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Snowstorms

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Everything posted by Snowstorms

  1. Snowstorms
    Winter wonderland outside. Haven't measured yet but definitely over 2" and coming down heavily. Cue Dino's Let it snow.
  2. Snowstorms
    Well you guys get those big Nor'easter's that can drop >20" once in a while. Would love to experience that. Aside from lake effect snow, most of our synoptic snow every winter is <12" with each storm.
  3. Snowstorms
    Riding a thin line. Reminds me of last weeks storm. But as it stands, only the NAM is showing snow for Toronto. It's looking like a rainer for all of us. Would've been great if this storm was in January.
  4. Snowstorms
    Nope they all show rain. Great track. Best in years actually but terrible pattern. Hope we turn things around mid Dec.
  5. Snowstorms
    Interesting, thanks. Seems like their both still relatively misunderstood and it would be great if there could be additional research allocated towards learning more about them. As SnowGoose alluded to, the AMO could be one of the players but I doubt the PDO would exert any direct influence. I presumed that the accelerated sea ice loss was atleast enhancing the NAO/AO especially in the winter as the ocean heat is released back into the troposphere.
  6. Snowstorms
    Haven't seen a storm track this favorable that's straight out the Gulf in years and it's going to be a rainer.
  7. Snowstorms
    I think it has to do with the Arctic Sea Ice losses that have accelerated considerably since 2007. All that ocean heat being released back into the atmosphere in the Fall could have an impact on the polar vortex. Not sure if there's any research papers on that.
  8. Snowstorms
    Phase happens later and the flow is too progressive for anything respectable at least for us. Snow line is to far north. Track is ideal on all 12z runs, expect UKMET, but lack of cold air means primarily rain. I'd be disappointed if this was in January but its only November. Still got time, nothing concrete yet, so let’s wait and see.
  9. Snowstorms
    Looking like a rainer. No real Arctic air and late phase.
  10. Snowstorms
    I agree. Once you get out of the city area into the more rural communities, it gets considerably colder. Ohh that sounds rough haha. Canadian winters are known for their cold more than snow expect in the Great Lakes or Atlantic Canada where its both. Where you and I live, we don't experience those constant cold days thankfully. Though if you haven't visited Banff in the winter, you definitely should. It's on my bucket list.
  11. Snowstorms
    That's the same concept with cold. People in Western Canada laugh at us when our temperatures are in the teens or single digits and we say "it's really cold outside". Try telling that to someone who lives in -20F weather everyday in the winter.
  12. Snowstorms
    Always appreciate your thoughts and posts when you do get the chance to come here. And congrats on joining TWN. This storm has a lot of moving parts and variables to reach a concrete conclusion until Friday night at the earliest in my opinion.
  13. Snowstorms
    00Z GGEM is a good hit for Indiana and Western Ohio.
  14. Snowstorms
    The only storm in recent times that I can think of that even comes remotely close to the set-up depicted on the models would be the late Feb 2010 storm. See link below and look at the 500mb maps and Sea Level Pressure maps. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2010/25-Feb-10-NationalRadarImagery.html
  15. Snowstorms
    Now we got the PNA ridge in 2020.
  16. Snowstorms
    The leading ridge out ahead of the Low sort of becomes a temporary block (like a West Based -NAO) and the upper level ridge kind of becomes one with the massive PNA ridge out west. That's why it stalls out. Very unusual yeah.
  17. Snowstorms
    I'll take the Euro about 100-150 miles further east.
  18. Snowstorms
    Dec 95 wasn't as nearly as good as the other 3. Only got 13.3" locally which is only slightly above our monthly avg. Whereas we got >25" in Dec 1975, 2007 and 2008.
  19. Snowstorms
    The entire thing looks like a mess on the GFS esp that vort map.
  20. Snowstorms
    Jan 2009 redux? Albeit the AO was slightly positive that month.
  21. Snowstorms
    Still got about 3-4" on the ground from the storm on Sunday. Models have about 1-2" tonight across Toronto before the changeover. Closer to 1cm near the Lake.
  22. Snowstorms
    Western Canada is torching, Ontario is torching, we're all torching. The entire "source region" is above freezing first week of Dec.
  23. Snowstorms
    That Nov 1950 storm is YYZ's second largest November storm on record. 12" in a single day and a final total of 15". But I can see why DTW got 6.3". Temps were marginal. Was it a Gulf Low?
  24. Snowstorms
    The Euro did a 500 mile shift in one run. And they say the GFS is bad.
  25. Snowstorms
    As of this morning were at 8.3" for the season. So about 18% of our yearly snowfall. Wish we got more but an east-west wind orientation off Lake Ontario is rare. You guys in Upstate NY get all the fun from Lake Ontario.
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