southmdwatcher

Looks like some are going to see training storms in the DC Metro from NW to SE.

Showers and heavy thunderstorms are certainly scattered across the risk area. Some training bands have formed. Looks exactly like the forecast discussion from LWX this morning where they said the heaviest rains were possible but not everyone will get rain or heavy rain totals. The WPC expanded the Moderate Risk for excessive rainfall down along the I64 corridor through Richmond and Williamsburg area. Certainly some focus to south central and central Virginia that may not have been as evident this morning, but it is high octane air and along a stalled front.

Weather Prediction Center has much of our area east of the Blue Ridge and north of Fredericksburg in a Moderate Risk for excessive rainfall today.

WWA Summary for Flash Flood Warning Issued by LWX BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 701 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Warning for... Northwestern Charles County in southern Maryland... * Until 1015 PM EDT. * At 701 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 3 inches of rain have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing flash flooding. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Accokeek... Bryans Road... Potomac Heights... Pomfret... Marbury...

The earlier Tornado warned cell just passed by here in Charles County. I see broad rotation.

Was any rotation, or rising motion visible?

Tornado Warning for Stafford VA

SPC upgraded to Enhanced for NC/SC and GA for wind. They are waiting to see if our region needs to be upgraded at the next update.

We have quite a few breaks in the clouds, and the sun is doing it's thing.

Nice steady and now heavy rain, 0.71" so far.

2.62" for the day and 4.62" since April 1st. Crisp and breezy morning.

2.62" for the day, and 4.62" since April 1st.

Nice soaking rain underway. Hope the folks NW of DC and Baltimore cash in as much as possible.

A Day 2 HIGH Risk issued just a bit ago for central MS/AL.

New development along the back edge.

Near Bryans Road just across the Potomac River there was a CC drop on the last scan.

Southern VA just got a mesoscale discussion with a 60 percent chance of a watch.

Williamsburg down to Norfolk 6 to 10 inches, Norfolk to Va Beach and Chesapeake 9 to 12 inches.

And just as I typed that, visibility has improved markedly. Can see broken cloud layers above now.

Hill on South Pickett Street down to Duke St was caving. I can imagine Duke Street is fine.

Roads are caving in Alexandria...not enough traffic yet.

Parking lot and all vehicles have now been covered on the west end of Alexandria.

There was a small CC drop and a defined couplet for a few scans, right over Short Pump and up to Glen Allen. It has weakened since then.

8.2 inches,maybe more but compaction was well underway when I measured. Over 21 inches for the season. Hope we can pull another event that spreads the wealth around.

If you ever get to experience one of those 45 minute drives that becomes 8 hours, let alone multiple....get back to me