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nflwxman

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Everything posted by nflwxman

  1. nflwxman
    Roughly where in the BX are you located?
  2. nflwxman
    Heavy sleet is relentless. Picked up 0.5" of IP in the last hour.
  3. nflwxman
    Really hard to measure in the NW Bronx, but we are probably at 13"ish snow + sleet.
  4. nflwxman
    Looks like 50/50 Snow/IP in NW Bronx.
  5. nflwxman
    Foot + is a lock here. Expect to hold out on all snow until about 2:30ish.
  6. nflwxman
    At about 8.5" in the NW Bronx. Expecting another 3-4" before the transition and maybe 1-2" of IP afterwards.
  7. nflwxman
    Yeah - we will see it slow down, but it really depends on the precip enhancement with the coastal. Gun to head estimate is that it makes it to mid-Westchester with a battle between IP/SN after 2 PM for Manhattan to Tuckahoe.
  8. nflwxman
    It's largely rate dependent. If you look at those flipping to sleet in SNJ, it's correlated to a lull in precipitation. The coastal needs to get cranking in order to enhance precip to the city north to avoid the WAA taking hold. Really interesting to watch.
  9. nflwxman
    In NW Bronx now and I think we got hit with an early band that give us a 1-1.5" head start. I feel like I'm crazy compared to other reports in the city but i'm measuring 6.2 - 6.5" in at least 8 flat locations.
  10. nflwxman
    Yeah - we are getting rocked in Riverdale. Ratios are incredible. I would imagine 1 -2"/hour rates for the next 4-5 hours. 12-14" wouldn't surprise me in the least.
  11. nflwxman
    Work in renewables and can confirm that this is the case. The 2025 numbers are even more compelling. For example, the average cost of an energy storage system dropped about 27% in the past year due to technology improvements (and a reduction in EV demand, unfortunately). Currently, battery systems are competitive with LNG Peaker plans in MISO (Midwest) where fossils were heavy entrenched incumbents. The reality is that PV + BESS make so much sense. The technology pair has no long-term extraction costs, can be recycled, and of course, no long-term combustion impacts. BESS is also the "swiss army knife" of grid technology and can respond to grid disturbances in milliseconds. Peaker plants, or even nuclear, can't do that. The problem is adoption still isn't happening fast enough. This should have been 10 years ago.
  12. nflwxman
    Been several years since I've posted here, but between the recent trends in global temperature, and increased rate of growth in levels of CO2 measured, it's clear we are not in for a good 2030 - 2045 as a species. Mass migration that climate scientists predicted is already happening and clearly causing the geopolitical stresses. Amazing that the media has not acknowledged the truth of that prediction from nearly 20 years ago.
  13. nflwxman
    70 mph sustained 102 mph gust at KSRQ.
  14. nflwxman
    All snow here in Riverdale (Bronx). Temperatures started a bit warm this morning, so i'm not expecting much stickage here outside of unpaved surfaces. Still 34/30.
  15. nflwxman
    Certainly more of a northward turn at the moment on radar - this is pretty close to what's currently modeled on the high res models, which brings 110 mph + gusts to downtown New Orleans.
  16. nflwxman
    I suppose this is the part where a smorgasbord of usual suspects suggest a short term hiatus disproves the seriousness of AGW. This was the same argument that played out in 2011-2014 and it didn't work out well last time for the naysayers. Please refer to the 2012 or 2013 global temperature thread if you want to read prior erroneous declarations from posters.
  17. nflwxman
    0.75" in Riverdale. Sticking to all surfaces and pouring snow.
  18. nflwxman
    Starting to accumulate on everything but roads here in Central Riverdale.
  19. nflwxman
    Although I am south, I'm noticing that too. It's still snowing moderately here even without obvious returns.
  20. nflwxman
    Still light to moderate snow in Riverdale. There is some formation of lighter bands coming from the SE that should keep us broadly in the game the next few hours.
  21. nflwxman
    Heavy snow in Riverdale - ~12.8" ONG. Flake size is noticeably larger. A pivot would be real nice right now.
  22. nflwxman
    The HRRR is a particularly low skill model with a meandering coastal low. For example, look at this 7 hour forecast of the current (10AM) radar. Not a very good representation of the mixing line and the intensity.
  23. nflwxman
    Bummer. That's pretty low regionally. Hopefully you make it up on the pivot band coming through in an hour or two. I would say we are a hair over 7" here.
  24. nflwxman
    I'm in the lower W 230s. It has just lightened up, but it's mostly been heavy or moderately heavy since about 7 AM. A few miles has made the difference in this storm thus far. Overnight we probably only got 2-3", while CPK was 5".
  25. nflwxman
    I'm in Riverdale. Definitely concur. Last night underperformed up here due to dry air, but this morning has more than made up for it.
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