yoda

00Z CMC is around a I66 and south event basically... 1-3"

More like 2 inches

I'd be wary most of that accumulated stuff TT shows is sleet... soundings at 90 are def sleety.... 96 is isothermal for a lot of the column

Lol 00z GFS at 78 and 84

Icon is meh... 1-2 for C VA... maybe an inch up to DC

Wouldn't mind the 12z CMC for Wednesday... 1 to 3... but even an inch would be nice to see

Lol next Sunday on 12z GFS... ripping fatties in Winchester while pouring in DC

12z GEFS mean looks good for BR and west for Wednesday

Snow is in the zones... all the way to east of i95 for Tuesday night into Thursday

00z EPS isn't too bad

Well damn lol URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Honolulu HI 326 PM HST Thu Dec 2 2021 ...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE BIG ISLAND SUMMITS... HIZ028-031430- /O.UPG.PHFO.WS.A.0004.211204T0400Z-211205T1600Z/ /O.NEW.PHFO.BZ.W.0001.211204T0400Z-211205T1600Z/ Big Island Summits- 326 PM HST Thu Dec 2 2021 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM FRIDAY TO 6 AM HST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 12 inches or more. Winds gusting over 100 mph. * WHERE...Big Island Summits. * WHEN...From 6 PM Friday to 6 AM HST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility at times, with periods of zero visibility. See the High Wind Warning that is also in effect. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The strong winds will likely cause significant drifting of snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle.

Remember when it was on the Euro and we could actually believe in it for a little while because it was the best model and such? And when it was on the GFS we'd automatically toss it? Those were the days...

Hmmm... from this mornings AFD from LWX: High pressure briefly builds early in the afternoon on Tuesday ahead of the next system poised to impact the area Thursday and well into the rest of the work week. Latest guidance introduces a chance for some snow for much of the area late Tuesday night into Wednesday along and ahead of the frontal passage. Should temperatures continue to trend colder and moisture availability becomes plentiful, we could see a bit more organization with this system. Though, skepticism still remains given the preceding conditions and subsidence overhead throughout the day on Tuesday, will continue to monitor this potential potent system midweek and into early next weekend

BWI: 17.9" DCA: 12.8" IAD: 18.4" RIC: 9.7" LYH: 21.3"

00z EURO Day 10 850T anomaly was

In the playoffs if the season had ended last night lol

Would be interesting to see it go out another 12 hours... alas, it's the CMC at the end of its run lol

Hmmm

ORH in the SNE forum says Euro tried to phase everything (all 3 s/w)

LOL

Don't bother with the Ukie

Pretty much. I go in to get milk and a few other things thinking I'm going to spend like $20 total. Next thing I know I have a cart in front of me at the check out with the cashier telling me my total is $100

DCA made it to 30 in the 6 hourly obs

DCA made it to 30 this morning too lol