Looking forward to my chasecation that starts a week from today, there is potential though it is conditional to start before increasing. It will just be good to be on the road.
Recently yes, historically no. We are one of a handful of states to have multiple F5s and thats not even including 1896 outbreak that would assuredly yielded more. Not to mention the countless derechoes we had especially in the 90s. I don't know what has happened since then though but its been sparse other than a few outlying years for tornadoes 2010/2021.
What might happen in the UP is really terrible, they already have a decent snow pack still, and adding 3+ feet of cement on top with all that weight is just going to create major issues.
You are a clown and this is done, this is weather side, if you want to talk politics you know where you can, in the Off topic...oh wait, maybe at the sesh.... oh wait. Well maybe you can go to a corner and shout.
The blocking will weaken, all the teleconnections go toward favorable values and the MJO progresses out of the phase it is in now. The ensembles reflect this nicely.