Jump to content

John1122

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    9,691

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    It looks like it in counties that touch 40 in East Tn and points south. The globals are the best case scenario, giving 12/13:1 over those areas but it lowers into the 10:1 range as the day wears on. The Canadian/GFS look similar. The hi-res models seem to see more warmth but it may be a bias with them. At one point on the NAM your area has 11:1 ratios and McGhee-Tys is closer to 7:1.
  2. John1122
    Some form of system for that time frame, only the GFS is truly rolling big with it for now. The Euro was an Apps runner but we know the trend is SE this year vs the early runs. This current event was much further NW too when it started showing up.
  3. John1122
    12z RRFS A (really need a nickname for this)
  4. John1122
    There's a stark ratio contrast from N to S across East Tennessee. It's less so the further west you go. I generally hover around 14:1 through the event. 11:1 around I-40 but it gets as low as 5:1 in Northeast Alabama and NWGa.
  5. John1122
    For looking back purposes.
  6. John1122
    MRX says no p-type issues anywhere except Georgia border areas.
  7. John1122
    That was a blockbuster on the RGEM.
  8. John1122
    MRX has added the wording "moderate snow accumulation possible" to my forecast for next Thursday night already. That's normally their vernacular for 2-4 inches.
  9. John1122
    My forecast says 1 inch Sunday night, 2-4 Monday, and "Moderate Snow Accumulations Possible" Monday night. That usually means 2-4 inches as well.
  10. John1122
    I take that back. The NAM was colder over Knox Co and didn't have the p-type issues so instead of 3.5 inches Knox was covered by 7+ inches on the 12k. The 3k still has the p-type issues along and S of 40.
  11. John1122
    NAM pretty much stayed the same as 00z, 3k looks like it will too. NW edge of guidance for them. Especially the 3k.
  12. John1122
    It snows forever on there.
  13. John1122
    SREF snow depth mean change. This is pretty impressive for a mean for snow depth.
  14. John1122
    The 03z SREF is maintaining roughly the same snow foot print as earlier runs. That probably means the NAM will stay on the northern edge of guidance.
  15. John1122
    The Euro basically stayed the same. It's on the southern edge of guidance still with the NAM on the northern. Everything else is basically in the middle of both. It keeps the narrow snow footprint.
  16. John1122
    Okay. It must be in the package they email to EMS directors.
  17. John1122
    Someone shared this post. It wasn't from MRX but one of those post the GFS at D12 and say it's going to snow pages. I've looked high and low on MRX socials and the web page and cannot find it. Did anyone else see it or did that page fake it.
  18. John1122
    I think that's a frontal boundary that will reinforce cold air. That's why it's going to be colder tomorrow than today.
  19. John1122
    Brutal cold on the UKIE, seems like it used to be conservative/warm.
  20. John1122
    After looking, there's a warm nose at 925mb that puts Knox County above freezing above the surface for a bit. The ground temp is upper 20s while precip is falling. So there may be some sleet in there.
  21. John1122
    Possibly. I can't see any precip type panels. It's been wound up and warm for a while.
  22. John1122
    UKIE 10:1. Ratio'd should be better. It's came in line with other modeling.
  23. John1122
    The RAP pops a low over SW NC and sends it N as that run ends.
  24. John1122
    Latest model run, 03z RAP. Still snowing 75 corridor and East as of this frame.
  25. John1122
    The WVLT mets did have the infamous "melting into puddles will keep accumulation way down" in regards to I think the March 2022 event.
×
×
  • Create New...