I am not that impressed with Milton tonight. It doesn't seem to be exhausting outflow the way I would like to see for significant overnight intensification. The interaction with the frontal system in the eastern Gulf is also giving it a strange look on satellite. It almost looks like Milton is being undercut or squashed. Anyone else see this?
Steering current usually have to be really strong to yank a system out from near the Bay of Campeche. Milton will be very lucky that there should be just enough influence to do so.
Kirk is now a major hurricane, making it the third major of the season. Once the depression in the Eastern Atlantic gets a name, we will have another named storm and if that becomes a hurricane, we could have 12/8/3 by next week.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Kirk Special Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024
800 PM AST Wed Oct 02 2024
...KIRK RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 44.3W
ABOUT 1355 MI...2180 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 1150 MI...1855 KM ENE OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
Yeah, I suppose southeastern rather than northeastern. One thing clearly obvious from recon just before landfall was how lopsided the intensity was. The eastern side had Category 4 sustained winds, while the western side had extremely low weak winds in comparison.
I am assuming that the highest maximum sustained winds were likely in a very tiny area in the very northeastern side of the eyewall at the immediate coast. My guess is 130 to 140 mph over the wetlands between Steinhatchee and Perry.