nflwxman
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Everything posted by nflwxman
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There are, but the theory is technically and physically sound. Whether or not it's occurring in greater frequency at 500mb will probably need a much larger sample size than the 20-30 years we have of trusted reanalysis data.
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Solid evidence this is occurring, but one graph from one state really doesn't prove it.
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Perhaps keeping the super alarmist/CAGW stuff in a separate thread would go a long way in helping tame the issues. I also have concerns about abrupt climate change, but the scientific evidence is thin (mostly because it's hard to gather evidence of such events on short time scales). Weatherguy, I agree that AGW will become catastrophic in a lot of ways, but it may not be for 30+ years. That being said, the fact we are not moving to renewable fuels quicker as a globe is absurd.
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Earth has elongated it's orbit by several hundred thousand miles. It's all good.
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The same way they did with 2014. They will basically ignore it and talk about how amazing the 0.2 sigma above normal the antarctic sea ice is or how the next La Nina will send us back into an ice age. I can't believe how dense some people can be while comparing satellite and surface data. If you are going to claim conspiracy, at least compare measurements of the same thing!!
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2025 is in 10 years. That would be a hell of an acceleration. That type of acceleration is likely reserved for the second half of the century if/when ice sheet losses become much higher.
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I don't, but chances are high that the floor is not nearly as low as what happened in 2008-2013.
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Apparently Cholesterol isn't bad for you anymore. True Story. Thanks Science!
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I know you and I disagree about how near term future warming will behave. My thoughts are that even with the next La Nina cycle, we won't see nearly as much cooling as the previous one due to the PDO. I think there is certainly momentum in the system now in terms of accelerating surface warmth. The next couple of years should be telling, but 2015 is certainly starting out very warm.
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Soon scientists will be publishing papers about why many of them bowed to pressure of a select few over the "hiatus." While it's premature to declare anything for sure, it really does appear that the surface temperatures are starting their rise to "catch up" with modeled projections.
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Science. Also, update your Snow signature..it's not 2011-2012 anymore
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hheh yeah for the all the grief he gave me for my predictions, they mostly came to pass.
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What happened to Tacoman? Haven't seen him around here in a while.
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Agreed. No reason we can't all just get along.
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yep.
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Perhaps this has been touched on earlier in this thread, but does anyone know what's caused the slowdown in methane rises from 2000-Present?
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Right now we are at the weakest solar Max in the last 100 years, BUT solar from 2007-2011 was almost flatlined.
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Solar make up for the rest?
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Looks correct to me?
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Yeah, it is barely warmer. I would be surprised if will see record high monthly temperatures unless ENSO at the very least goes positive for a sustained period of time (6+ months). Right now, the latest ONI index is at -0,4 and has been at border line nina all year (it is seemingly warming fairly quickly this month though). I have no faith for a full fledged El Nino until after the winter though. Sea surface temperatures did record the highest level in august 2013, however.
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I know HadCRUT4 filled in a lot of the missing northern hemisphere data points not in V3, but it looks as if it is still missing much of the arctic and antarctic.
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Fixed. 2010 is now the warmest year in HadCRUT4- unless something changed recently. http://www.skepticalscience.com/first-look-at-hadcrut4.html
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2-4 is probably the vast majority of us. However, I think you can get even more granular than that- one could divide each of the potential impacts of AGW and survey that way. For example, I would consider myself a "3" for surface temperature impact and a "2" for sea level rise. It would be interesting to see how we all look at each individual issue. Just like in politics where few people are truly 100% with repubs or 100% with democrats.
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Got about 22-25 inches from this storm in my neighborhood. Very rarely are we the bullseye in mid Atlantic storms (except 2011-2012, of course)
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How could one worry about wind mills and not complain about the massive amount of ecological and human damage fossil fuels have caused? House cats and automobiles kill about a million times more birds than all windmills in the world combined. Sorry for the off topic.
