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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    Weather Next QPF map. 10:1 THAT would be 2.5-4 from the Plateau eastward, but we may be looking at 15:1 or 18:1 ratios.
  2. John1122
    It was the best from what I could tell and basically similar to what happened from 5+ days out. It seems to lock on and hold steady while others bounce around. It may have just gotten lucky. But it's 500mb verification scores are the best of all models this winter.
  3. John1122
    Weather Next would probably be 3-6 inches for most areas from maybe just each of Nashville and East, with 5-8 over far eastern areas.
  4. John1122
    It is pouring quarter + sized flakes out there right now. It's wringing every drop of moisture out. 2 very fluffy inches since last night.
  5. John1122
    It's on StormVista and I believe 12z comes out at 2pm.
  6. John1122
    I'm hoping the Google AI model doesn't move SE. It's been steady with at least 2-4 inches for more of the area, and 4-8 for parts.
  7. John1122
    The Canadian run that did so well for us, the vort is probably 75-100 miles SW of the Euro and it's stronger than the Euro. That little bit was the difference between 4-8 inches for most of East Tennessee and a couple of snow showers. It's a fine line. Hopefully everything is too far east currently, because if we needed it to be east it would truck west.
  8. John1122
    It's weaker and further east than 06z, so we end up dry.
  9. John1122
    The Euro is a whiff that run except for the Smokies/NE mountains.
  10. John1122
    SE shift by the Euro AI, I expect the Euro will follow. Hopefully it can work back this way but not holding my breath.
  11. John1122
    It's frigid, holding at 13 degrees with light snow.
  12. John1122
    That was about a 300 mile NW shift by the Canadian.
  13. John1122
    If this one doesn't trend NW, but not too far, it will truly be another epic failure. I saw a discussion about the NW trend being because models mistake something from range, I think it was something to do with sea temperatures maybe, that causes them to almost universally place systems too far SE. Which is why we see the NW trend constantlly.
  14. John1122
    There's a band actually showing up on radar that has been rolling over me for the last half hour. Sky is full of nickels, it looks foggy out.
  15. John1122
    ICON was decent for the East, 40 north, and still snowing at the end. It was possibly going where the other Models went at 0z. Everything is shifting NW but most of us may be too far west.
  16. John1122
    Nickels and quarters still flying. I've picked up a fluffy 3/4ths inch. Temp is 15. Its so dry a mouse fart will melt it tomorrow.
  17. John1122
    The Euro obliterates far eastern areas and SWVa, those of us on the 75 corridor don't fare very well.
  18. John1122
  19. John1122
    Pretty moderate dimes and nickels falling currently. 18 degrees.
  20. John1122
    Light snow and 20 degrees here. No real sign of anything on radar.
  21. John1122
    Obviously can't trust the Euro at all, but what a crazy cold snow event. Alaska ratios.
  22. John1122
    I'm honestly not sure. I was also driving north at the time. The atmosphere was apparently slightly different on/above the mountain than it was a few miles south in town. That different allowed ice nuclei to form.
  23. John1122
    Spent a couple hours at a friend's house this evening. Heavy freezing mist to light freezing rain across town. Coming home, as soon as I gained about 300 feet in elevation over town it switched to snow. Tiny flakes but thick.
  24. John1122
    Snowing here now. 29 degrees.
  25. John1122
    Best hope, Google's AI model gives us a little hope, and it's been the best model this winter.
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