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Everything posted by bluewave
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Newark is accurate.This summer is an over the top heat pattern. So DCA to Philly is running cooler than points further north. Summer 2021 highs so far Boston…….100° Hartford…..99° LGA…….….100° Corona……103° Newark…..103° Philly……….97° DCA………..95°
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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Flash Flood Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 514 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021 NJC005-PAC017-101-130100- /O.CON.KPHI.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-210713T0100Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Burlington NJ-Bucks PA-Philadelphia PA- 514 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR BENSALEM, BRISTOL, FLORENCE AND VICINITY... ...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON, SOUTHEASTERN BUCKS, AND NORTHEASTERN PHILADELPHIA COUNTIES... At 514 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 4 and 7 inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring. This is a FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY for Bensalem, Bristol, Florence and vicinity. This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding caused by thunderstorms. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER GROUND NOW! Life threatening flash flooding of low water crossings, small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets, and underpasses. Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Philadelphia, Bensalem, Willingboro, Florence, Burlington, Bristol, Riverside, Palmyra, Bordentown, Beverly, and Tullytown. This includes the following highways... New Jersey Turnpike between exits 6 and 7A. Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 350 and 359. Interstate 95 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 27 and 40. Interstate 295 in New Jersey between mile markers 48 and 57. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to higher ground now! This is an extremely dangerous and life-threatening situation. Do not attempt to travel unless you are fleeing an area subject to flooding or under an evacuation order. &&- 382 replies
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Very unusual to get such a low a mid-July extent with a strong reverse dipole.This used to be a cold regime that was great for sea ice retention. But the NSIDC noted how its been warmer than expected for a strong low pressure pattern. https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ Unusually strong low pressure (up to 10 hPa below average) near the North Pole dominated the average atmospheric circulation pattern for June Air temperatures near strong low pressure areas over the Arctic Ocean have historically been associated with relatively cool conditions. However, June temperatures in the vicinity of the low-pressure pattern were near the long-term average.
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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
http://www.nysmesonet.org/weather/meteogram#network=nysm&stid=manh The Manhattan mesonet picked up 0.98 in just 15 minutes.- 382 replies
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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Newark set its wettest July record last year. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Total Precipitation Missing Count 1 2020 11.22 0 2 1988 9.98 0 3 1984 8.65 0 4 2004 8.39 0 5 1996 8.27 0 6 1975 8.02 0 7 1938 7.96 0 8 1961 7.95 0 9 1967 7.53 0 10 1969 7.11 0- 382 replies
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Severe June 2021 Heatwave in Phoenix and Tucson
bluewave replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Pretty impressive so far.- 33 replies
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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Parts of the area are almost to 10.00” on the month so far. Locust Valley 0.3 E Lat: 40.8813 Lon: -73.5813 * indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report Station NY-NS-32 Date Precip in. 07/01/2021 0.52 07/02/2021 1.26 07/03/2021 1.67 07/04/2021 -- 07/05/2021 -- 07/06/2021 -- 07/07/2021 0.22 07/08/2021 -- 07/09/2021 5.81 07/10/2021 0.37 07/11/2021 -- Totals : 9.85 in.- 382 replies
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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The HREF did a good job on rainfall amounts with Elsa and the moisture streaming north the day before. So more flash flooding potential on top of already saturated ground. Parts of the area will make a run on their wettest July records.- 382 replies
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Severe June 2021 Heatwave in Phoenix and Tucson
bluewave replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Tuesday looks like it may be the first time that we had a 597 dm backdoor pattern in July. The forecast 597 dm height is among the highest on record for July. In the past, this has been associated with record heat instead of a cooler easterly flow.
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Tracking The 3”+ Heavy Rainfall Events Since 2010
bluewave replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Updated for the 6.18 max at Locust Valley, NY NY-NS-32 Locust Valley 0.3 E Lat: 40.8813 Lon: -73.5813 Date Precip in. 07/09/2021 5.81 07/10/2021 0.37 Totals : 6.18 in. -
The next record WAR pattern this week will have more clouds, convection, and onshore flow than the previous ones. So the high temperature potential will be lower. But the mid to upper 70s Miami dew points will make it feel warmer than the actual temperatures.
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Several stations just had their wettest first 9 days of July on record. So it’s no surprise that July is off to a cooler start. Seems like the only way to keep our summer temperatures down these days is to have a deluge. EWR….+0.6…..4.75 NYC…..-2.1……6.79 LGA……-2.0…..4.74 JFK……-1.1…….3.72 BDR…….-2.1…..7.63 ISP………-1.3.…4.58
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nearly 10.00” since June 30-July 1 near the North Shore. NY-NS-32 Locust Valley 0.3 E Lat: 40.8813 Lon: -73.5813 * indicates Multi-Day Accumulation Report Station NY-NS-32 Date Precip in. 07/01/2021 0.52 07/02/2021 1.26 07/03/2021 1.67 07/04/2021 -- 07/05/2021 -- 07/06/2021 -- 07/07/2021 0.22 07/08/2021 -- 07/09/2021 5.81 Totals : 9.48 in.- 587 replies
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The July 1-9 record rainfall could be signaling that the all-time June high of 103° at Newark will be the warmest of the summer. This was earliest in the season that we had a tropical storm or hurricane following a 100° day by a very wide margin. The usual pattern in the past was to have the 100° heat in July or August with the tropical system in August or September. This seasonal cycle getting moved up to late June and early July is unprecedented since at least 1944. Newark closest 100° dates followed by a tropical storm or hurricane 8-5-44….102°………9-15-44……Great Atlantic Hurricane 7-31-54…103°……...8-31-54……Hurricane Carol….10-15-54….Hurricane Hazel 8-2-55….100°……….8-13-55……TS Connie…..8-17-55….TS Diane 7-21-91...102°……….8-19-91……Hurricane Bob 7-5-99….103°…….…9-16-99…..TS Floyd 7-22-11…108°……….8-28-11……Hurricane Irene 7-18-12…104°……….10-29-12…Hurricane Sandy 6-30-21…103°………7-9-21……..TS Elsa
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Nearly 6.00 so far along the North Shore. Station Number: NY-NS-32 Station Name: Locust Valley 0.3 E Observation Date 7/9/2021 9:30 AM Submitted 7/09/2021 9:38 AM Total Precip Amount 5.81 in. Notes Still raining heavily Taken at registered location Yes Snow Information New Snow Depth NA New Snow Water Equivalent NA Total Snow Depth NA Total Snow Water Equivalent NA Duration Information Precipitation Began -- Precipitation Ended -- Heavy Precip Began -- Heavy Precip Lasted -- Duration Time Accuracy -- Additional Information Additional Data Recorded No Submitted 7/09/2021 9:38 AM Flooding --- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
3.81 at the Wantagh mesonet with north winds gusting to 40 mph.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
3.76 at the Wantagh mesonet with clearing to our SW.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
3.56 at Wantagh since yesterday.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
3.05 now in Wantagh with roughly half the total falling in the last hour.- 587 replies
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SVR-PRE (ELSA) potential NYC subforum Tue-Fri morning July 6-9, 2021
bluewave replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I have flash flooding here in SW Suffolk with a small lake around my place in the grass. While the Wantagh mesonet may not be under the heaviest band, they picked up 1.00 in just 30 min and are at 2.50 so far.These are some of my heaviest rates of the last few years.- 587 replies
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