mob1
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Everything posted by mob1
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Easy now...
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Not as wet as you think (verbatim).
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RGEM was kind of meh (relative to my new expectations )
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Easy come, easy go This better materialize, I can't waste this euphoric feeling on digital snow.
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I literally can't believe my eyes. Good God!
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That's 12Z
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Awesome trend on the RGEM as well
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I went from 0.000000000 to about 10 inches on the NAM. Pretty wild for a storm 60 hours out.
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They sometimes hoist blizzard warnings in the plains just for blowing snow, even if there's nothing falling.
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This looks good...
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Backside energy is sharpening the trough quickly at 54, looks decent so far.
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Ridge axis is further west on the NAM but the trough is also a bit broader.
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Snow moves into the city proper at hour 78. Very nice start to the 0Z suite.
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If we can clean up that funky lead energy that is elongating things to the east initially, we'd really be in business. A massive improvement overall as it is.
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That backside energy is really giving it the old college try at hour 66, it might be a hair late but the run-to-run improvement aloft is rather significant.
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Would love to see that backside energy aggressively phase and pump heights ahead of it as it's pretty low at this point.
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At this point it's almost comical how different it is considering we're a few days out from the potential event. I'd put good money on it backing off at 18Z, maybe not a full cave right away but it's fairly likely that it'll at least take a step back.
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JMA (for what it's worth)
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Canadian looks pretty crappy
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Canadian looks nothing like the GFS (which we could've guessed based on the RGEM).
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Still plenty good for us, let's share the goods with our southern brethren.
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So we're either getting this or this
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Holy crap does the GFS destroy parts of the Mid Atlantic. It's so insanely amped and tucked. I officially give up.
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Both can be true. It definitely bumped west but has less precipitation.
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ICON bumped NW but the RGEM went the other way. This threat is on life support (at least in terms of a significant event).
