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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. jaxjagman
    Dont even look severe hardly Wed,go figure with the models in the mid range..lol
  2. jaxjagman
    +PDO can happen even in a NINA,but more likely in a NINO,maybe more study to what actually starts a period?Dacula has the Index of the PDO going back into the last century https://www.daculaweather.com/4_pdo_index.php
  3. jaxjagman
    Maybe South east TN can get some storms later,cold front is still well out west but the Lapse rates and low level shear showing isnt that great later on,but there is convection that has recently popped up alomg the TN/MS line,guess we will see later.Wed looks to better as Jeff mentioned above,but even that the GFS fluctuates each run seemingly
  4. jaxjagman
    Im kinda skeptic you see any big change in the SST'S in the east.Seems like we are fixing to see a WWB getting combatted with possibly a strong EWB,which is why you see the RMMS showing a decent signal into the WP when we get into July and beyond,other than that maybe a ERW off the Peruvian coast which could possibly warm 3 up,should not be much going on well into July
  5. jaxjagman
    Short range models whiiffed,better convection was seemingly in SW Tn,but nothing really severe
  6. jaxjagman
    Maybe someone will get a good snow strorm this winter,other than that its more than likely going to be AN,we seem to be already headed towards WQBO the next few weeks,more than likely a brick PV probably this winter
  7. jaxjagman
  8. jaxjagman
    Has there ever been a ENSO maybe comparable to this on other than maybe 2009?Even this WWB upcoming is seemingly going to combatted more or less with a EWB
  9. jaxjagman
    Dont see much of any severe the next several days just some possible thunder,guess its that time to go hibernate back into seasonal threads..lol
  10. jaxjagman
  11. jaxjagman
    Maybe we will see thunderstorms anyways in the upcoming days,seems like we fixing to see a ERW along with maybe a CCKW,in which the Rossby wave will kick off the strong WWB EAST of the IDL, This would kick off a more monsoonal flow and put us in a wet unstable pattern in a few days more or less.Least we should see some much needed rains here
  12. jaxjagman
    I think that was the cell i was watching on my radar yesterday
  13. jaxjagman
    Allergies have been kicking my butt the past couple days,i havent paid much attention to anything weather related the past couple days,so glad we got some rain and knocked the pollen down
  14. jaxjagman
    Looks close to where we are at, we are off Carothers
  15. jaxjagman
    We was moving yesterday,moving from Brentwood to Franklin Tn i assume this was yesterday?It wasnt here..lol
  16. jaxjagman
    Thought we might see the Middle of the month get more active into our parts,that seems to be slip sliding away,like the old Paul Simon song would say. Its not like its not been a active year so far.Still seems kinda weird how Wisconsin has had as many tornadoes this year as Alabama and yet Illinois and Miss has give or take almost 40% of all tornadoes this year so far.Oh well,its called weather, right?
  17. jaxjagman
    These westerlies the models have been showing has been countered with strong easterlies,so they have failed to get much past the IDL,maybe its gonna be different this time,probably could be the strongest ERW east of the IDL yet in this event
  18. jaxjagman
    Still seems kinda strange why you dont see the AAM and SOI synced up.Im not saying this wont be a strong NINO,even CPC today shows some pockets today of +8 down into the subsurface.The next WWB seems to be caused by a ERW into the eastern PAC,whicH we havent seen these strong WWB so far
  19. jaxjagman
    We seem to headed towards a WQBO into summer,while the AAM and even SOI is still not coupled quite well,they both look NINA and not NINO ATM
  20. jaxjagman
  21. jaxjagman
    Typically you see the Atmospheric River get going in a strong NINO on the west coast,so you dont see these SST'S out west.Like the NMME'S shows,Its the same into the GOM more or less downstream Out into the Yellow Sea and Sea of Japan has alot has to do with The Siberian blocking,so there's no guarantee even that that region will be warm or cold in a strong NINO. https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/4416
  22. jaxjagman
    Did you go 55?I was watching my radar last night of the PDS,that had to be at least a EF3,i was kinda busy and couldnt watch the whole show but that was a nice couplet as it was headed towards Bube in that vicinity
  23. jaxjagman
    Yes,im not sure even MV does maint on his sites anymore,but i still use it,so it could be wrong for sure
  24. jaxjagman
    This has been what the JMA has been showing and the folllowing year generally leads back into a NINA the following winter
  25. jaxjagman
    Seemingly or more likely we are headed towards a EQBO,i still think there would be little sample size what this winter will be,but more than likely as some of maps shown above,who knows maybe we will get suprised(ducking)..lol Edit:meant westerly WQBO
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