yoda

Gimme gimme

12Z CMC on the old school at 120

ZFP for DC metro from LWX at 936am MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Highs in the mid 30s. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of snow. Lows 15 to 20. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s.

I'd take 1-3/2-4 in a heartbeat. Yeah, I want that old Euro solution... but this is fine

Icon or gfs?

Hope Stormtracker doesn't mind, but 1007mb SLP in SE SC at 168

Northern Stream

@MN Transplant will probably be surprised by the HWW

Confirmed https://www.fcps.edu/

High Wind Warning up for Calvert and St. Mary's counties

It looked consolidated back in the Midwest... after that it just fell apart

It's like a 4 hour period of snow for the 15th... it's very disheveled looking

Mod snow at 177

12z GFS "looks" good at 156...

It was the Euro at 00z that showed it

Yup,.. damn Strong Winds: An unprecedented LLJ is likely to develop over the eastern half of the CWA Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night as the main surface low moves through. Current soundings from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM12 all have 50-70KT at 925mb, and 70-90KT at 850mb. The evening sounding on Tuesday at IAD could break observed wind records at 925mb, 850mb, and 700mb.

Decent snowstorm on Day 9

LWX still seems very concerned about damaging winds in their AFD Strong Winds: The kinematic profile with this system is very concerning as all models indicate a strong LLJ overspreading the area east of the Blue Ridge. Current soundings from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM12 all have 50-70KT at 925mb, and 70-90KT at 850mb. Generally, southerly wind events have a hard time mixing down fully in this area, but even if just half of that wind reaches the surface, it could result in numerous instances of wind damage. Over the waters, this means Gale conditions are likely, and could possibly approach storm force (gusts of 50KT or greater).

Randy didn't, no, but there is a YouTube parody along the same lines with severe weather

I'm looking for it... including the severe weather one

LWX added those two counties to the WSW Eta - from updated evening AFD as of 9pm from LWX NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... The evening model runs have shown an increase snow potential and snow amounts for parts of northern Maryland and western MD. A combination of a favorable thermal pattern along with increasing chances for near warning criteria snow has led to the expansion of the winter storm watches to include Carroll and Garrett Counties in Maryland.