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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Just went to 1/2SM here at the airport, solid band with the lake effect.
  2. Since you mentioned this I wanted to give my thoughts on this one. There is definitely a moisture surge that comes north Monday into Tuesday, but it comes north with a modest LLJ, weaker than one would expect and the system isn't overly strong. What is good about that is the WAA would be weaker than expected, and with a cold dense air mass in place it would be slower to get shunted away and that's without factoring in a decent snow pack that gets added to today into tomorrow. I would say I could see a colder solution barring a dramatic change, and the GFS is definitely leaning that way with a solid snowfall on Tuesday with some ice along I-80.
  3. As for the snow so far 1.4" as of 7am still snowing solidly as of this moment as well. Probably end up in the 2-3" range for the first part of the system.
  4. Don't worry he will be gone at some point today. Trying so hard to keep coming back as if any of us want him here.
  5. There will be a bit of a lull but not that long, and clippers tend to move in quicker than forecast. Either way it looks like we will get some solid snows.
  6. To be fair all of these maps include tonight but between tonight and thursday into friday it should be a solid hit of 4-8" across most of southern MI, Chicago should get some lake effect that would push them higher
  7. It's not alone either. Tomorrow night could be a surprise.
  8. The clipper tonight might. It's going to be high ratio for sure.
  9. This was/is definitely a weird storm that is for sure.
  10. GFS mostly did well here, it kept us mostly snow. Euro was not good.
  11. It filled in quite a bit, and when it does come in it might be as it gets colder.
  12. I'd say this is significant considering we were going to get screwed especially us on the east side
  13. I am thinking it should, we do need that dryslot to fill in which it is doing so pretty well.
  14. Its heavy snow and sticking here at Metro, ground already coated too.
  15. Its not raining downtown, that map is wrong.
  16. 33/32 and heavy snow here at the airport.
  17. Started as straight snow here at the airport about a half hour ago, it was 37/30 then now its 35/32. Still need a bit of work to get accumulations but it is all snow.
  18. There won't be sleet, the warm air isn't aloft its at the surface for us. It will either be snow or rain.
  19. Yeah, I will say this, the low that is supposed to come north is definitely on the east end of the guidance right now.
  20. An emoji of a man shrugging. Honestly its so changeable that I don't know what may happen. We need to keep the temp down though before precip falls otherwise we may be in the same situation as last event.
  21. That's quite a surprise considering that area was supposed to be right on the edge of things.
  22. Euro is going to score a big one or be big time wrong, most other models have leaned the other way today
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