uncle W

if the temperature doesn't rise and it falls like it has in the last hour NYC will tie a record low max for the date...the max so far in NYC is 62...the record is 62 set in 1883...

this storm in Sept. 1896 was felt in NYC even though it was off shore... 1896 storm.. http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/50460383/ http://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030214/1896-09-11/ed-1/seq-14/

foiled again...

NYC tied a record low max today with a high of 61...Ties the record set in 1880... 1869...a month before the Saxby Gale... http://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030214/1869-09-10/ed-1/seq-1/

nothing is written in stone yet but it does look like a Sandy/Ages combination headed for Pennsylvania...a recurve can happen at the last minute...TWT... back in 1958 south Carolina dodged a bullet with this storm...

Dec 2009 to Jan 2011 had five major storms in NYC...six 9" or more in 15 months...no hurricane though...

something Sandy or Agnes like is possible next week...

the longest stretch without a 10" snowfall in Central was between 2/12/83 and 3/13/93...the other stretch of futility was from 2/69 to 1/78...there were only four winters with a 10" snowfall from the 1969-70 winter and the 1991-92 winter....4 of 23 years...one year over 50"...no others over 30"...1977-78 had two big storms...50" seasonal...1978-79 got lucky in February...29" seasonal...1982 in April...25"...1983 in February...27"

nothing beats the period from March 3rd, 1960 to Feb. 4th 1961...four major blizzards and a major hurricane...these came in the middle of a long and severe 10 year drought...

it was a four year drought...5 of 6...the longest drought was six years from 1949-50 to 1954-55...the first six winters of my life......good thing I was to young to remember...

1881 was a lot drier heading into the heat wave...

1932 had a colder 30 day period in NYC than 1997-98 and another year that escapes me...the late summer, fall and winter of 1931-32 is up near the top for warmth during that period... as a kid growing up and living thru the 1980's I would never have dreamed or wish cast the amount of snowy winters since 1993...not to mention the 20" storms and 50" seasons...

it must have been nuts back then... 1881 heat... http://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030214/1881-09-07/ed-1/seq-2/ http://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030214/1881-09-07/ed-1/seq-5/ 1881 heat... http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/50447683 http://chroniclingamerica.loc.gov/lccn/sn83030214/1881-09-08/ed-1/seq-5/

the 1880's and 1890's still have heat records still on the books...1881's 101 degree day is second only to the 102 in 1953...1895 was the latest for the hottest temp of the year on 9/22 and the 97 degrees that day is the latest 97 degree day on record...1898 for its warmest start...

latest date for the first 50's for years with no 50's in August...since 1876...I could not find 1947-1948 which were possible contenders...so far none this year... 2016...9/17 1966...9/15 2015...9/14 1996...9/14 2014...9/13 1905...9/13 1933...9/11 1980...9/11 1993...9/11 2005...9/11 2010...9/11 1995...9/10 2012...9/10

I love talking about snow when it's 95 degrees out...the two storms in January 2014 started out with temps in the mid 20's and ended with tamps around 12 degrees... some other storms... storm........temps during the storm... 2016..........24-27 2014..........25-12 2014..........25-12 2010D........26-20 2009D........27-21 2006..........32-23 2005..........15-26-17 2004J........13-9 2004J........23-20 2003F........13-26-23 2000D........25-28 1996J........13-23-17 1996F........22-14 1996F........23-23 1994F........22-14 1994F........15-25 1983..........19-21-19 1982..........32-26 1978f........20-27-24 1969..........34-24 1967..........14-16-9 1965..........15-17-14 1964..........17-22-11 1961J........25-13 1961F........25-32 1960D........25-9 1960M........27-21 1958F........25-15 1956..........28-23 1948D........27-29 est 1947D........27-29 est 1935..........40-15 1934F........33-30 1934F........33-10 1934F........14-21-14 1933D........30-23-25 1926F........26-30-28 1926F........26-18 1914M........37-17-24 1905..........23-12 1899..........6-11

The high of 30 the day after the storm was more amazing...then it snowed again a few a few days later...

some of the coldest big snowstorms in NYC history... year.....LE.....snow..... 1996....2.16".....20.2" Jan... 2003....1.78".....19.8" Feb... 2010....1.61".....20.0" Dec... 1983....1.49".....17.6" Feb... 2005....1.18".....13.8" Jan... 1978....1.13".....17.7" Feb... 1879....1.12".....13.0" Jan... 1960....1.08".....14.5" Mar... 1967....1.06".....12.5" Feb... 1876....1.04".....11.0" Feb... 1933....1.04".....11.2" Dec... 1935....0.99".....13.0" Jan... 1926....0.96".....12.0" Feb... 1964....0.88".....12.5" Jan... 1960....0.86".....15.2" Dec... 1899....0.70".....16.0" Feb... 1905....0.51".....11.0" Jan... 1961....0.50"......9.9" Jan... 2014....0.48".....11.5" Jan...

some September heat waves...three days or more 90+... year.....dates.......max 2015...01-03.......93 2015...07-09.......97 2010...8/29-9/2...96 1985...04-06.......94 1983...05-07.......94 1980...8/31-9/2...96 1973...8/28-9/4...98 1961...8/31-9/2...95 1961...10-12.......94 1953...8/26-9/2...102 1952...11-13.......94 1931...09-11.......99 1929...01-04.......99 1915...14-16.......92 1914...21-23.......95 1895...20-24.......97

September decade averages for NYC...ave. temp...ave rainfall...ave max...ave min...minimums are on the rise...the 2010's have the high maximums also... Decade...ave temp...rainfall...ave max...ave min... 1870's......65.3......3.41"............................ 1880's......66.2......4.18"......86.5......46.1 1890's......67.7......3.38"......89.6......47.0 1900's......68.1......3.84"......86.8......48.4 1910's......66.8......3.09"......89.5......45.6 1920's......67.8......3.54"......91.1......47.2 1930's......68.7......5.15"......90.0......47.9 1940's......68.8......3.70"......91.2......45.5 1950's......68.3......2.36"......89.9......45.6 1960's......67.7......3.85"......90.2......47.2 1970's......68.3......4.73"......90.1......47.1 1980's......68.6......3.58"......90.3......47.5 1990's......68.0......4.18"......88.7......47.6 2000's......68.6......4.91"......86.5......49.7 2010's......70.5......3.71"......92.5......52.6 1870- 2009........67.8......3.85"......89.2......47.1 1980- 2009........68.4......4.22"......88.5......48.3 Warmest..........Coolest..........Wettest............Driest... 74.5 in 2015...60.8 in 1871...16.85" in 1882...0.21" in 1884 73.6 in 1961...61.8 in 1887...11.96" in 1934...0.29" in 1914 73.3 in 1881...62.6 in 1883...11.51" in 2004...0.41" in 1885 73.3 in 2005...62.8 in 1888...10.30" in 1944...0.48" in 2005 72.3 in 1931...63.1 in 1963...10.09" in 1933...0.51" in 1941 72.3 in 1959...63.3 in 1893.....9.39" in 2011...0.60" in 1948 72.2 in 1891...63.3 in 1879.....9.32" in 1975...0.62" in 1895 72.1 in 1921...63.6 in 1917.....9.02" in 1938...0.70" in 1951 72.0 in 1930...63.7 in 1876.....8.82" in 1966...0.97" in 1881 71.8 in 1884...63.9 in 1918.....8.81" in 1999...1.10" in 1953 71.8 in 2016 Hottest temp......Coolest temp... 102 9/02/1953....39 9/30/1912 101 9/07/1881....40 9/30/1888 ..99 9/03/1929....40 9/25/1887 ..99 9/11/1931....40 9/24/1963 ..99 9/11/1983....40 9/21/1871 Warmest monthly minimum... 57 in 1910 56 in 1921 56 in 2015 54 in 2002 54 in 1982 54 in 1960 54 in 1891 54 in 2010 54 in 2016 54 in 2017 Coldest monthly max... 79 in 1883 80 in 1888 80 in 2003 81 in 1908 81 in 1918 81 in 1975 Warmest daily minimum... 79 9/07/1881 79 9/02/1898 78 9/03/1898 78 9/04/1898 78 9/11/1983 78 9/02/2010 Coolest daily max... 52 9/30/1888 52 9/24/1887 53 9/19/1875 53 9/24/1950 53 9/25/1879 53 9/28/1984 53 9/29/1888

8/14..Kennedy 8/15...Newark 8/15...Central Park... 9/2.....LGA 9/9.....Philly... http://threadex.rcc-acis.org/

my son was playing little league baseball for Mid Island and the day after the league picnic the storm hit the field...all the light polls were toppled or broke in half and scattered around the field where the people were...good thing it was the day before...It sounded like a freight train to me...I was a half mile ne of the fields when it hit...

my fantasy winter weekly...... Nov. 18-24.......1989.....5" on the 23rd... Nov. 25-Dec 1 1967.....3" on 11/30..... Dec. 2-8...........2003.....14" on 12/6-7th... Dec. 9-15.........1960.....blizzard on the 11-12th... Dec. 16-22.......1948.....16" storm on the 19-20th... Dec. 23-29.......1947.....26" of snow 12/26th......settle for 2010 Dec. 30-Jan. 5 2018.....10" blizzard on the 4th....... Jan. 6-12.........1996.....20" blizzard 1/7-8... Jan. 13-19.......1964.....13" blizzard 1/13..... Jan. 20-26.......2016.....27" blizzard 1/24... Jan. 27-Feb. 2 2011.....19" storm on the 26-27th Feb. 3-9...........1961.....18" storm on the 3rd-4th...settle for 1978... Feb. 10-16.......2006.....27" storm 11-12th.....settle for 1983... Feb. 17-23.......2003.....19" storm on the 16-17th... Feb. 24-Mar 2 2010......21" storm on the 25-26th... Mar. 3-9...........1960......15" blizzard on the 3-4th... Mar. 10-16......1993.......10" snow/sleet/rain on the 13th...record cold... Mar. 17-23......1956.......12" storm on the 19-20th... Mar. 24-30......1984.......3" slush on the 28-29th...settle for 1970... Mar. 31-Apr 6 1982.......10" blizzard on the 6th... Apr. 7-13.........2003.......4-7" on the 7th...

there have been a few weak el nino winters with very little snow so the other indices have to cooperate...even with most of the indices favorable snowfall could be light...40" snowfall seasons were rare before the 1994...now even with record February warmth and a positive ao and nao NYC still managed to pick up above normal snowfall...all good things come to an end and a winter like 2001-02 can happen again...hopefully not this year...

I got 0.38" last night and very little this afternoon...maybe 0.02"...