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John1122

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  1. John1122
    6-10 and 8-14 are BN per the CPC and GEFS. That should put 2019 high in the BN November rankings, maybe the coldest for some of us. Last year was cold as well for November, but not quite as cold as this year. That led to a cold start to December and a significant snowfall East of 75. Right now November 1976 is the only one colder in my area after the last few days of BN. Same with Crossville. 1976 had a BN December with several snowy days with around 4 inches falling in the month. It had one week of AN temps from the 10th to the 17th. Nov 1967 was also cold at a similar level to this one. It has a fairly warm December that turned cold on the 22nd. It snowed for 7 days of the last 9 and with around 9 total inches. Nov 1995 is in the top 5 coldest. December was -2.8 and it snowed a little over an inch but snow fell on 7 different days. December 1969 was frigid. -6 BN. Had 8 snowy days including a huge Christmas snowstorm with over 10 inches for the month. December 1955 is the final of the 5 coldest Novembers. It ended -3.5 with snow on 7 different days with 2.5 inches falling. So of the 5 coldest Novembers, 4 of 5 Decembers ended BN temps and 4of them AN snowfall wise and 1 near normal snowfall wise. So the colder the November the higher the correlation to cold Decembers. Just based on that we should have a decent shot at a cold December with some snowy periods if this month continues its BN stretch as forecast.
  2. John1122
    Average temps for the month to date. Southeastern Valley areas (Knox to Chatt) aren't as cold as the rest of the area as far as their historical ranking but 11 of the years in their rankings are from before all the other places had weather stations besides Nashville and Memphis (pre-1920, mostly 1800s). Some of these don't have yesterday factored in yet as well. MBY 39.5 4th coldest Nov Crossville 39.5 5th coldest Nov Nashville 43.6 5th coldest Nov Murfreesboro 42.6 4th coldest Nov. Tri 42.6 8th coldest Nov. Chattanooga 47.6 18th coldest Knox 44.6 17th coldest. Morristown 44.1 4th coldest (only 21 years of records) Oak Ridge 44.9 2nd coldest (21 years) Tazewell 40.5 5th coldest Oneida 39.6 2nd coldest. Cookeville 44.6 17th coldest Clarksville 39.9 2nd coldest on record. Franklin 43 6th coldest. Mem 45.1 2nd coldest Tupelo 45.9 3rd coldest Jackson, TN 41.9 coldest on record. Jonesboro, AR 43.2 coldest on record. Jackson Ky, 41.3 coldest on record. London, Ky 40.9 3rd coldest Abington, Va 40.2 5th coldest.
  3. John1122
    Saw yesterday MRX put a graphic out that said this was Knoxville's earliest 1" snowfall and it listed November 1st 2014 at Tri-Cities. I knew that I had 3 inches on October 31st 1993, and I remember at least north Knoxville having an inch or more. I looked it up and it shows a trace at Tyson, but it shows 1.3 inches at Tri-Cities. not sure how MRX missed 1993.
  4. John1122
    13 this morning. Coldest in any record I have but I noticed that Knoxville set their record in 1911 so it could have been colder here at some point.
  5. John1122
    No November day will top November 25th, 1950. High 8, low -7 here. 8 inches of snow on the ground. It was -8 in Allardt that morning. Which may be the all time record low for November in Tennessee since a lot of stations weren't up back then. It was also -7 in Jamestown that morning and -6 in Monteagle.
  6. John1122
    This is the kind of day I enjoy in winter. It snowed all day long, no melting, temps stayed in the lower 20s. Very unusual to see this wintry an air mass this early.
  7. John1122
    Still snowing here as well. Quarter sized flakes out there. Upslope has added about 1/2 today.
  8. John1122
    1.25 inches. About 1/2 what the more optimistic models were spitting out here but pretty close to what the HRRR was showing towards the event approaching, which was around 1 inch. It closed schools here, so the kids are happy with it too.
  9. John1122
    Not a huge event, but November accumulations outside the last 10 days of the month aren't very common. This one gave us a preview of some model biases to keep in mind as winter unfolds. Hopefully this is the first of many tracking situations that actually works out for us to some extent.
  10. John1122
    Back edge is moving over me now. The snow band is expanding, cold air seems to be passing through the moisture faster or maybe it's being enhanced more, but I'll bet Knox-East and NE exceed WWA criteria.
  11. John1122
    I-75 in southern Campbell from a friend on his way to work.
  12. John1122
    Closing in on an inch, it's just been pouring for the last hour + now.
  13. John1122
    The burst of sleet here laid down a coating of ice that actually aided in sticking of everything. The sleet pellets were oddly large. Guess it was the big flakes melting and refreezing.
  14. John1122
    Moderate to heavy snow now, but its booking out of here. Hopefully we can get some rotation back this way. Not sure that we have much more than 30 minutes or so left though. Ground, decks, cars etc covered.
  15. John1122
    Still a good portion of what's falling is sleet. The warm nose is apparently potent up there somewhere.
  16. John1122
    Sleet/snow mix has finally started. Looks like maybe 2 hours of precip still to go for my area.
  17. John1122
    Down to 32 but still no precip. Just misty. See that Crossville is picking up LT snow now. That's basically upstream for me.
  18. John1122
    Precip has died here and upstream of here. Will see if the precip in the mid state can get here, thinking I'll be lucky to get dusting at this point.
  19. John1122
    Looks like the precip is breaking up for a bit, right as the changeover was getting close.
  20. John1122
    Changing over at elevation above me. I'd guess 2500 feet is changed.
  21. John1122
    Down to 39 now. Snow is breaking out in Fentress on the radar.
  22. John1122
    The snow line looks like it's moving at about 25 mph. Its about 75 miles WNW of me.
  23. John1122
    Somerset is 34 but with rain still. Hopefully it's close to switching over. A shame to waste QPF at that temp.
  24. John1122
  25. John1122
    It's a potent from. My area is modeled to be around 23 by day break.
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