daxx

We just had a 6-7 week period of earlier winter weather.  I don't think anyone on here can look back and say the last several weeks were crap.  We are about to go through a semi break.  Is it a week or two? Is it longer? We don't really know.  We also have to remember that a shutout in the midatlantic/DC area does not mean we are shutout around here.  I really think some people expect snow around the holidays. I think I can count on one hand maybe two that we have seen snow around the holiday period.  Our meat and potatoes are from mid January onward.   It would be great to get winter from December 1 through March 31, but we don't live on the Tug hill. Once we get our first decent event, all will be forgotten. 

Coating number two for day. Roads this time. 

https://www.marylandwx.com/radar/klwxstate_br.php  
 

I use this for us southern folks. 

3 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Backdoor started showing up early Monday night and yesterday.

Looks much better today.

Just now, 2001kx said:

We basically had nothing on the ground before that band.

Wow! That is awesome bud. Visibility had to be incredible with that!

1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said:

Euro bowling ball 12/26 and 12/27, with some scattered frozen in PA,  at least SOMETHING to watch...quick warm up afterwards as it drags a warm front our way but better than watching the parade of highs on the GFS.

 

Much different euro run this go around.

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Looks like we might get a backdoor front sometime on Christmas eve? 

Yea...It actually has a light snow to a mix the Friday after Christmas. Way out there, but at least it's not as bad as  previous runs.

Dare I say the 12z Euro has us chilly for Christmas day now.

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Dusting here at work. Had near zero vis for about 3-5 minutes. 

Sorry Brian! I was watching it and wondered if you were in on it. Missed your post above. 

Yea it was a whiteout for a short time. Went outside to walk in it.  Absolutely beautiful. 

I have a good dusting here. It sure beats the bust from the other day.

8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Very dark here across the river from you. 

Wife reports a squall at home.  

Some of those streamers over Clearfield county and over towards Lock Haven look very intense. 

Flakes are flying here. Nice to see.

1 minute ago, anotherman said:

I vote to keep the banter and more serious forecasting discussion all in one thread.  It's what makes this thread cool.  Don't have to walk on egg shells the whole time.

Agree...Why change it.  If you don't like banter, skip over it.  Some people take this too serious! Why is it so bad to discuss on topic and off topic in the same thread? Big deal!

3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

One thing I want to say: 

Most if not all of us are here because we love snow. It's a shared passion of the chase, the euphoria that comes with the storm itself, and the exhaustion that follows thereafter. Most of us can relate to that in some way...

At the same time, we're all very different. Some want early snow followed by early spring. Some want wall to wall winter. Some want many light to moderate snowfalls while others would exchange it all for a big crushing. Some love to watch it fall and some want to see it on the ground for weeks and weeks.

No one is more right or more wrong than the next person. We all things that WE want...and that's okay. We can all respect what others want.

Me? I want snow cover. I want it to stick around for a good long time. That means if I could choose between a 30" snowstorm or a 20" storm with a few hours of sleet on top...give me the latter please. Because...it will last. But that's me, your mileage will vary.

Enjoy the ride guys...it's the only ride we have. 

This is good stuff Mike! I want it all.  Not asking for much! Lol

3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Yes & I just saw your posts tonight in the Mid Atlantic thread.... there are a few of us that are nowhere close to the ledge. The winter game is just getting started !

If there is someone on here close to the ledge on December 17 then they need to take a break for god sakes.   If you ask me we are on track for a decent Winter.   I agree with you the game has just started.

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

It's just not the same to me.  In March the end is near and there is little chance of keeping a snow pack in March.  I guess I get irritated when I see the posts, on Dec 17th, that winter has not started yet.  They are just folks trying to make the bad news hurt less.  LOL.  It makes it worse that I read dozens of no nothing tweets, copied over to the MA thread, from amateur Met's who said we would be rockin' right now.  I think some of the posts just from a couple weeks ago suggested we were heading into one of our best patterns in years.  

I guess winter is just about shot in the ass. Bring on winter 20-21!

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

We are pretty much punting the first 1/3 of winter if the long range models are correct so we better enjoy this cold weather the rest of the week.  And please no winter has not started yet replies, LOL...winter is 17 days old and will be 1/3 over when the turn to 2020.  December is more Winter than March.

 

 

March has outperformed December for several years now.   For cold and snow. 

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

How much rain did you get? 

I didn’t check before I left for work.  It had to be well over an inch. 

5 minutes ago, canderson said:

So. Much. F'n. Rain. 

Remember all that rain your were praying for five months ago?  Your prayers are now answered!

2 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

I'v always found it intriguing, how micro climates still exist within general regions (ie peidmont).  While in general Trainers mindset of being burnt more than not is true for most everyone in the forum, like you stated someone still cashes in while others largely sit on sidelines...thats my point.  In fairness to Trainer, it was always a light qpf event for part 1, but if you look in the MA forum, many are on the snow board this morning (best forcing was slated a little south of, so its understandable. 

Yea...closer to the actual warm front really helped. You could see the precip riding along it. As you stated best forcing. 

Just south of us in parts Maryland they had 1-2.  

It’s all about location with this one. For my area complete bust so far. One county west they are well with in range.

That was by far the best virga storm in awhile here. Lol...Just a very light dusting. 

3 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

For amusement only: (this is somewhat aggressive for me) 

@MAG5035 3.3"

@Cashtown_Coop 2.5"

@CarlislePaWx 1.7"

@daxx 1.3"

@Blizzard of 93 @sauss06 1" (actually slightly less, but you'll be able to slant stick your way to 1" :)) 

@pasnownut .75"

@Superstorm .6"

@Voyager .5"

@canderson No trees down on Front Street

@Wmsptwx f*ck the Patriots 

 

I'll take it! You didn't include yourself. 

25 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I think a lot will depend on the MJO. The models are split as to which phase it goes into when it emerges from the COD. 

As for this moment, I’m going to try to enjoy the little bit of snow tomorrow & then see where things go from there.

It would be nice to come out in phase 7 and go into phase 8 by early January.