yoda

It has begun URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 205 AM EST Sun Nov 14 2021 MDZ001-WVZ501-141600- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0020.211114T2100Z-211115T1200Z/ Garrett-Western Grant- 205 AM EST Sun Nov 14 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...In Maryland, Garrett County. In West Virginia, Western Grant County. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury.

WUSA9 Winter Forecast https://www.wusa9.com/article/weather/winter-weather-forecast-six-years-since-last-blizzard-could-we-see-one-this-winter/65-ef07d760-701e-49f0-8b0d-1ebf7d35fc9c

00z EURO would be an Apps runner looking at h5 at 240 and where the SLP is placed

Wizards are 7-3 after 10 games... still early, but I like what i see after the win over the Bucks at home tonight

I like how everyone around DCA is CLEAR in the 7am report but DCA is mostly cloudy lol

Ray ( @40/70 Benchmark ) winter outlook -- Looks like December and mid Feb into March are our chances

35/31 at RIC at 4am... probably last chance for a freeze for at least another ten days if RIC doesn't make it tonight ETA: Still 35/31 at 5am. DCA is 36/30... so looks like the wait for both DCA and RIC continues

End of the 00z GFS was lulz

IAD 31 at 7am. Freeze confirmed

IAD is 33/31 at 6am... so maybe will hit 32 intrahour BWI 35/33 at 6am... so looks like it won't/didn't make it. DCA 39... RIC is 40

Just a little chilly this morning... 34 and frosty

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 322 AM EDT Tue Nov 2 2021 MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-038>040-050-051-501-502-505-507- 508-WVZ051>053-021530- /O.UPG.KLWX.FZ.A.0007.211103T0600Z-211103T1400Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.W.0008.211103T0600Z-211103T1400Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta- Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-Northern Fauquier- Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Germantown, Damascus, Lisbon, Jarrettsville, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 322 AM EDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures as low as 29 expected. * WHERE...The I-81 corridor/Shenandoah Valley in Virginia, West Virginia, and Maryland, north central Maryland and portions of the Virginia Piedmont. * WHEN...From 2 AM to 10 AM EDT Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

First accumulating snow of the season out west tomorrow morning? From updated morning AFD from LWX: Light precipitation will break out across far western portions of the area during the pre-dawn hours. Some of this precipitation will fall in the form of snow across the highest elevations of Garrett, Grant and Pendleton Counties, where a coating to as much as an inch of snow is possible. Lows will be in the middle 30s to around 40 for most, with low- mid 40s in the cities and lower 30s in the mountains.

Finally lol Freeze Watch URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 303 AM EDT Mon Nov 1 2021 MDZ003-VAZ025>031-507-508-WVZ051>053-011515- /O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0007.211103T0600Z-211103T1400Z/ Washington-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren- Clarke-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Including the cities of Hagerstown, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Strasburg, Woodstock, Mount Jackson, New Market, Winchester, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Front Royal, Berryville, Big Meadows, Wintergreen, Paw Paw, Martinsburg, Charles Town, and Shepherdstown 303 AM EDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the lower 30s. * WHERE...Shenandoah Valley/Interstate 81 corridor in Virginia, West Virginia, and Maryland. * WHEN...From late Tuesday night through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing.

Wizards are 5-1... wow

Looks like Tuesday to Thursday night some frost or freezing temps getting close by

Lol 00z Euro smokes i81 corridor into W MD day 6 to 8 with heavy wet snow Everyone else gets cold rain and upper 30s to mid 40s outside S MD

Oh hai der

Hmmm... from this mornings AFD LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Longwave troughing will remain in place across eastern North America through the long term period. Through the course of the week, the core of this trough is expected to slowly drift southward as individual shortwave disturbances rotate through the larger scale trough. This will lead to a gradual cooling trend through the week, with below normal temperatures expected for the middle to latter portions of the week. An initial shortwave will pass to our north on Tuesday into Tuesday night, potentially sparking the development of some showers across the area. Another more prominent shortwave may pass through on either Thursday or Friday. This may lead to slightly greater chances for precipitation. However, spread within both deterministic and ensemble guidance is considerable, with solutions ranging from dry conditions to a major storm with heavy precipitation. With the cooler air moving in, the potential is there for some of the precipitation (if it were to occur) to fall in the form of wintry precipitation across the higher elevations along and west of the Blue Ridge. We`ll continue to monitor trends with the late week system as we move closer to the event.

Finally

Snow is snow lol

Thanks Ji

Pretty sure there was something for I think the Jan 2016 storm that had 70" at KIAD... a model run or something... I have to go find it. Might have been off of the hilarous DGEX when it was run