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Stebo

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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    Definitely don't like the Euro overamplified look, but I will say it was overamplified with the current system at this junction too. The GFS is probably a more reasonable solution just because the rarity of getting a low as strong as the Euro that far south and the GFS did pretty well with the current system where as a lot of other models had the low further north.
  2. Stebo
    Complete dud here, rain mostly with a few flakes mixing in.
  3. Stebo
    At this point I would be riding the obs.
  4. Stebo
    DDC gusted to 54 GCK 67 Guymon OK, 74 and Raton NM 90.
  5. Stebo
    All 3 of those were still great systems here, no need for greed when we have had nothing so far.
  6. Stebo
    A panhandle hook is one of the classic snowstorm tracks for us. GHD blizzard 78 and 99 all were panhandle hooks.
  7. Stebo
    I mean we have had several plus this low is going to be near Memphis before moving north.
  8. Stebo
    Not with the blocking in place and the potential of occlusion pulling away the warm air.
  9. Stebo
    We have a bunch of times lmao.
  10. Stebo
    I think that back in the day it was much better and people remember the wins, but it never really got much better since then while the GFS has actually gotten much better over time.
  11. Stebo
    Front end thump may not last long here but it should come down hard when it hits tomorrow morning and impact the morning drive in. Solid 3-4 should come with that initial hit and then some backside snow on Tuesday night.
  12. Stebo
    Honestly we don't know the track yet, a few models have this coming straight north too. I would probably discount those models as its just very rare to get a track like that. Also you can get a situation like the Canadian where you get an attempt at a transfer which could pull the warm air away from the region as well. A lot of moving parts to this one including the small system in between that could lower heights as well ahead of this system.
  13. Stebo
    Lol, you are such a deflated balloon, I swear.
  14. Stebo
    Yep, this is exactly what I was talking about. The lack of smoothing because everything is ultra concise, you can sometimes amplify errors.
  15. Stebo
    Euro is just some big time garbage at this point. If this was a new model that came out right now it would be given the ICON treatment and not get used.
  16. Stebo
    This is sad really.
  17. Stebo
    I hope they like near 0 temps
  18. Stebo
    It is a possibility as well but I think this is the basement, it completely flattens the pattern because of amplifying a trailing wave between this storm and the wednesday storm.
  19. Stebo
    Kind of but the difference is this vort is more pacific originating and dives further south, its a loose analog though with the shape of the setup.
  20. Stebo
    Not saying it will happen but the pattern does have great potential There are quite a bit of similarities to another monster
  21. Stebo
    It will keep changing so I am not going to take a bow by any stretch here, it could easily suppress further south or go back north.
  22. Stebo
    Exactly
  23. Stebo
    zzzzz
  24. Stebo
    Ahh yes the unknown poster who is so casual with everyone, I'd watch out before a house falls on you too
  25. Stebo
    Nothing but clouds here, everything eroded as it moved east.
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