mahk_webstah

a few weeks later, shorter wavelengths(?), a little luck this time perhaps.

I'm not a fan of those patterns that look epic for the Mid Atl and SNE. They tend to not work out here. I like swfe patterns and ones that occassionally bomb out miller b style. And patterns that produce clippers into really cold air. Sometimes we can do well on the "epic" patterns, but often not. That being said I'm not looking for a pattern that dumps all the cold and energy into the west.

glad we don't live there.

not epic but could be workable up here. seems there will be scooter highs to the north.

With the exception of losing a really warm day (which is always nice) GYX is optimistic re the return of winter. Ya wonder how much that Thursday low will bring. But either way, there should be a frozen coating for snow to begin to lie on at some point in the not too distant future post Friday. For the temperature and resultant precipitation forecast, primarily colder guidance, especially the high res NAM was used. There is still likely some room to bring temperatures down further in future forecast packages for Tuesday as all of the guidance trends in the cool direction. Outside of the mountain valleys it`s unlikely that any areas would stay below freezing for more than a few hours once the precip begins, but temps are likely to sit between 33-36 degrees much of the day afterwards, with the highs for the day likely occuring in the late afternoon and evening hours. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Based on a multi model consensus it appears like winter returns to much of the forecast area as cold air sags southward out of Canada and allows for overrunning precipitation from time to time Tuesday night into Friday. While temperatures warm appreciable aloft Tuesday night (up to +11c at 850MB in the southern zones), weak SFC low pressure looks to form in the Gulf of Maine as well which should keep any sort of warm front from zooming northward through our forecast area. While highs around 60 are still possible for southern NH on Wednesday, the rest of the region should see highs falling into the 40s and 30s as cold air bleeds in from the north as per many of the 00z deterministic models. Have blended several of these models in with the NBM which I believe is still too warm for Wednesday. With overrunning precipitation expected on Wednesday and cold air undercutting the warm air aloft, we should see some frozen or freezing precipitation falling in the mountains by the end of the day with some freezing rain accretion likely. The forcing for ascent wanes Wednesday night but warm and moist SW flow above a cooling boundary layer should still offer light precipitation, a mix of snow and freezing rain as far south as portions of central NH and southernmost ME by 12z Thursday. Therefore a slippery morning commute Thursday is quite possible. Light frozen or freezing precipitation continues Thursday as another low pressure system develops just off the coast with cold air now firmly entrenched at the SFC most areas of the forecast area.

It’s funny to read your last three posts given the ones from others right before them.

Some of this needs to go to the panic thread, not be in the pattern thread.

We teeter. I kind of like teetering, because like you, I have enjoyed this recent weather. My hope is that we teeter for a while, but the winter slowly bleeds back in and gets deeper and deeper, and stays here for about six weeks, much better than the radical ups and down in my opinion.

Enjoy this. Be present to it. It’s the only sure thing.

A few years ago I chatted with him a bit in messaging and he was a good guy. That is why, not his critiques or meteorological assertions bothered me, but his personal attacks against Mets, particularly when they have been right so much more often than he. That why a genuine apology is warranted in my view.

No because he went after people telling them they suck at what they do. It was personal. It was weird I thought.

Would be different if he’d genuinely apologize.

I can’t believe we have a panic room thread in the New England forum. We don’t do panic here; it’s an insult. How can we sink so low? This is for other regions. Put on thy big girl knickers and carry on!

nothing worse. Good luck, it'll pass.

I prefer is gradual rather than a full on snap back. We would get more winter that way

No she’s not. She’s just going into the fridge.

I'm married but maybe you could?

When scooter say go then it snow

Scooter higH

Even in Philly, some of the big storms slammed just SE of men with epicosity. I remember the disappointment watching heavy snow in South Jersey on the Philly network tv shows.

I just buy the tomato seedlings...they are so cheap for a 6-pack. But it is fun to grow them start to finish, tedious though it is.

Yeah actually I think it will snow here by Jan 10 and then with some frequency just after. I go to Krakow 2nd week of January and expect to see snow on the ground upon my return the night of Jan 11. Unfortunately the weather in Krakow isn't forecast to be that cold while I'm there.

do you have a greenhouse? tomato seeds in February for some early tomatoes, then in March for the August ones.

exactly. it is important to live in the moment, not in the unknowable future. we have literally no control over it anyhow. when I let go of obsessing about it I enjoy each day more and then really appreciate when the snows come.

Troll on a roll