May snow and cold (1.2" locally). Snowiest May ever - July heatwave. Widespread 90's across the sub - November record breaking "heatwave" (as mentioned) - November snowstorm (8-10" locally). 3rd biggest November snowstorm ever

Gonna be a rainer. A Grinchmas storm.

Got like 2.2cm (0.9") so you beat me this time. I agree. There was a nice winter feel this morning, but it'll be back above freezing by this weekend. We need a nice widespread storm like Feb 2013. Tired of all the disappointing Decembers we've been experiencing.

That’s crazy. The only storm that comes to my mind that is comparable in amounts is probably the Blizzard of 93. And that storm was 2-3x the size of this one. Give me a storm like this in Jan or Feb. Thanks!

That's just nuts. 40" and all synoptic. Even crazier when you step back and realize it all fell within 24 hours. 40" wow! Our seasonal average is 45". They got 95% of our average in one go. Why couldn't this storm be another 150-200 miles further west? I'd happy if we even get half that in a storm this winter lol. Seems impossible.

You know the weather sucks when we’re talking about prison breakers.

It's been that way for years. Sucks

Canada has a plan for mass inoculation for every single Canadian by September 2021. I believe Canada has signed purchase agreements with like seven different pharma companies. This is the breakdown I saw online. Pfizer — Up to 76 million doses Moderna — Up to 56 million (So far agreed to purchase 40 million) Medicago — Up to 76 million AstraZeneca — Up to 20 million Johnson & Johnson — Up to 38 million Novavax — Up to 76 million Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline — Up to 72 million International COVAX Facility — Up to 15 million

Or it never comes and ends up being a 1988-89 or 1999-2000 redux.

I agree. Flexibility is there and you can move around freely. I love it personally.

Sometimes a little luck is all you need. That's great! Now that your permanently WFH, are you back in Michigan? Or still in Texas?

Yeah, they were cold for us too especially winters like 1962-63, 1964-65 and the late 60's. We got 8" from that storm and some freezing rain. Chicago got the brunt of it. I'm not entirely sure about our snowiest decades but I can tell you the 2010's are not top 3 lol. The 1860’s are definitely top 3. Our snowiest winter ever is 1869-70 where Toronto recorded 123.3”. 62” fell in March alone.

That's great, congratulations. It's been tough for a lot of people this year and I'm glad you were able to land something quick. I remember at my last job I was laid off for 6 months, just wasn't getting anything. Hope all is well.

I been WFH since March LOL.

It was our best snowstorm of that decade too. It was a powerful Gulf Low I believe. Which if I stand corrected are our "version" of Nor'easters. Really? We had many 3-6" and 6-10" events and a dozen if not more 10"+ storms. Was a good decade up this way. One of the more snowier ones of the 20th century.

Was close. Winter storm was too far east.