frd

Cold Air Outbreak

Brrr

Coldest version yet Notice the cold settling South and directed ESE and almost a - 4 SD cold near Northern Montana.

Couple issues with timing and suppression. Similar concerns from before. Now watch the cold come and we go dry. Not sure I buy the UKMET snowfall.

What in the world made accu weather jump the gun forecasting , even though two options were presented, that a huge snowstorm would hit the East Coast ? It never was even close .

EPS hour 120 and then 126. If there is going to be a storm to effect us, it looks to be a fast mover with the arctic air mass on its heels.

Accu Weather with this these 2 possible outcomes

GEFS A hair North compared to 12z

1059 mb @webberweather 1058-1059mb is the MSLP record to beat for Feb in SW Canada and the northern Rockies. 12z Euro is breaking that at day 9. 2:08 PM · Feb 2, 2021·Twitter for iPhone

OMG, If your posting here it's getting real !

You had to go there, didn't you.

I like 2/10 to 2/18

Did you see the almost 1060 High pressure system above Montana at 240 hours in the Euro HI - Res ?

Interesting, look out West as well.

I recall the famous December 4 th or 5 th snowstorm from 2002 I believe. The lead into that great winter, and a great tip off to the potential as well for the months ahead. We had 6 to 8 inches of snow here. The following day my daughter had piano lessons, I recall taking her out that morning and with the incoming cold air combined with deep snow cover we achieved a low of 6 or 7 degrees F. I believe. Snow cover, if deep enough, as you know is a real boost to lower temps at night and the day as well.

I do a lot better in moderate Ninos, even strong ones with blocking here.

The 10 day threat may just move East

Next Friday , this may be the Webb over running event, hard to tell.

Next one

Its prime climo, I expect better. Up North has a better climo, we all know that, but honestly look at some of those totals from the last storm. . I guess I am also frustrated by this last storm, was forecasted to get 10 inches and only received 4 inches.

Sucks for us here yet AGAIN according to the Euro . Actually I rather go frigid and miss all the modeled snow with a threat of suppression. Same areas that got screwed the last three days get screwed again.

GEFS