Stebo
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Everything posted by Stebo
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33/32 and heavy snow here at the airport.
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Started as straight snow here at the airport about a half hour ago, it was 37/30 then now its 35/32. Still need a bit of work to get accumulations but it is all snow.
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There won't be sleet, the warm air isn't aloft its at the surface for us. It will either be snow or rain.
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Yeah, I will say this, the low that is supposed to come north is definitely on the east end of the guidance right now.
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An emoji of a man shrugging. Honestly its so changeable that I don't know what may happen. We need to keep the temp down though before precip falls otherwise we may be in the same situation as last event.
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That's quite a surprise considering that area was supposed to be right on the edge of things.
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Euro is going to score a big one or be big time wrong, most other models have leaned the other way today
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Nonzero, especially if that powerband comes through for us.
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Stack them deep
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The big issue is if stuff from Chicago gets sent to Detroit and then Detroit overperforms. Jan 1999 blizzard happened like that.
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Probably bad. Even if the weather is better by then the plane that was supposed to be there may not be.
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Oh we can still make fun, he will read everything has he shrivels up like his palms.
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Yeah but eventually warm air advection will win out.
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Advection will overpower nocturnal cooling. We will warm up, it just depends on which model as to how brief it will be.
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Cromartie, since I know you are reading this, stop making accounts. You have made 7 accounts already that have been banned in the last week. Take a hint, you are banned, go find another place to annoy.
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I honestly don't know what is going to happen here, but every model at this point but the Euro brings snow to SE MI as dynamic cooling takes effect as the low strengthens and has flow from the east or northeast. I am just a bit gun shy from the complete failure of Wednesday but the difference this time is the precip rates should be much more considerable, compared to the precip rates on Wednesday which were weak.
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That being said I think SEMI gained a bit tonight on the models but its is incredibly tenuous and could easily go back the other direction. I would love to be in SW MI for this, they look to get absolutely bonecrushed.
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Its misleading a bit, it shows snow with a 3/2c surface. Unless it is absolutely coming down and cold aloft, that is rain. I will say it is decent up until 00z but its hard to buy
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LLJ going to win out, I would lean warmer and we have seen warmer yesterday. The only saving grace to the north and east could be a quicker occlusion but beyond that the warmth along and east of the low track should win out.
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The only positive thing from this is that they could be killed, and the crowd would rejoice Seriously though going from what we are now to this without snow would be pretty lousy
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I wonder who you could be...
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Is there anywhere to see its test data or experimental output? The way it sounds is that it should be treated like the new SREF if its an ensemble.
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We will see what the 12z does but, this isn't a ringing endorsement for the RRFS over the NAM or the RRFS for this storm.
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Not in a Nino, which is why if we don't get much Friday that would almost seal it for a below normal snow for the season. You can't just punt Dec and January and hope that Feb/Mar pay off.
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Hi, I see myself from yesterday in this image
