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Everything posted by LongBeachSurfFreak
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While both of those are garunteed to happen at some point, Yellowstone could be hundreds of thousands of years and a extinction level meteor impact millions of years.
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See here is the thing, you love 100+ degree temps. The vast majority of people would find that crazy.
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Strange, low 60s and sheet drizzle SW Nassua. Hasn’t even soaked through the trees.
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Hour 55 sure. We all get a soaking tomorrow night.
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Yeah the trajectory looks west. Likely just some sheet drizzle in the marine layer east of the city. We have seen this show before.
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Not a drop on the south shore of the island. But such is to be expected for those in the know. Hoping we finally get some strataform rains and some elevated convection later today.
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Ok cool. I figured I was missing something.
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Based on the tree damage in the photo looks like straight line winds. I’m just going off the fact that there isn’t any twisting and the trees all broke fairly low down and fell the same direction. Usually with ef0 damage you will see branches and tops broken off higher up. I’m not discounting your personal knowledge experience and having been there by the way. Just one photo.
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Yeah deer resistant plants aren’t really my area of expertise. I just assume they eat almost anything. They are making their way back into the north shore of Nassua. But more of a scattered population. I’m sure they make it pretty deep into the Bronx too. Van Cortland park is big enough to support a pretty large permanent population.
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Nice shots Don! Tulips have the most incredible variety as they have been grown for ornamental value for so long. The major issue with Tulips are squirrels. They love to eat the bulbs. I’m sure the NYBG either replants bulbs yearly or somehow keeps the squirrels away. Daffodils are great to mix in, in a less formal garden as they are toxic and squirrels will avoid the area.
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Aaaaaaaaaaaand poof! The cell off Cnj that caused those automatic weather apps to send an alert that it was going to start raining in an hour, is gone. So much stuff canceled today, when pretty much any of us who have been following the local weather for a while knew it wasn’t going to happen.
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As they should for the majority of the area. Just watch as the storms hit the coast in central NJ hit the water and disappear. I’ll be lucky to see 3 drops. My vehicle was so green with pollen before I had to drag the house out from the backyard and wash it.
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Clearly on the north shore, would be a nightmare day on the south shore. Ripping onshore wind and temps around 55.
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Onshore flow increasing on the south shore. The kiss of death for any convection later….
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Muggy and low 70s a few miles inland from the water. Today definitely was the first day we had that real warm season feel.
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I wasn’t expecting today to be mostly sunny and have the highest real feel temps of the season so far on the south shore. It’s almost uncomfortable in the sun.
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Makes sense. Small intense cell on radar, I probably missed the rain by a few blocks, but was close enough for the loud thunder.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
That’s it, increased dry stable air at the mid levels. Destroys lapse rates as there isn’t as much change in temp with highl. Very counterproductive for general thunderstorms that are needed in early development. You can have all the spin in the world. Ideally you want the waves to exist as far south as possible in the most moist top to bottom environment. -
Just had a random loud crack of thunder, woke me up. Strange, no rain either.
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Pretty ideal situation going into the heart of the warm season. The slow protracted amounts are ideally suited for raising soil moisture.
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Amazing visibility today and perfect spring weather. Rare to get such such deep blue sky’s during the warm season.
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I’m at jones beach right now taking my cpr refresher for life guarding and it’s absolutely ripping. Pretty much a perfect example of the Ambrose jet, enhanced with a cold front. Sustained 35 knots gusts 45 knots. One thing about these winds, they are remarkably consistent. As in little variation between sustained and gusts. Ocean is mess of white water and sand is blowing everywhere.
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That would be fantastic. Build up the soil moisture in our warm season source region. This way maybe we can actually have a severe season this year. With all the wind and jet dynamics maybe we will we can get some EML high wind events. Been a long, long time since we saw one of those classic region wide squall lines that survives all the way to the coast.
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
LongBeachSurfFreak replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Again, that is only representative of the surface and not the OHC which is what really matters. We have seen a very windy NH winter which had the effect of turning over the surface. It’s not like the year over year temp dropped because the overhead temps were much colder then normal. Increased winds are well predicted by climate change models and are reason for counterintuitive storm number forecasts. -
I was at the beach earlier and it was damn near perfect. Visibility was so good you could see Fire Island from Jones Beach, very rare. Then boom the wind switched from a nice warm land breeze to a fridged sea breeze and I was outta there. Currently perfect in Lynbrook with a slight sea breeze.
