Snowstorms

Might be a glitch in the matrix.

Quite similar atmospheric and oceanic weather patterns between this year and 1988, also a Nina year. 1988-89 was one of the strongest La Nina's in modern times and also came after two Nino's like this year. However, I don't expect this years La Nina to be similar in magnitude. 1988-89 was a mediocre winter and was fairly dry, which is unusual for our region.

What a beautiful day or should I say what a beautiful stretch. 24.2C (75.5F) at YYZ as of 2pm. This is unheard of at our latitude especially in November. This warm spell is equivalent to Morch. Truly exceptional. The warmer records are outweighing the colder ones of late. 2011-12, 2015-16, 2016-17 and 2019-2020 are among our warmest winters ever. All happened in one decade lol.

Might as well say NoWarmber.

Euro and GEFS both have a massive ridge setting up over the Plains next week. Let's not forget the pig vortex over AK and flat NPAC ridge. Looks like 2011.

21C right now at YYZ, which is close to 70F. Never thought we'd hit it again until next Spring but there's a good chance we approach 20C (70F) every day until next Tuesday. What a crazy year.

Mid to high 60's and sunshine for the next 4 days. Simply amazing

December 2015 was the warmest on record, locally. 2015-16 was terrible expect for the cold outbreak in mid Feb and April snowstorm in my area. I'll take last winter over 16-17 though.

Beautiful day today! I forgot what a sunny day looks like. 66F right now.

The first accumulating snowfall of the season today in Toronto. Got about 0.5" right now. Pretty intense LES band off GB.

Lake effect snow band that came off GB is ripping through Toronto right now. Near whiteout conditions. 0.5" so far.

That band off GB looks intriguing. If it can hold serve, we might get some decent snow flurries here. Nice to see LES firing up again.

I agree. After the last three cold November's, it would be nice to have a true Indian summer. Pretty common in Nina's. November temps have no correlation to winter.

On and off snow flurries here today as well. Some decent lake effect snow bands off Georgian Bay and Lake Huron currently. Can't wait for that warm-up next week.

Same here. Got down to 22.2F last night at YYZ. Our coldest October low since 1976.

I was born in 1994 so 1991-92 is before my time. That's a long stretch and certainly a depressing way to ring in the new year. The February 2008 stretch is by far one of the longest I vividly remember. See below. 15 straight days of cloud and precipitation. The only time we saw some clear skies in this stretch was late in the evening or at night. If the 16th wasn't sunny it would've lasted 19 days lol. On the plus side most of it was snow during that stretch and over 25" of it. https://bit.ly/3mI05qH

In the winter we can go a week without the Sun easily. Then it'll come out for a day and not come out again for another week. The longest I can remember was in Jan 2017 and Feb 2008 where we went 2 weeks without the Sun. Heck even in the last 2 weeks, we've only had 3 or 4 sunny days. If you ever plan to come up this way, don't come in the winter lol.

Our Winter Solstice is (750-442). Total daylight on our shortest day is 8 hours and 55 minutes. Now if you consider our possible sunshine percentage, the Sun only comes out 28%, 30% and 37% in DJF, respectively. Worst climo. If March was the last time change, then in the winter the Sun would rise close to 9am but ultimately set at 5:40pm. Which is good especially for all those Vitamin D deficient people haha. Time change is purely psychological and hence imo, it's useless because it serves no other purpose.

Pretty decent warm-up coming after Nov 3rd for most of the sub-forum which should last till mid-November. Impressive -PNA and +AO means much of the PNW will be below normal and the east above. EPS and GEFS both have a ridge just east of the Aleutians and it seems to stay put through mid-month. Looks like a typical Nina pattern. To put things into perspective, previous La Nina's like 2007, 2008 and 2010 all featured a warm-up in November.

Time is nothing but a subconscious construct of the reality around us. And that reality is based on things out of our control, i.e. Earth's orbit around the Sun or our axial tilt. We're giving ourselves a false impression of real time by adding or subtracting an hour twice a year. That hour won't change the weather you live through or impact the seasons we experience. Days will get shorter or longer whether you like it or not. We created this illusion of time to give ourselves additional "daylight" where it counts but the Earth's rotation and orbital cycle is as is. Hence, why it’s useless to continue to allude to this illusion.

I would be too. DST is useless. Whether the clock moves ahead one hour or back one hour, you can't change the orbital cycle of the Earth. The days will get longer or shorter regardless of that one-hour change.

If you live in the Great Lakes area, the Sun barely comes out in the Fall and Winter lol. Whole lotta vitamin D deficient people in this region.

YYZ has yet to break the freezing mark this month thanks to persistent cloud cover. Since last week we've had only 2 sunny days, one being today lol. The caveats of living in the Great Lakes region. As of yesterday, YYZ is running 0.8C above avg. These next 4 days should bring us to within normal to close out the month. I'm not sure if Michigan or New York are planning on getting rid of daylight savings. Here in Ontario, once it's been approved by the court, we will get rid of it but only if the surrounding states and Quebec follow through. Time change is useless.

I feel you. It's been a shit month lol. The Sun finally started poking through after some thick fog this morning. I doubt it'll last as the line of thunderstorms is currently trekking its way towards Lake Huron now. And what follows is typical late Fall weather. There will be a warm-up in November (more so the first half), which may bring us close to 20C if not the upper teens as the pattern reshuffles.

There were a few torches that winter but nothing extraordinary. We only got above freezing 4 days in Jan 2011 and stayed below freezing from Dec 13-Dec 29. It wasn't 2013-14 type cold but it was below normal. Would I take a repeat? Sure, but only JFM. December was a massive disappointment for us. Not sure if it was the same for DTW. But the biggest disappointment for us was that Groundhog Day blizzard. Every single model had us receiving 15-20"+ the night before the storm, only to end up with less than 6" due to a massive dry slot and unique ice crystals. To this day I still consider that as our biggest disappointment in the last 15 years lol.