wdrag
Meteorologist-
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KFWN
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Wantage, NJ (8 mi south of High Point Monument - 3mi w KFWN). 740' MSL
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Interests
Relevancy into my 90s, family doing well-enjoying life, running a bit, cycling a bit, ATL Braves system, Weather Science.
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Sandy Hook briefly leveled at Moderate flood level 7.7' MLLW a few minutes ago. a 3' surge due to lowered pressure and timing of max gust 50 MPH inflow.
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NOT overperforming... performing very close as modeled 5-6 days ago.
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Rainfall 1-2" in NJ except Sussex County and a few spots on the coast 3/4-1". NYC around 0.8 so far except about 1.5 Staten Island.
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I will post a general modeling summary after this event is over going back to the original guidance available Sunday and from CPC a week ago. Initial lessons: GFS max wind gusts too light with EC and NAM gusts better. Let's remember for the future on easterly wind events.
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Max gust on NYS mesonet sites about 5-8 MPH less than ASOS max gusts. Officially minor flood at Sandy Hook. FS 6.7". they are at 7.15 bobbing around and may go up and bother 0.3' through there high tide cycle now. Attached... Also 10-13,000 meters without power now in all three states of NJ, NY, PA. Wind related.
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Widespread Gusts on ASOS NYC metro airports 40-46 KT past couple of hours.
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saw Staten Island NYS mesonet 0.90. At least one major NYC TV station is behind the reality
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NWS PHI recently upgraded the advisory to a Coastal Flood Warning for Ocean County-moderate flooding.
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KFRG: Farmingdale, Republic Airport, NY, United States [44kt, 23m/s] KJFK: JFK Intl Arpt, NY, United States [46kt, 24m/s] KNEL: Lakehurst, NJ, 44 kt
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Apparent storm damage on TV in the Bronx. 1200 meters out on Staten Island. now is the time for 45 MPH+ wind gusts n our area...next 5 hours; except later e Li.
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Thanks for your update and that matches the radar estimates. Brielle on the North shore of Ocean County NJ now G 52 Mph. winds increasing northward in NJ.
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1/2"/hr n-s stripe near PHL with lightning now. not sure where this will end up but should rock a bit this aft-eve in our area...even e LI later this eve.
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Noting power outages increasing PA-NJ .. over 7000 in NJ and some of it seems high terrain, esp ne PA.
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really... very nice. Maybe you head for 2.5". Thinking some spots in our forum I95 westward 3-3.5" in 9 hours soon.
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