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Stebo

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Stebo

  1. If split flow is the theme for this winter then we can just jet right to April.
  2. You aren't kidding, hell some of the soundings for here have PWATs near .70 with an all snow profile.
  3. More low centers north of the river/not in TN/MS/AL. Something to monitor for sure for a trend or just a blip.
  4. What is your take on the Euro and its ensembles being notoriously dry with cold season precip in the cold sector of systems. Been noticing that since the upgrade before last winter.
  5. Euro has had moisture issues since the last update before last winter, so this isn't surprising to see the differences.
  6. Above normal for all the major cities in the east, color me shocked. He should just issue this forecast every year September 1st.
  7. It has been wet and seasonably mild that's about it. Though that is down here, up north it has been the opposite.
  8. Now do 10/31 to 11/21 added in since you cherry picked the only warm period since snow started falling.
  9. Locally it is true since the late 70s. snowy November has equaled a less snowy December since the late 70s locally. Before than it is more mixed.
  10. The concern I have with that mean is that it might be too far east for most here with the trough axis. I guess we will see but I don't want to jump into a nor'Easter bonanza while we shut down.
  11. All the interesting shit evaporated, so did everyone.
  12. This would help us destroy our November snowfall record. Lock it in.
  13. It was bad and the Euro was money. I can't say ignore but it certainly isn't off to a good start.
  14. Yeah my posts were only in reference to the maps being posted not whether they'd verify. It isn't worth going that in depth on a day 10 forecast.
  15. It is very early for this kind of cold and suppression. Going from late summer to dead of winter with minimal snow isn't something appealing.
  16. Oh really? A trough centered over the eastern lakes isn't a cold and dry pattern? That is news to me. Sure you could end up with a dusty clipper or two but that isn't a favorable pattern for this subforum unless you are downwind of the lakes.
  17. We need that trough centered west unless you like cold and dry.
  18. Need that centered about 500 miles west otherwise cold and dry wins
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