-
Posts
9,826 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by uncle W
-
Winter Outlook 2018-2019
uncle W replied to donsutherland1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1933-34 had a December/February big events... I think the snow came down faster yesterday...most of my snow fell in four hours... -
the November average went up 0.7" making it 1.3" for the last nine years...it will be 1.1" for the decade if we get nothing next November...the decade already has the October and January record...last decade has the February record...
-
11/15-11/16 Coastal Storm Observation Thread
uncle W replied to NJwx85's topic in New York City Metro
I think I know a little about the weather but never thought the city would get 2" let alone 6" of snow...I was thinking a slushy inch before the rain came... -
11/15-11/16 Coastal Storm Observation Thread
uncle W replied to NJwx85's topic in New York City Metro
it was hail... -
11/15-11/16 Coastal Storm Observation Thread
uncle W replied to NJwx85's topic in New York City Metro
this is the most snow NYC got this early in the season...it beats out 2012 until 11/25 when 1938 took over... record seasonal snowfall for each date... 10/10/1979/1925...trace... 10/13/1979/1925/1937...trace... 10/15/1876.....0.5" 10/20/1952/1876...0.5" 10/29/2011.....2.9" 11/07/2012.....4.3" 11/08/2012.....4.7" 11/15/2018.....6.0" 11/25/1938.....8.8" 11/26/1938.....9.3" 11/27/1898...13.0" 11/30/1898...19.0" 12/12/1898...19.5" 12/14/2003...19.8" 12/20/1948...21.3" 12/25/1883...22.0" 12/26/1947...29.3" 12/31/1872...30.5" 01/07/1948...32.9" 01/13/1948...33.3" 01/14/1948...35.1" 01/18/1948...37.8" 01/21/1948...39.4" 01/26/2011...49.4" 01/27/2011...56.1" 02/01/2011...57.2" 02/02/2011...57.7" 02/16/1996...60.9" 02/17/1996...61.7" 03/02/1996...66.3" 03/08/1996...70.8" 03/28/1996...71.1" 03/29/1996...74.9" 04/09/1996...75.2" 04/10/1996...75.6" 04/30/1996...75.6" ........................................ least... 1/09/2007.....0 1/10/2007/73/00/66.. trace 1/19/2000/73/66...trace 1/20/1973.....trace 1/28/1973.....trace 1/29/1994.....0.2" 2/04/1998.....0.5" 3/22/1919.....2.4" 3/28/1973.....2.8" to end... -
11/15-11/16 Coastal Storm Observation Thread
uncle W replied to NJwx85's topic in New York City Metro
4.5" with snow and sleet falling... -
Winter Outlook 2018-2019
uncle W replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
when the AO NAO get quite negative in November stronger blocks usually come in December...Boston should see 35" by mid January with this pattern... -
1866-67 was big in the NYC area...some records from 1872... https://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030214/1873-01-01/ed-1/seq-1/
-
when the AO NAO went negative in certain great winters in November it repeated the negatives into December and beyond in some cases... the nine years had a stronger block in December...2010 had a stronger -ao but a lesser - nao...2002 had a stronger -nao but a lesser -nao in December...some years with blocking didn't pan out...the forecast for the nao/ao is for both to get very negative...this raises the chances for a great December... year.....AO and dates..........NAO and dates............... 2010...-4.058...11/26...........-2.696...11/30 2010...-5.265...12/18...........-1.544...12/14 2009...-0.620...11/29...........-0.946...11/15 2009...-5.821...12/21...........-2.111...12/14 2002...-3.455...11/24............-1.025...11/23 2002...-2.757...12/30............-1.585...12/10 2000...-3.114...11/05............-1.412...11/06 2000...-4.688...12/29............-1.658...12/07 1995...-1.953...11/15............-1.751...11/16 1995...-4.343...12/19............-1.846...12/07 1977...-2.245...11/20...........-0.862...11/15 1977...-3.071...12/07............-2.132...12/07 1976...-2.188...11/21............-1.266...11/21 1976...-5.287...12/30............-2.220...12/23 1968...-4.201...11/15............-1.383...11/06 1968...-4.547...12/29............-1.697...12/06 1963...-2.770...11/11............-2.471...11/09 1963...-4.470...12/20............-2.397...12/14
-
November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
there were more than a few storms on Dec. 26... 1872...18.0" on 12/26... 1890.....7.0" on 12/26 1933...11.2" on 12/26 1947...25.8" on 12/26-27 1969.....6.0" on 12/25-26 2010...20.0" on 12/26-27 -
NYC decade snow averages... decade.......................Oct.....Nov.....Dec.....Jan.....Feb.....Mar.....Apr.....total 1870-71 to 1879-80......0.1.....0.9.....6.7......9.7......8.8.....4.1......1.6.....31.9 1880-81 to 1889-90........0......1.8.....7.1......8.8......7.6.....6.8......0.7.....32.8 1890-91 to 1899-00........0......3.3.....4.3......8.7....10.6.....7.1......0.8.....34.8 1900-01 to 1909-10........0......0.3.....6.2......9.1......9.2.....4.8......0.6.....30.2 1910-11 to 1919-20........0......0.2.....7.5......4.8......9.5.....8.3......2.3.....32.6 1920-21 to 1929-30......0.1.....0.1.....4.2......8.5....10.1.....2.2......0.9.....26.1 1930-31 to 1939-40........T......2.2.....4.3......6.4......8.5.....3.5......0.8.....25.7 1940-41 to 1949-50........T......0.6.....9.1......7.4......8.6.....4.8......1.1.....31.6 1950-51 to 1959-60......0.1.....0.5.....4.7......5.2......3.4.....8.0......0.8.....22.7 1960-61 to 1969-70........T......0.3.....7.4......7.7....10.6.....4.6......0.1.....30.7 1970-71 to 1979-80........T......0.3.....1.7......7.3......9.5.....2.4......0.1.....21.3 1980-81 to 1989-90........0......0.6.....2.1......7.8......5.3.....2.9......1.1.....19.8 1990-91 to 1999-00........0......0.3.....2.9......6.9......9.1.....5.4......0.2.....24.8 2000-01 to 2009-10........T........T......7.8......6.5....13.3.....3.5......0.4.....31.5 2010-11 to 2017-18......0.4.....1.3.....5.1...15.7.......9.7.....6.2......0.7.....39.1 as of 11/15/18 1870-71 to 2009-10........T......0.8.....5.4......7.5......8.9.....4.9......0.8.....28.3 1980-81 to 2009-10........T......0.3.....4.3......7.1......9.2.....4.0......0.6.....25.4 ............................................................................................................................................................................. snowfalls 10" or greater...... Year....date....amount"... 1872...12/26.......18.0" 1875...4/13.........10.0" 1876...2/3-4........11.0" 1877...1/1-2........13.0" 1879...1/15-16....13.0" 1888...3/12-14....21.0" 1896...3/2...........10.0" 1896...3/15-16....12.0" 1897...1/27-28....10.0" 1898...11/26-27..10.0" 1899...2/12-14....16.0" 1902...2/17..........10.0" 1905...1/24-25.....11.0" 1907...2/4-5.........11.0" 1908...1/23-24.....10.0" 1910...1/14-15.....10.0" 1912...12/24........11.4" 1914...3/1-2.........14.5" 1915...4/3-4.........10.2" 1916...12/15........12.7" 1920...2/4-7.........17.5" 1921...2/20..........12.5" 1925...1/2............11.5" 1926...2/3-4.........10.4" 1926...2/9-10.......12.0" 1933...2/11..........10.0" 1933...12/26........11.2" 1935...1/23-24.....13.0" 1941...3/7-8.........18.1" 1947...2/20-21.....10.7" 1947...12/26-27...26.4" 1948...12/19-20...16.0" 1956...3/18-19.....11.6" 1958...3/19-20.....11.8" 1959...12/21-22...13.7" 1960...3/3-4.........14.5" 1960...12/11-12...15.2" 1961...2/3-4.........17.4" 1964...1/12-13.....12.5" 1967...2/7............12.5" 1969...2/9-10.......15.3" 1978...1/19-20.....13.6" 1978...2/6-7.........17.7" 1979...2/19..........12.7" 1983...2/11-12.....17.6" 1993...3/13-14.....10.6" 1994...2/11..........12.8" 1995...2/4............10.8" 1996...1/7-8.........20.2" 1996...2/16-17.....10.7" 2000...12/30........12.0" 2003...2/16-17.....19.8" 2003...12/5-6.......14.0" 2004...1/28..........10.4" 2005...1/22-23.....13.8" 2006...2/11-12.....26.9" 2009...12/19-20...10.9" 2010...2/9-10.......10.0" 2010...2/25-26.....20.9" 2010...12/26-27...20.0" 2011...1/25-26.....19.0" 2013...2/8-9.........11.4" 2014...1/21..........11.5" 2016...1/23-24.....27.5" .................................................................................................... 30" in 30 days... 02/24-03/24, 1896.....32.0" 02/06-03/07, 1914.....35.2" 12/26-01/24, 1948.....43.4" 01/15-02/13, 1961.....34.1" 01/16-02/14, 1978.....37.2" 02/02-03/03, 1994.....30.8" 12/14-01/12, 1996.....35.2" 01/28-02/26, 2010.....38.2" 01/07-02/05, 2011.....37.6" 01/21-02/19, 2014.....42.1" 01/17-02/15, 2016.....31.5" ..................................................................................... snow depth days... season........Days ...............consecutive days....Max depth.. ...................T 1" 4" 10"20"........ T 1" 4" 10"20" 1913-14......57 32 22 06 0....... 34 30 14 04 0..... 13" 1917-18......84 57 29 00 0....... 68 30 16 00 0..... 09" 1919-20......92 67 36 02 0....... 61 55 28 02 0..... 12" 1922-23......71 54 22 00 0....... 24 19 06 00 0..... 08" 1925-26......65 33 16 06 2....... 30 23 15 05 2..... 20" 1933-34......71 47 28 06 0....... 32 16 12 04 0..... 13" 1940-41......56 27 08 01 0....... 14 12 04 02 0..... 13" 1947-48......83 65 54 33 5....... 65 58 53 16 5..... 26" 1948-49......50 30 17 03 0....... 11 10 10 03 0..... 14" 1949-50......29 09 00 00 0....... 03 03 00 00 0..... 03" 1950-51......45 13 00 00 0....... 16 04 00 00 0..... 03" 1951-52......40 14 02 00 0....... 06 04 01 00 0..... 06" 1952-53......38 08 01 00 0....... 07 03 01 00 0..... 04" 1953-54......32 14 10 00 0....... 16 11 10 00 0..... 09" 1954-55......35 13 00 00 0....... 06 04 00 00 0..... 03" 1955-56......51 20 08 02 0....... 11 08 07 02 0..... 13" 1956-57......52 18 04 00 0....... 11 06 02 00 0..... 06" 1957-58......69 37 17 01 0....... 23 09 06 01 0..... 10" 1958-59......45 19 01 00 0....... 12 10 01 00 0..... 05" 1959-60......61 27 10 06 0....... 13 09 06 04 0..... 15" 1960-61......77 52 41 20 3....... 38 32 30 10 3..... 24" 1961-62......59 26 04 00 0....... 17 10 03 00 0..... 06" 1962-63......62 23 07 00 0....... 13 11 07 00 0..... 04" 1963-64......76 42 21 05 0....... 27 14 08 05 0..... 13" 1964-65......58 31 06 00 0....... 28 13 03 00 0..... 06" 1965-66......38 23 09 00 0....... 24 19 07 00 0..... 07" 1966-67......64 34 16 05 0....... 16 10 08 05 0..... 13" 1967-68......44 23 01 00 0....... 15 15 01 00 0..... 06" 1968-69......55 33 20 08 0....... 32 24 17 07 0..... 15" 1969-70......71 47 08 00 0....... 39 35 04 00 0..... 06" 1970-71......58 11 03 00 0....... 20 04 03 00 0..... 06" 1971-72......60 21 06 00 0....... 12 08 03 00 0..... 05" 1972-73......30 03 00 00 0....... 03 02 00 00 0..... 02" 1973-74......57 38 07 00 0....... 20 17 07 00 0..... 06" 1974-75......35 10 03 00 0....... 06 05 03 00 0..... 08" 1975-76......41 27 03 00 0....... 12 08 02 00 0..... 04" 1976-77......69 47 09 00 0....... 53 37 07 00 0..... 06" 1977-78......94 56 30 12 0....... 67 35 20 06 0..... 18" 1978-79......42 23 09 03 0....... 18 17 04 03 0..... 16" 1979-80......36 10 01 00 0....... 07 03 01 00 0..... 04" 1980-81......49 27 05 00 0....... 25 21 03 00 0..... 08" 1981-82......48 24 12 01 0....... 17 17 08 01 0..... 10" 1982-83......34 22 10 06 0....... 18 16 09 06 0..... 19" 1983-84......54 28 12 00 0....... 17 16 06 00 0..... 07" 1984-85......44 25 10 00 0....... 31 13 09 00 0..... 07" 1985-86......41 15 08 00 0....... 14 12 06 00 0..... 06" 1986-87......49 31 12 00 0....... 19 17 11 00 0..... 09" 1987-88......49 31 10 00 0....... 18 16 09 00 0..... 09" 1988-89......23 07 02 00 0....... 04 03 02 00 0..... 05" 1989-90......46 16 02 00 0....... 06 04 02 00 0..... 05" 1990-91......27 13 06 00 0....... 04 04 02 00 0..... 08" Feb. LGA obs... 1991-92......36 11 02 00 0....... 07 04 02 00 0..... 06" 1992-93......49 21 06 01 0....... 10 09 05 01 0..... 10" 1993-94......95 74 31 08 3....... 76 40 13 08 3..... 22" 1994-95......33 15 12 01 0....... 16 15 12 01 0..... 10" 1995-96......72 55 35 14 6....... 18 17 12 10 6..... 25" LGA obs... 1996-97......35 08 00 00 0....... 04 02 00 00 0..... 03" LGA obs... 1997-98......27 02 01 00 0....... 03 02 01 00 0..... 04" LGA obs... 1998-99......29 10 01 00 0....... 04 03 01 00 0..... 04" LGA obs... 1999-00......40 23 08 00 0....... 24 19 05 00 0..... 06" LGA obs... 2000-01......57 33 17 02 0....... 18 16 11 02 0..... 13" LGA obs... 2001-02......22 03 00 00 0....... 04 03 00 00 0..... 03" LGA obs... 2002-03......71 42 23 05 1....... 26 25 12 05 1..... 20" LGA obs... 2003-04......50 36 20 02 0....... 28 25 08 01 0..... 11" LGA obs... 2004-05......59 41 20 02 0....... 22 16 13 02 0..... 10" LGA obs... 2005-06......32 19 06 03 1....... 12 12 05 04 1..... 16" LGA obs... 2006-07......31 15 02 00 0....... 07 05 02 00 0..... 05" 2007-08......30 08 04 00 0....... 04 04 04 00 0..... 06" 2008-09......47 32 07 00 0....... 06 06 03 00 0..... 08" 2009-10......45 29 23 08 1....... 15 12 11 04 1..... 21" 2010-11......69 58 45 23 3....... 54 54 27 16 2..... 23" 2011-12......14 05 01 00 0....... 03 03 01 00 0......04" 2012-13......38 15 08 02 0....... 07 05 05 02 0......10" 2013-14......81 64 45 16 0....... 49 49 33 14 0......18" 2014-15......69 57 48 19 0....... 50 50 46 17 0......19" 2015-16......32 12 09 04 2....... 12 10 09 04 2......22" 2016-17......37 24 09 00 0....... 11 06 04 00 0......09" 2017-18......52 26 13 01 0....... 13 08 07 01 0......10" 2018-19......03 03 02 00 0....... 03 03 02 00 0........6" as of 11/17 ....................................................................................................................................... record seasonal snowfall for each date... 10/10/1979/1925...trace... 10/13/1979/1925/1937...trace... 10/15/1876.....0.5" 10/20/1952/1876...0.5" 10/29/2011.....2.9" 11/07/2012.....4.3" 11/08/2012.....4.7" 11/15/2018.....6.4" 11/25/1938.....8.8" 11/26/1938.....9.3" 11/27/1898...13.0" 11/30/1898...19.0" 12/12/1898...19.5" 12/14/2003...19.8" 12/20/1948...21.3" 12/25/1883...22.0" 12/26/1947...29.3" 12/31/1872...30.5" 01/07/1948...32.9" 01/13/1948...33.3" 01/14/1948...35.1" 01/18/1948...37.8" 01/21/1948...39.4" 01/26/2011...49.4" 01/27/2011...56.1" 02/01/2011...57.2" 02/02/2011...57.7" 02/16/1996...60.9" 02/17/1996...61.7" 03/02/1996...66.3" 03/08/1996...70.8" 03/28/1996...71.1" 03/29/1996...74.9" 04/09/1996...75.2" 04/10/1996...75.6" 04/30/1996...75.6" ........................................ least... 1/09/2007.....0 1/10/2007/73/00/66.. trace 1/19/2000/73/66...trace 1/28/1973.....trace 1/29/1995.....0.2" 2/04/1998.....0.5" 3/22/1919.....2.4" 3/28/1973.....2.8" to end...
-
November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
the most snow NYC got on Nov. 15th and 16th is 1"...1872 got an inch on the 16th...in December 18" fell on 12/26...60" fell that winter...Nov 15th 1906 saw 1" of snow in NYC...later on in the winter there was an 11" storm in early February...53" fell that winter... 1872... http://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030313/1872-11-17/ed-1/seq-9/ 1906... http://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030214/1906-11-16/ed-1/seq-1/ -
November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
31 here the last two mornings... -
-
1963-64 had a weak to moderate el nino...QBO was slightly positive...solar was low...2018 is similar and it follows two weak la nina's...63-64 followed two weak negatives...I doubt December gets as cold as 1963...but it still could be below average...
-
Amazing 140%-175% Of Normal 2010's Seasonal Snowfall
uncle W replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
the 2010's are on pace for 30 snowfalls 4" or more...it has 24 since 2010-11... ten year period........# 1890-91-1899-00...33 1900-01-1909-10...32 1910-11-1919-20...23 1920-21-1920-29...20 1930-31-1939-40...20 1940-41-1949-50...23 1950-51-1959-60...18 1960-61-1969-70...21 1970-71-1979-80...16 1980-81-1989-90...20 1990-91-1999-00...22 2000-01-2009-10...27 2010-11-2017-18...24 -
Amazing 140%-175% Of Normal 2010's Seasonal Snowfall
uncle W replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
snow depth for NYC...mostly from Central park...every three days starting with Dec. 1st...it is possible and has happened in the past a snowfall could fall between dates and melt before the third day... .............................December...................................January.......................................February......................................March................. year.....01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31...03 06 09 12 15 18 21 24 27 30...02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29...02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 26 29 51-52....0...0...0...0...0...2...1...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...3.....T...0...0...0...0...0...T...T...0...1.....1...0...T...0...T...0...0...0...0...0 52-53....T...2...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...3.....T...T...T...T....0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 53-54....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...T...T...9...7...7...T...T....0...0.....0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...T 54-55....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...1...T...0...T....0...0.....3...1...0...T...T...0...0...0...0...0.....0...T...0...0...0...3...0...0...T...0 55-56....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...3...T...0...T.....T...0...0...0...T...0...T....0...0...0.....T...0...0...0...0...1...0...0...0....T.....0...T...0...1...0...6...8...1...0...0 56-57....0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...T.....0...T...T...0...2...3...T....0...2...T.....6...T...0...0...T...0...0...0...0....T.....T...0...T...0...0...0...T...0...0...0 57-58....0...8...1...0...1...T...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...4...3...T...2...1...0...0...0.....0...0...1...T...T...8...5...1...T....T.....0...0...0...0...2...0.11...T...0...0 58-59....0...0...0...2...1...1...T...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...1...0.....0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0....0.....0...0...0...5...1...0...0...0...0...T 59-60....0...0...T...0...0...0...0.14...4...T...0.....0...0...0...2...T...T...T...T....0...0.....T...0...T...1...0...0...0...0...0...T...12.12...3...T...T....T...0...0...0...0 60-61....0...0...0...0.15.10...7...2...1...T...T.....0...0...0...0...1...T...9.10..13...9.....8.24.17.11..5...4...T...0...0...T......0...0...1...0...0...T...0...0...0...0 61-62....0...0...0...1...0...0...0...0...6...3...1.....T...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...T.....2...0...0...2...2...1...1...T....0...0.....0...T...T...0...0...0...T...0...0...0 62-63....0...0...T...1...T...T...0...3...T....0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...4...4.....4...1...0...0...0...0...2...T...T...T.....1...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0 63-64....0...0...0...0...T...T...1...T....6...5...2.....2...T...0...1.13...8...T...0...0...0.....0...0...T...2...0...T...6...5...2...1.....0...0...0...1...0...0...1...0...0...0 64-65....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...1...0...0...0.....1...0...0...6...T...4...2...3...1...T.....1...T...0...0...1...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...T...T...1...T...0...0 65-66....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...2...2...7.....8...4...2...T...0...0...0...0...4...T.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 66-67....0...0...0...0...T...0...0...T...7...5...T.....T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T.....0...0.13.11...8...T...1...4...T...1.....0...0...0...0...2...3...1...6...T...0 67-68....3...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...1...3.....3...3...3...2...T...0...0...T...0...0.....0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...1.....T...0...0...T...0...0...0...T...0...0 68-69....0...0...0...0...0...5...1...T...0...2...0.....0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...T...0.15.11...9...6...5...2...1.....3...T...1...T...0...0...0...0...0...0 69-70....T...0...T...0...0...0...T...0...2...4...2.....1...1...2...3...2...1...4...3...2...T.....0...3...1...0...1...2...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...4 70-71....0...0...0...0...0...T...0...2...T...0...0.....5...T...0...0...1...T...T...2...T....T.....0...T....T...0...T...0...0...0...0...0.....T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 71-72....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...T.....0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...T....T.....T...0...4...2...0...2...2...5...T....0.....0...T...0...T...1...0...0...0...0...0 72-73....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...2.....0...0...0...0...0...1...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 73-74....0...0...0...0...0...2...3...T...0...0...0.....T...1...1...4...4...4...1...T....0...0.....T...1...6...3...T...T....0...0...1...T.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...2 74-75....0...0...0...T...0...0...T...0...T...0...0.....T...0...0...0...T...0...T....0...0...0.....0...3...0...0...6...T...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0 75-76....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...2...1...0...0.....0...0...0...2...T...0...2...1...0...0.....1...2...2...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...4...T...0...0...0...0...0...0 76-77....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...2.....T...T...2...1...6...5...3...2...2...2.....1...4...2...1...T...0...2...T....0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0 77-78....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0.....1...0...1...0...2...1.15.11..T...T......T...T.18.10.10...6...5...4...4...3.....8...4...3...1...T...1...0...0...0...0 78-79....0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...3...0...T...0...T...0...0...0...0.....0...0...4...3...3...3.16...2...0...0.....0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0 79-80....0...0...0...0...0...0...3...T...0...0...0.....0...1...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...T...0...T...0...T.....0...0...0...0...1...0...0...0...0...0 80-81....0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...T...T....0.....2...2...4...3...2...2...1...T...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...6...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 81-82....0...0...0...T...0...T...0...T....0...0...0.....0...0...T...6...5...3...3...2...T...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 82-83....0...0...0...0...3...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...1...T...T...0...0...0.....0...0...2.14.16...8...3...T...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 83-84....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...1...T...0.....0...T...0...4...3...6...6...4...0...T......0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T.....0...0...0...7...3...T...0...0...0...2 84-85....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...2...0.....0...T...0...T...T...4...3...1...T...T......4...6...5...3...T...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 85-86....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...T...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...1.....0...0...5...6...5...3...T...0...0...0.....0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 86-87....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...T...1...7...9...6.....3...T...0...0...2...1...T...4...1...0.....0...0...0...2...0...0...0...0...0...0 87-88....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...2.....2...5...9...4...3...1...0...0...2...1.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...1.....0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0 88-89....0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0.....T....5...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...T.....0...3...2...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 89-90....0...T...0...0...T...1...T...0...0....T...T.....0...0...T...T....T...0...T...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...2...0.....0...3...T...0...0...0...0...T...0...T 90-91....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...7...0.....0...0...T...4....0...0...2...T...0...0.....0...0...0...0...T...T....0...0...8...7.....0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0...T 91-92....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...1...0.....0...0...0...0...1...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...1...2...0...0 92-93....0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...T...0...0.....T...0...T....1...T...0...0...0...0...0.....T....0...2...0...1...0...0...1...T...T.....0...T...0....8...2...1...0...0...0...0 93-94....0...0...0...0...2...0...0...0...T...0...4.....T...1...2...5...3...5...5...5...7...1.....2...1...7.22.17.15...7...3...2...2.....7...4...T....T...T....3...T...0...T...0 94-95....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...8...7...5...4...2...0...0...T...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 95-96....1...0...0...T...0...1...5...7...3...2...1.....3...3.31.29...9...7...T...0...0...0.....1...6...4...0...1...9...2...0...0...0.....2...0...4...T...0...0...0...0...0...T 96-97....0...0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...1...1...0...0...0...0...T...0.....0...0...3...0...1...T...0...0...0...0.....1...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 97-98....0...0...0...T...0...0...0...T...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0 98-99....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...1...0...T.....0...0...1...0...1...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...1...0...0...0...0...0...1...0.....0...0...0...0...3...0...0...0...T...0 99-00....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...T...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...2...T...4...3.....2...4...1...0...0...0...1...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 00-01....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...T...0...0.12.....7...7...5...3...T...0...4...2...T...0.....0...5...0...0...0...T...0...6...0...0.....0...3...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 01-02....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...T...T...0...0...0...2...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...T...0 02-03....0...0...5...1...0...0...0...0...5...2...0.....0...T...1...0...T...T...T...0...2...1.....0...0...5...2...T..19.12...4...2...1.....T...3...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.. 03-04....0...0.13...6...T...T...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...T...5...3...2...2...8...7.....7...2...1...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...4...0...0...0...0 04-05....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...2...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0.14.13.11.....8...6...4...0...0...0...1...T...4...6.....5...3...1...1...0...0...0...1...0...0 05-06....0...2...1...6...3...T...0...0...0...0...T.....T....0...0...0...2...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...2.15...2...0...0...0...T.....1...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 06-07....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...T...1.....T....0...0...0...2...2...0...0...2...0.....0...0...0...0...0...3...T...0...0...0 07-08....0...0...T...0...T...1...0...0...0...0...T......0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...T...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...5...0...T.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 08-09....0...0...0...0...0...1...4...3...0...0...T......T...T...0...1...1...2...3...0...0...1.....T...3...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....8...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 09-10....0...0...0...0...0...0...9...7...2...0...1.....T...T...T....0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....1...0...0.10...8.10...4...0.21.15.....4...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 10-11....0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0...0.18.13.....6...2...2...9...6...5...6...6.23.18...17.15.11...8...7...2...0...2...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...1...0...0 11-12....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...4...0...0...0.....0...0...T...T....0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 12-13....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0.....0...T...0...0...0...0...0...0...1...0.....T....T...6...9...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...4...0...0...3...0...0...0...0 13-14....0...0...0...1...0...3...3...0...0...0...T.....6...1...0...0...0...0.11...6...3...1.....1...9...9.10.18.17.15...9...6...6.....5...4...2...0...0...0...0...0...0...0 14-15....0...0...0...1...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...1...1...T...0...0...0...3.10...7.....8...7...8...8...8.12...9...9.11.11...14.19.13...4...0...0...4...0...0...0 15-16....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...T...0...0...0.22...9...6......T...2...T...T...0...0...0....T...0...0.....0...0...0...0...0...0...T...0...0...0 16-17....0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0...0.....0...1...3...0...1...0...0...T...0...T......0...0...0...5...2...0...0...0...0...0.....0...0...0...T...6...3...0...0...0...0 17-18....0...0...0...4...T...2...0...0...T....0...T.....0...6...5...T...0...T...0...0...0...1......T...0...0...0...0...4...0...0...0...0.....0...0...2...T...0...0...8...0...0...0 -
I left out the storms with two day cold between 60 degree days...1970-71 had 6" of snow New Years day...1989 was left out for lack of snow...1984 and 1990 for lack of cold...there were nine good periods from 1959 to 1970...12 yrs...nine good ones since 2000...18 yrs...none from 1984 to 1992... dates..........max min precip snow..........dates..........max min precip snow...........dates..........max min precip snow..........dates.......max min precip snow 12/20/59.....33...25........0.........0..........12/11/60......34...19.....0.18"....3.6"........12/16/61.....32...14........0.........0..........12/16/62...31...23...0.01"...0.3" 12/21/59.....33,,,23.....0.25"....3.4"........12/12/60.....21.....9.....0.68"..11.6".........12/17/61.....35...30.....0.33"....0.4".......12/17/62...34...22......0........0 12/22/59.....28...17.....0.71"..10.3"........12/13/60.....20.....8........0........0............12/18/61.....39...32.....1.05".....0..........12/18/62...39...34......0........0 12/23/59.....23.....9........0.........0..........12/14/60......28...17........0........0............12/19/61.....42...36.....0.25".....0..........12/19/62...41...37......0........0 12/24/59.....31...18........0.........0..........12/15/60......40...22........0........0............12/20/61.....44...38.......0........0...........12/20/62...41...14......0........0 12/25/59.....39...30........0.........0..........12/16/60......40...30.....0.24"....0.1"........12/21/61.....41...32........0........0..........12/21/62...28...10...0.16"...2.3" 12/26/59.....45...34.....0.02"......0..........12/17/60......33...23........0........0...........12/22/61.....40...29........0........0..........12/22/62...37...28...0.38"...1.1" 12/27/59.....40...36.....0.07"......0..........12/18/60......35...24........0........0...........12/23/61.....37...26.....0.23"....2.8".......12/23/62...39...31......T........T 12/28/59.....43...36.....0.57"......0..........12/19/60......34...24.....0.11"....1.3"........12/24/61.....33...25.....0.35"....3.4".......12/24/62...34...24......0........0 12/29/59.....37...33.....0.27"....1.8"........12/20/60......34...21........0........0...........12/25/61.....36...22........0........0..........12/25/62...35...24...0.10"...0.3" ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 12/18/63.....30...23.....0.14"....1.4"........12/20/66......37...24.....0.20".....T...........12/22/67.....62...38.....0.30".....0..........12/22/69...38...28...1.44".....T 12/19/63.....30...16.......T..........T...........12/21/66......34...28.....0.15"....1.2"........12/23/67.....38...28.....0.09"....1.2"......12/23/69...28...18......0........0 12/20/63.....26...11.......0..........0...........12/22/66......36...27........0........0...........12/24/67.....33...26........0........0..........12/24/69...27...17....0.01"....T 12/21/63.....22...11.......0..........0...........12/23/66......31...26........0........0...........12/25/67.....43...27.....0.12".....0..........12/25/69...29...14....0.25"...2.1" 12/22/63.....36...21.......0..........0...........12/24/66......26...22.....0.74"....6.7".......12/26/67.....40...27.....0.08".....0..........12/26/69...37...27....1.54"...4.2" 12/23/63.....32...28.....0.60"....6.0"........12/25/66......32...23.....0.05"....0.4"........12/27/67.....31...24.....0.02"....0.3"......12/27/69...30...22....0.06"...0.5" 12/24/63.....36...25.....0.08"....0.6"........12/26/66......31...24........0.........0...........12/28/67.....36...31.....1.29"....1.0"......12/28/69...36...28.......0........0 12/25/63.....39...33.......0..........0...........12/27/66......33...26........0.........0..........12/29/67.....36...24.....0.05".....0..........12/29/69...30...21.......0........0 12/26/63.....45...30.......0..........0...........12/28/66......29...22.....0.05"....0.4"........12/30/67.....31...20........0........0..........12/30/69...36...31....0.16"....0 12/27/63.....34...25.....0.10"....1.0"........12/29/66......48...28.....1.25"....0.4"........12/31/67.....34...26.....0.28"....3.0".......12/31/69...33...25....0.16"....0 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ dates........max min precip snow..............dates.........max min precip snow.............dates........max min precip snow...........dates.......max min precip snow 12/22/70.....32...23.....0.24"....1.8".........12/16/75.....52...31.....0.03".....0............12/22/76.....29...16........0........0..........12/15/80...31...18....0.09"...1.1" 12/23/70.....32...28.....0.21"......T...........12/17/75.....42...30........0.........0............12/23/76.....38...26........T........T..........12/16/80...37...31....0.01".....T 12/24/70.....33...30.....0.12"......0...........12/18/75.....39...19........0.........0............12/24/76.....32...24........0........0.........12/17/80...32...21.......0.........0 12/25/70.....32...29........0.........0...........12/19/75.....26...17........T.........T.............12/25/76.....36...23.....0.06"....0.4".....12/18/80...40...21.......0.........0 12/26/70.....33...22........T.........T............12/20/75.....41...22........T.........T.............12/26/76.....36...27.....0.36"....2.7".....12/19/80...41...17.......0.........0 12/27/70.....30...20........0.........0...........12/21/75.....27...22........T.........T.............12/27/76.....27...19........0.........0........12/20/80...26...14.......0.........0 12/28/70.....32...22........0.........0...........12/22/75.....32...24.....0.18"....1.8"..........12/28/76.....25...19.....0.13"....2.0"......12/21/80...27...16.......0.........0 12/29/70.....30...21........0.........0...........12/23/75.....34...22........0.........0.............12/29/76.....32...20........T.........T........12/22/80...32...19.......0.........0 12/30/70.....30...20........0.........0...........12/24/75.....23...16........0.........0.............12/30/76.....22...10........0.........0........12/23/80...34...29....0.16"...0.6" 12/31/70.....34...19........0.........0...........12/25/75.....31...17.....0.17"....0.5"..........12/31/76.....22...15........T.........T.........12/24/80...37...20....0.10"...1.0" .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 12/18/83.....37...28........0.........0...........12/22/93.....40...34........0.........0.............12/11/95.....24...15........0.........0........12/21/00...33...22........0.........0 12/19/83.....34...21........0.........0...........12/23/93.....39...25........0.........0.............12/12/95.....26...16........0.........0........12/22/00...32...17....0.01"...0.8" 12/20/83.....25...17........0.........0...........12/24/93.....36...20........T.........T.............12/13/95.....28...20........0.........0........12/23/00...30...14........0.........0 12/21/83.....32...14........T.........T...........12/25/93.....34...26........T.........T..............12/14/95.....37...24.....0.42"....1.7".....12/24/00...31...23........0.........0 12/22/83.....53...31.....2.18"....0.6"........12/26/93.....32...15........T.........T..............12/15/95.....44...32........0.........0........12/25/00...27...15........0.........0 12/23/83.....41...22.....0.03"....0.2"........12/27/93.....20...10........0.........0.............12/16/95.....41...33.....0.21"....0.5"......12/26/00...30...14........0.........0 12/24/83.....22.....6.....0.07"....0.8"........12/28/93.....25...20........0.........0.............12/17/95.....41...31........0.........0........12/27/00...32...21........0.........0 12/25/83.....13.....4........0.........0...........12/29/93.....27...15.....0.24"....3.7"..........12/18/95.....39...30........0.........0........12/28/00...27...19........0.........0 12/26/83.....19.....8........0.........0...........12/30/93.....27...20.....0.02"....0.3"..........12/19/95.....33...22.....0.68"....5.5".....12/29/00...30...17........0.........0 12/27/83.....29...16........0.........0...........12/31/93.....33...17........0.........0.............12/20/95.....23...18.....0.12"....2.2".....12/30/00...31...24....0.92"..12.0" ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ dates.........max min.. precip snow...........dates.........max min precip...snow.............dates........max min precip...snow........dates.....max min precip...snow 12/01/02.....41...29........T.........T............12/01/03.....51...35........0.........0............12/04/05.....34...28.....0.32"....2.5".......12/16/08...58...30....0.28"....1.0 12/02/02.....39...29........0.........0...........12/02/03.....36...23........T..........0............12/05/05.....35...31........T.........T..........12/17/08...42...32....0.42".....0 12/03/02.....37...19........T.........T............12/03/03.....31...21........0.........0............12/06/05.....37...29.....0.07"....1.0".......12/18/08...42...36......0........0 12/04/02.....32...20........0.........0...........12/04/03.....41...26........0.........0............12/07/05.....32...26........0.........0..........12/19/08...37...29....0.93"....4.0" 12/05/02.....31...26.....0.35"....6.0"........12/05/03.....37...25.....0.53"....8.0"..........12/08/05.....38...29........0.........0..........12/20/08...31...22....0.04"....0.5" 12/06/02.....35...28........0.........0...........12/06/03.....28...23.....0.40"....6.0"..........12/09/05.....36...27.....0.74"....5.8".......12/21/08...37...25....0.58"....0.2" 12/07/02.....36...25........0.........0...........12/07/03.....29...22........0.........0............12/10/05.....39...31........0.........0..........12/22/08...27...15.......0........0 12/08/02.....45...30........0.........0...........12/08/03.....37...23........0.........0............12/11/05.....37...24........0.........0..........12/23/08...31...18.......0........0 12/09/02.....30...19........0.........0...........12/09/03.....38...30........0.........0............12/12/05.....26...17........0.........0..........12/24/08...58...31....0.46".....T 12/10/02.....36...25........0.........0...........12/10/03.....52...36........0.........0............12/13/05.....24...14........0.........0..........12/25/08...57...33....0.13".....0 ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 12/16/09.....42...28........0.........0...........12/21/10.....38...28........0.........0............12/08/13.....33...29.....0.08"....0.7"........12/08/17...39...34.......0........0 12/17/09.....31...20........0.........0...........12/22/10.....38...28........0.........0............12/09/13.....39...31.....0.30"......T..........12/09/17...35...30....0.46"....4.6" 12/18/09.....30...16........0.........0...........12/23/10.....35...30........0.........0............12/10/13.....37...30.....0.23"....1.4"........12/10/17...39...29.......0........0 12/19/09.....30...21.....0.61"....9.1"........12/24/10.....40...29........0.........0............12/11/13.....33...27........0.........0...........12/11/17...41...33.......0........0 12/20/09.....34...21.....0.13"....1.8"........12/25/10.....32...25........0.........0............12/12/13.....30...23........0.........0...........12/12/17...50...29.......T........T 12/21/09.....36...28........0.........0...........12/26/10.....30...21.....1.09"..12.2".........12/13/13.....35...23........0.........0...........12/13/17...31...20.......T........T 12/22/09.....36...23........0.........0...........12/27/10.....28...20.....0.52"....7.8".........12/14/13.....34...22.....0.73"....5.0"........12/14/17...32...22....0.09"....1.2" 12/23/09.....30...20........0.........0...........12/28/10.....38...24........0.........0............12/15/13.....40...30.....0.72".....0...........12/15/17...28...20....0.11"....1.2" 12/24/09.....39...24........0.........0...........12/29/10.....37...31........0.........0............12/16/13.....33...25........0........0...........12/16/17...39...23.......0........0 12/25/09.....38...33.....0.24"......0...........12/30/10.....40...28........0.........0............12/17/13.....32...24.....0.19"....1.5".......12/17/17...38...32.......0........0
-
November 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Three great winters had heavy rains around this time of the month...1947, 1963, 1977...1977 had 9" in two days. ..one bad winter with a deluge during the same period is 1972... -
Weak-Moderate El Nino 2018-2019
uncle W replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Except for 1972-73 and 1997-98 NYC had a much better winter after two or more la Nina or weak negative years...2014-15 was a second straight great winter and was better than the previous winter in Boston... 1952-53 1957-58 1963-64 1968-69 1976-77 1986-87 2002-03 2009-10 2014-15 -
October 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Oct 2010 was +0.3 if we compare the actual numbers for Central park from 1981-2010... -
October 2018 Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
the average temperature for October 2018 in NYC is 57.8 as of yesterday...there is a chance the average drops to 57.7 after today...counting 2018 the last 90 Octobers averaged 57.8 -
after today October temperature is averaging 58.8 in Central Park...the max so far this month is 80 and the min is 38...rainfall was 3.36" the last I looked...no snow recorded so far... October... decade....Ave.......high..low......Ave.max/min...max...min......Rainfall 1870's.....55.5.......60.3....50.6...........................................3.55" 1880's.....53.9.......58.8....48.6......77.0...34.1......87...29......3.17" 1890's.....55.5.......59.5....52.5......77.4...37.3......87...34......3.59" 1900's.....57.2.......61.3....52.7......77.1...37.5......82...32......4.39" 1910's.....57.9.......59.4....53.0......80.1...37.1......87...32......4.41" 1920's.....56.8.......61.1....50.6......81.4...35.3......90...29......3.39" 1930's.....57.4.......61.3....54.5......81.2...36.3......91...28......3.22" 1940's.....58.7.......63.6....53.8......84.9...37.8......94...30......2.42" 1950's.....58.6.......61.7....55.5......83.6...38.0......88...33......3.68" 1960's.....58.2.......61.8....55.0......82.2...35.3......86...31......2.45" 1970's.....56.9.......62.7....52.9......78.1...35.7......88...29......3.88" 1980's.....57.0.......61.8....52.8......78.5...37.2......84...31......4.01" 1990's.....57.7.......61.9....54.5......79.1...38.8......86...34......3.85" 2000's.....57.0.......63.6....55.0......79.1...38.1......87...36......5.23" 2010's.....59.2.......64.1....57.1......80.8...38.8......86...33......4.04" 2018.......58.8...............................80.0...38.0......80...48......3.36" as of 10/27 1870--- 2009.......56.8................................80.0...36.8........................3.66" 1980--- 2009.......57.2................................78.9...38.0........................4.36" Warmest... 64.1 in 2017 63.6 in 1947 63.6 in 2007 63.1 in 1949 62.7 in 1971 61.9 in 1990 Coolest... 48.6 in 1888 49.7 in 1889 50.6 in 1925 50.6 in 1876 50.9 in 1869 wettest"... 16.73 in 2005 13.31 in 1903 12.97 in 1913 09.00 in 1927 08.63 in 1983 driest... 0.14 in 1963 0.28 in 1924 0.36 in 2013 0.43 in 1879 0.59 in 1892 0.66 in 2001 0.66 in 1909 Snowiest"... 2.9 in 2011 0.8 in 1925 0.5 in 1876 0.5 in 1952 Hottest max.. 94 in 1941 10/5 91 in 1939 10/10 90 in 1927 10/2 90 in 1941 10/6 90 in 1938 10/17 89 in 1922 10/5 Coolest monthly max... 66 in 1888 70 in 1894 70 in 1895 70 in 1977 71 in 1981 Coldest min... 28 in 1936 10/27 29 in 1879 10/25 29 in 1976 10/27 29 in 1976 10/28 29 in 1925 10/31 29 in 1887 10/31 warmest monthly min... 45 in 1946 45 in 1971 44 in 2004 43 in 1994 43 in 1927 Octobers with a temp. 32 or lower... 1876...32 1879...29 1877...29 1889...32 1904...32 1917...32 1925...29 1928...32 1933...32 1936...28 1940...30 1965...32 1969...31 1972...32 1974...31 1975...31 1976...29 1988...31
-
Weak-Moderate El Nino 2018-2019
uncle W replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
the ao and nao going negative now and the analogs I think are relative to this year... -
Weak-Moderate El Nino 2018-2019
uncle W replied to AfewUniversesBelowNormal's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
today was the first day that the ao and nao were negative together in months...forecasts are for them to get more negative before it relaxes...and then comes back...subject to change on a daily basis...timing looks good to me and I think December will be a negative ao month at least....