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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. Stebo
    Not a big dog, but a moderate dog is still fun.
  2. Stebo
    Once the sun starts to go down this should stick better on the roads. The shaded spots on roads are already getting some accumulations.
  3. Stebo
    This is kind of a poor mans version for sure, I would say this had the potential to be a wrapped up biggie like that in that location even.
  4. Stebo
    Oh the Op GFS is the easiest toss ever. We need to go back to the AVN model.
  5. Stebo
    Models besides GFS give us about .50-.60" liquid equivalent, should be locked in on the 4-7"
  6. Stebo
    Make sure to pile up all the dust, maybe you will hit that 5.5"
  7. Stebo
    I think the going forecast is good from DTX, they are going with 4-7". Tonight's snow will be the deciding factor if we get closer to 4 or 7. I think we will average around 10:1 with this, we will need good rates through tomorrow during the day to stick to the roads appreciably.
  8. Stebo
    I think 3-6 is about it for SEMi. Closer to 6 if we get a bit tonight closer to 3 if tonight is more rain than snow.
  9. Stebo
    YOU DIDNT GIVE ME ENOUGH TIME!!!! Plus I did know this one. Back when Michigan got tornadoes.
  10. Stebo
    If we end up getting this storm I cant go lower than a C as we will be shockingly butting up against average but this might be one of the most frustrating winters in quite some time. Even 2012 wasn't as bad because you knew you weren't getting much after awhile, so there wasn't any of this pulling of the rug nonsense.
  11. Stebo
    Drive to see the snow.
  12. Stebo
    Maybe the hemorrhaging has slowed and the clock can run out.
  13. Stebo
    Still respectable and nothing like the shitpile gfs.
  14. Stebo
    They were like...
  15. Stebo
    I will say the shift se wasnt as substantial this run and some models are coming in a tick juicier.
  16. Stebo
    The worst part is that our bullseyes are not even remotely locked in and we are within 2 days.
  17. Stebo
    Noticed this as well, which is why the snow swath is becoming more sw-ne oriented run to run. Just need to stop shifting the swath eastward.
  18. Stebo
    18z Euro ensembles actually coming in a bit juicier for MI and Ontario.
  19. Stebo
    You locking in on a DAB now?
  20. Stebo
    Eventually someone will get that but I don't think it will be that far SW.
  21. Stebo
    I locked in 3-5" online with as minimal confidence as possible. Watch or not I have no confidence of these 6"+ amounts.
  22. Stebo
    I'll be surprised if we see more than 4" and that is coming from the inside of all the current bullseyes.
  23. Stebo
    It is, but his post came with some spinner bait attached. SEMI is the king of 6-10" and that is what I would be saying would happen, if I had any confidence in the forecast. I don't though because there is nothing to latch onto, that says this won't keep evaporating.
  24. Stebo
    It is 2020, we shouldn't be having massive shifts like this in modeling and it isn't just the US models either. Ukie has been consistent with where it is putting the snow, but surely not how it is was evolving the system itself. The other foreign models have been diving SE too, though the US models have been the most erratic.
  25. Stebo
    3k would still be snowing well beyond that. That would be a big time hit for Chicago to Detroit
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