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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. There is actually a reason why, and if it does come to fruition it would bust most areas. It amplifies a lead head of the vort in the north forcing a low to the north.
  2. I wonder if you will use the phrase "white rain" for this area
  3. You had me until you posted this, SREF is garbage and you know it.
  4. The lake isn't your friend with this storm. It's going to be a white rain downtown more than likely.
  5. It would almost guarantee a below normal snow season here because cold and dry doesn't yield much snow even with some lake effect.
  6. Yes I think a few inches is maybe possible but I can't go above 4" and honestly that might get washed away by rain too, just like yesterday.
  7. The atmosphere is pretty similar to the current storm with this one. Idk why you guys think a bust potential isn't there with essentially the same storm again especially in the city of Chicago. Joe is seeing it so is Alek.
  8. Nah this storm is going to go west and make sure it clubbers Chicago while it rains again here.
  9. Oh yeah totally love it. At this point I'm just going to stop talking about this storm because the minute I say anything it blows up in my face. Congrats Chicago
  10. The Euro being overamplified as usual.
  11. Euro/NAM had it tracking north of you guys or right over. The low is in Central IL where the GFS had it.
  12. Still overamplified, its not hard to understand with minimal phasing that we aren't getting a sub 970mb low. Remember what today was supposed to be, in the low 970s and right now its about 10mb weaker than that.
  13. Thankfully its on its own and realistically it should have been weaker, the trough was faster and flatter but somehow still wrapped up.
  14. It could be when he has lived down south
  15. sounds like he is past his prime, like the Euro.
  16. Still a ton of moving parts one would expect the Euro to come down some this upcoming run though.
  17. It is better for here than the Euro.
  18. Yep, like I mentioned earlier, it will still be a good storm and most will get a good hit but these sub 970mb lows are a pipe dream, just like they were for the current system.
  19. I would like that too, everyone wins everyone is happy. Today is pretty much everyone loses no one is happy.
  20. Yeah I am not saying it can't happen either but looking at how the models handled the current system one would have to think the Euro is overcooked.
  21. Definitely don't like the Euro overamplified look, but I will say it was overamplified with the current system at this junction too. The GFS is probably a more reasonable solution just because the rarity of getting a low as strong as the Euro that far south and the GFS did pretty well with the current system where as a lot of other models had the low further north.
  22. Complete dud here, rain mostly with a few flakes mixing in.
  23. At this point I would be riding the obs.
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