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nflwxman

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Everything posted by nflwxman

  1. nflwxman
    Any one have observations from the New Brunswick area? The radar there is insane and the HRRR is spitting out 6" hour rates.
  2. nflwxman
    Need to specify the location. It's snowing in Long Branch ATM.
  3. nflwxman
    Yeah all the frames with "rain" are essentially <0.01" of QPF on the Euro. That's the typical frizzle you get after big storms, and I do expect it to happen here. Could it compress the pack? Sure. Another reason to make sure you measure frequently with this storm, as it's a long drawn out event.
  4. nflwxman
    All snow here in Riverdale. Coming down light to moderately now. I'd guess about 1/4" accumulated on non-pavement surfaces.
  5. nflwxman
    Yeah this is pretty wild. It's crawling at like 5 mph to the SE.
  6. nflwxman
    Honestly pretty good rates here in Riverdale with this final band. We may pull out 1-2" more. Nice surprise.
  7. nflwxman
    Same here in Riverdale. The wind is nuts right now.
  8. nflwxman
    9 PM - 5.7” in central Riverdale
  9. nflwxman
    I think the high is actually just a bit too far east. The CAD (at all levels) is favoring the NE portions of our viewing area.
  10. nflwxman
    Final Call: KTTN 3-6" KNYC 6-9" KJFK 4-7" KMMU 8-12" KHPN 10-14" This track historically does not give coastal sections high ratio snows. It's hard to see how mixing does not make it to the lower HV with a 700mb low track this north. The 3km NAM has a fairly significant warm layer at 700-800mb that, at this stage, is more often correct.
  11. nflwxman
    People tend to extrapolate trends linearly with the expectation that the next run will also have a 25 mile northwest jog. Fortunately for snow lovers in our area, that is not how modeling has ever worked. Looks like a significant storm for everyone north of Trenton. This "game over" stuff is bizarre.
  12. nflwxman
    I don't think I've ever seen a dry slot location modeled correctly 40 hours before the a winter storm. If you see one modeled over your house on one of the mesos 12 hours before game time, then there may be cause to worry. These are very dynamic events laden with moisture.
  13. nflwxman
    I believe this is the highest anomaly recorded in the 80N spatial area, FWIW.
  14. nflwxman
    Right. In the near term, the record slow refreeze means very little in terms of "climate feedbacks." The extent in May and June have much larger implications on lasting arctic warmth due to the sun pouring in at that time. The argument can be made, however, that a record slow refreeze could potentially cause a less solvent ice pack moving into next melting season.
  15. nflwxman
    Perhaps this has been touched on earlier in this thread, but does anyone know what's caused the slowdown in methane rises from 2000-Present?
  16. nflwxman
    Got about 22-25 inches from this storm in my neighborhood. Very rarely are we the bullseye in mid Atlantic storms (except 2011-2012, of course)
  17. nflwxman
    How could one worry about wind mills and not complain about the massive amount of ecological and human damage fossil fuels have caused? House cats and automobiles kill about a million times more birds than all windmills in the world combined. Sorry for the off topic.
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