John1122

You guys have been impressively cold for this one. I think that's one of the reasons Mid-state areas over performed, amazing ratios.

Crossing 4 inches as the air is filled with pixie dust. It actually warmed up to 23 degrees earlier but dropped back to 21 now.

Under one of my best bands of the night right now. Solid quarter sized flakes and a lot of them. Definitely powdered sugar/pixie dust at 19 degrees.

I bought two 12 inch rulers the other day for snow measuring because I have a terrible time holding a measuring tape and taking a photo. They looked funny because they had a blank space before the mark start and after the 12. I measured them with the tape measure and they are 12.5 inches long and have instructions in small letters on starting at the mark instead of the end of the ruler. So here i am at 3:30 in the morning trimming my rulers to their actual measurement to measure snow. I at least don't feel so odd after some of the otner revelations tonight. I am baffled that they couldn't just trim the extra off each end of the ruler or set the machine to run them at exactly 12 inches.

The HRRR and NAM at least, has the band lifting north of 40 until 8am or so then heavier returns start working back your way. This is basically "bonus" snow with the main part of it still to come.

I'm at about 2 inches now. Been sticking for about 6 hours. So I'm averaging about .3 inches per hour. Talk about slow and steady!

There's a heck of a band through Nashville that hopefully heads your way.

Had a nice 20 minutes of high rates and then a lull. Looks like another shot of heavy returns are almost here. About 1.25-1.5 inches.

The Euro finally fattened its snow band and came north a ways. Would be pretty good for us all.

Can't get the cam to actually play but a screen shot from south of me in LaFollette.

03z RAP

There's going to be a warm up for 5-6 days, but the MJO should be headed towards the favorable phases around the 28th and there looks to be a PNA ridge inbound. It should set the stage for favorable weather in the first half of February.

I sleep about 7 hours a week when we have winter threats.

The NAM has heavy snow over all of Cumberland County at 7pm tomorrow. The RGEM has snow all the way to Nashville at 7pm. There may be a break in it for a time in some areas but the models are actually trending away from the break.

25W north of LaFollette near where I turn off. The highway was clear about 10:25 when I came in.

It's mostly going to be a slow and steady event tonight. I think I saw MRX or OHX mention 1/4th inch per hour rates overnight in one of their discos. Still, if we get 1/4th to 1/2 inch per hour for the next 8 hours, that adds up to several inches. As noted, tomorrow we get some gulf connection and rates go up.

The GFS was a nice 1-3 with some 4+ areas for the Thursday/Friday event. The air behind it may be as cold or even colder than this. The heart of winter here is January 15th to February 15th. It's the coldest and snowiest time of winter here. You can hardly beat having a favorable pattern in this window. It looks like we might have one for a good part of that window.

Getting close to an inch down now. Snowing about 1/2 inch an hour. The HRRR and 3k NAM had me getting 4 inches by 5am. I may get close.

I'm wondering when I'm gonna stop falling. MRX initially had my low at 18 but they actually raised it to 21. These are the 15-17:1 rates the globals were advertising here.

One good burst of heavy rates and calm.traffic would do it I'd think. Once I turned on Hwy 25w North the road was white for me all the way home. No brine there though. Barely even pavement.

What's the temp? It will take lower than 25 or a heavy burst to start on main roads that have salt/brine working. Brine is much less effective below 25 and almost completely ineffective at 15 or lower. I drove home through Jacksboro/LaFollette an hour ago and bridges were covered on brined areas and patches on the roads. But the roads were mostly wet due to the brine. The temp was 27 there then.

I love this camera. Whenever you post it the good times are usually rolling.

As the temp is getting down to the low 20s the flake size has gotten smaller but the visibility is the same. The thick fog look. Just crossing half an inch.

The Arctic air is potent. I'd guess you'll get into the 20s soon.

Continuing to fall.