yoda
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Everything posted by yoda
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Tornado Watch up
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So you're saying there's a chance
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Are you absconding with it?
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I work Sunday night into Monday morning... 9pm to 630am at Amazon. I guess I could take a break... to check on the weather outside... for the um, safety of my coworkers... yeah, that's it... cause we all have to drive home...
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12z 3km NAM has that 50 mile wide 4-6 inch band from N to S again just west of i95 like it had at 00z FWIW
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06z NAM is slower with the cold air compared to the 00z NAM... though also slower with the system? 00z NAM at 12z MON had very little precip... 06z NAM says its snowing Still ends up pretty nice across the region with a lot of 2-4 looking at Kuchera... i81 corridor again crushed 06z 3k NAM OTH... um, came up empty lets say across the region with literally zero snow outside the mountains... and even there its basically <1"
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So the 00z EURO tonight decides not to follow the 00z GFS and 00z CMC Day 8-9 storm idea... but come up with a Day 9 into Day 10 big storm where h5 and the SLP join up in E NC
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Wait, so you're saying that I have to get a signed document from the 00z 3km NAM to make it finally happen?
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What is that 50 mile wide swath of 4 to 8 inches just west of i95 on the 3km NAM? Shows up on Kuchera and 10:1 PW maps
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3km is even more loltastic
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PW snow map is lol 10:1 map has 2-4 along i95... Kuchera 1-3
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Heavy snow into i95 corridor at 57
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18z GFS declines the 12z Euro idea
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62 and ripping rain at 00z Monday lol per 18z GFS near DCA
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Will describes it best lol
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12z EPS at distance looked better than yesterday FWIW
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Fronto me captain!
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00z Euro has some mixed precipitation Tuesday night... very light... but could see some snow showers
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144 on 12z Euro has 1013mb SLP along the VA/NC border
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Well we did use to get snow on Dec 5... Remember remember the 5th of December...
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BWI: 23.8" DCA: 20.2" IAD: 25.1" RIC: 14.9" Tiebreaker SBY: 7.7"
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06z GFS has a big storm in distance (Dec 12)... wasn't too far off from being good for us
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Morning AFD from LWX sounds good re Sunday on for some snow .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Showers seem likely Sunday-Sunday evening as heights fall across the region ahead of a negatively-tilted s/w trough moving across the OH River Valley and the northern mid-Atlantic and sfc low pressure develops overhead. Colder air begins to filter in Sunday night as NW flow strengthens as low pressure deepens offshore. Snow showers late Sunday night into Monday may accumulate several inches of snow across the higher terrain before shortwave ridging builds in briefly on Tuesday. A second shortwave trough diving from the Central Plains into the OH River Valley Tue into Wed will reinforce the trough pattern across the East bringing temperatures back to slightly cooler than normal and a second and more significant round of snow showers/squalls across the Appalachian region Wednesday. This could also bring the first measurable snow, albeit light to locations east of the mountains. Conditions should begin to improve Wed night and the second half of next week as trough axis shifts east. &&
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Looks like another shot this afternoon per updated morning AFD from LWX Another round of snow showers is expected mid to late afternoon as the base of the strong mid/upper trough swings through the area. Model soundings indicate sufficient moisture/CAPE in the DGZ, which is situated right underneath the inversion. This coupled with the strong NW flow CAA and synoptic forcing, is likely to produce enhanced snow showers, and possibly additional snow squalls this afternoon. As a result, have decided to expand PoPs/snow and chance for flurries southward, now reaching I-66 for flurries and light snow down toward I-70 this afternoon. Very cold air arrives tonight with most locations seeing lows in the teens and low 20s. Mountain locations above 2500 feet will see lows in the single digits. Winds will gradually decrease overnight, but remain elevated leading to wind chills in the single digits and low teens. Be sure to bundle up and protect yourself, pets, plants, and pipes from the cold!
