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biodhokie

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Everything posted by biodhokie

  1. General track extrapolation puts the WV cell into DC proper, south towards Alexandria and Springfield. Someone here is gonna get smoked if she keeps going.
  2. Severe Thunderstorm Warning Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 346 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 WVC027-031-122000- /O.CON.KLWX.SV.W.0246.000000T0000Z-220712T2000Z/ Hardy WV-Hampshire WV- 346 PM EDT Tue Jul 12 2022 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN HARDY AND SOUTHERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES... At 345 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 9 miles northwest of Wardensville, or 12 miles south of Romney, moving east at 50 mph. THIS IS A DESTRUCTIVE STORM FOR NORTHERN HARDY AND SOUTHERN HAMPSHIRE COUNTIES IN WV. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and tennis ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. Locations impacted include... Wardensville, Augusta, Bean Settlement, Yellow Spring, Delray, Inkerman, Kirby, Rio, Capon Springs, High View and Lehew. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. This is an EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION with tornado like wind speeds expected. Mobile homes and high profile vehicles are especially susceptible to winds of this magnitude and may be overturned. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This storm has the potential to cause serious injury and significant property damage. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. && LAT...LON 3907 7887 3933 7883 3927 7841 3926 7842 3924 7840 3920 7844 3916 7841 3915 7843 3913 7844 3911 7846 3911 7848 3903 7857 TIME...MOT...LOC 1945Z 282DEG 44KT 3916 7873 TORNADO...POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORM DAMAGE THREAT...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.50 IN WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED MAX WIND GUST...80 MPH $$ BELAK
  3. I'm squeezing the Euro for all it's worth. I was expecting hot and sunny rather than needing waders for tomorrow.
  4. I've got a golf tournament on Saturday and knowing my luck it's going to be that 0.01 time on Saturday. Probably the only time this summer where I'll beg for a torch.
  5. Non-stop fire sirens in Silver Spring. Makes me wonder if multiple water rescues are needed since people weren't turning around when I saw flooded roads.
  6. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 417 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 310 PM EDT FRI JUL 1 2022 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 417 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MDC003-005-013-015-017-021-025-027-031-033-043-510-012300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0417.220701T1910Z-220701T2300Z/ MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CARROLL CECIL CHARLES FREDERICK HARFORD HOWARD MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY $$
  7. Mesoscale Discussion 1190 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0146 PM CDT Thu Jun 16 2022 Areas affected...Western Maryland...eastern West Virginia...and northern Virginia. Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 161846Z - 162015Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Continued storm development is likely through the afternoon with a threat for large hail and damaging winds. DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has developed over the mountains in southern Pennsylvania this morning with a few severe thunderstorm warnings issued. Satellite and radar trends show additional development in the vicinity which should also pose a threat for strong to severe storms. Effective shear is in the 25 to 30 knot range which will support multicell clusters and occasional rotating updrafts. Damaging winds and isolated large hail will be the primary threat through the afternoon, especially if any forward propagating clusters can develop. The primary limiting factor is the more stable airmass to the east, but southward moving clusters should be able to maintain themselves with moist/unstable air west of the surface trough. A severe thunderstorm watch may need to be considered if severe storms become more numerous/show greater organization. ..Bentley/Guyer.. 06/16/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK... LAT...LON 38957926 39677868 39807793 39697757 39477749 38827748 37667811 37177884 37217929 37987950 38957926 Our pity MCD is here.
  8. RAP holds that super sharp gradient. If we can just break through the cap, might give me hope.
  9. More chances, more hits of dopamine when the we get CIPS signals to keep us going when we expect nothing and still are left disappointed
  10. I think that was the DC'ist DC split I ever did see.
  11. Heavy rain, getting svr gusts sitting at the Westfield mall by democracy Blvd. No hail
  12. Oof. That same storm is cranking out CG at amazing pace.
  13. Mesoscale Discussion 1013 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1204 PM CDT Thu Jun 02 2022 Areas affected...Portions of the central Appalachians into the Mid-Atlantic Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 021704Z - 021900Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...The severe weather threat will increase through the afternoon with a threat for damaging winds and marginally severe hail. DISCUSSION...Temperatures have already warmed into the upper 80s to near 90 across much of Virginia and Maryland with slightly cooler temperatures across southern Pennsylvania where cloud cover is present. Modifying the IAD 12Z RAOB for current surface conditions shows MLCAPE around 750 J/kg which matches SPC mesoanalysis. Continued heating will lead to additional destabilization and MLCAPE around 1500-2000 J/kg by later this afternoon. A few storms have already started to develop over the higher terrain in eastern West Virginia, where the inhibition has been eroded and a mid-level shortwave trough is traversing the region. Eventually expect storms to move off of the higher terrain with additional development likely across Maryland, Virginia, and southern Pennsylvania as ascent moves east. The 12Z IAD RAOB showed 0-6km shear around 37 knots with at least some increasing mid-level flow forecast this afternoon. Therefore, shear should be sufficient for storm organization including the potential for some rotating updrafts. However, scattered to numerous storms are anticipated in the uncapped atmosphere this afternoon which could lead to colliding storms and a more clustered storm mode. A watch will likely be needed within the hour as more robust/better organized storms develop. ..Bentley/Guyer.. 06/02/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...RNK... LAT...LON 38127541 37747729 36997951 36798079 36978104 37298109 37738076 38047989 38297961 38887920 39537856 40597640 39547415 38107502 38127541
  14. My guess is what would be considered "Destructive" would be something like the 2012 Derecho.
  15. From Bethesda watching the rain curtains roll through.
  16. It was initially a really strong couplet from the DCA radar.
  17. Parents told me the SVR verified in Spotsy County. They looked to be a few miles NW of the circulation track as it crossed 208 by the courthouse so they couldn't tell me any verify for the TOR.
  18. Best is to expect nothing and to be surprised. I'm expecting no clearing until about 1 PM and only 2-3 hours of good heating leaving us with gusty showers and a pity blue box or MD.
  19. I get the feeling the cell in VA is going to be the best one of the day, everything looks meh.
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