mahk_webstah

A move towards the EC?

Truthfully, I am probably getting carried away with the potential upside.

Is the gfs on board?

Glad to see that has you in the yellow. Might suggest winter storm watches go up in the morning, if this continues and you are probably the eastern extent of that watch Fingers crossed

My brain probably would to put my heart in my gut are speaking Yiddish

The great thing about the stretch, and it could all shit the bed, is that it’s a scenario where we’re just getting colder and colder and colder as we get stormier so that by the time we get to the end of the month, we have a huge snow pack in northern New England, and a building one in southern New England. But I don’t think that blocking it’s just gonna run away too fast. Maybe the mid Atlantic starts to get in on things and we just have to deal with fringes and clippers for a while up here. But I love stretches where each time it snows, it gets colder, and we can enjoy it, instead of to fast, warm up and melt.

We all know

You knew it would come.

Trolls FTL finally?!?

Another one 29th? That should get the MidAtlantic if the 26th doesn't. Big party on the east coast.

Actually Wunderground is ramping up just now. 6.1 starting Thurs-Fri, and total of 15+ through 1/26. Has is snowing 7 or 8 days starting the 19th.

so we get the burst overnight Thursday but then it continues ivt all day Friday? Then the next one comes Sunday morn? Then big daddy for all of us on the 26th? How we hope.

with that kind of storm there are places where 10:1 would be quite underdone no?

I was telling Nick the same thing...but a man can hope. We are due for a run and maybe this is it.

You think we get through these 4 storms with mostly snow?

How can you look a the NAM 850 low on something that is for the 23rd? This isn't the thread for Thursday Friday storm.

maybe Thursday-Friday is the tipping point to a snowier regime. Fingers crossed! By the way, is that the ideal path for the 850 low for us?

this is the total for both storms? suggests the second one is mountains only in nh and vt.

but then you have upslope, nu?

Ridge bridge developing, and that is a good example of how west coast troffing is not a death knell, depending on how it is set up and what is happening at high lats and in the Atlantic. Let it be so.

Hmmm, I was thinking 4-8 so that might get to the warning criteria of 7. There are still caution flags, but that just might be me being gun-shy from this year. Glad to hear your enthusiasm, because one of my caution flags was the comment you made a few days ago as to how this could suddenly go far north. Looks like that isn't happening, so the question is advisory and warning, and how Ray does, and how Kevin feels about the whole thing given that he's SOP

I am in the process of making that happen. Yiddish is definitely NOT jibberish, and let's hope this storm isn't either. We might get a pack going and that will help us all, if indeed the next storm is the inflection point. Or maybe this one is. The guidance from both GYX, WPC, and my Wunderground (lol), has been solid for a moderate snowfall for at least 5 days. We have had the sudden swing to bad news that we have been getting on storms up to this point. That in itself would be an inflection.

sometimes swfe ramp up i the guidance, but then fall back to swfe climo. 4-8 across my area is my guess.

Embrace the diversity of America. Zaln mir ale zeyn tsufridn! And enjoy the thread while it lasts, because I think it might have a short shelf life, but hopefully not the storm.

Maybe the people of the book can help us with a pattern change? Which model do you believe? Can we keep hope alive? GYX says maybe a chance to +PNA, and a -NAO. But maybe not. Will Thursday be the start of something good? I say yes , trolls say NOPE, I say NOP. What say you? Will this thread curse us? Will it even get one reply? Oy!