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Terpeast

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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Concur
  2. Terpeast
    We should probably root for a stronger cutter that occludes up in canada
  3. Terpeast
    I don’t love the miller B look, which makes it possible for NW of DC to miss both upcoming threats. I’d be pissed if it happened
  4. Terpeast
    At least we stopped the bleeding
  5. Terpeast
    Now we just need the Euro to nudge NW even just a little bit
  6. Terpeast
    Only a day earlier. Starts on 1/19
  7. Terpeast
    Yeah, so the PNA ridge on the GFS is not the problem, it's the orientation of the TPV and how it interacts with the s/w. That's going to be key, and the TPV is kinda all over the place at this range
  8. Terpeast
    CMC definitely trended SE, as has the GFS. Let's hope this is the compromise that the Euro gets to
  9. Terpeast
    Another 2-4er on the GFS
  10. Terpeast
    deamplified PNA, pos tilt, dry surface
  11. Terpeast
    it's early, but I think it's a hold
  12. Terpeast
    TPV bit stronger and a touch further north
  13. Terpeast
    Looks similar to yesterday's 18z
  14. Terpeast
    At 57, TPV is further northwest Out west s/w similar, maybe a touch deeper/sharper
  15. Terpeast
    looks like a 2-4er to me
  16. Terpeast
    I bought some extra strength high-ABV craft brews for the weekend... to either celebrate, or to comfort myself.
  17. Terpeast
    In this case, yes.
  18. Terpeast
    Checked LWX AFD this morning... they are being careful
  19. Terpeast
    Yeah, I noticed the Canadian had it, as did previous Euro runs when they had the storm closer in. It's probably something else.
  20. Terpeast
    Still odd, because in that run, the TPV phases somewhat with the trailing piece, but in a previous 12z run yesterday they didn't phase as I pointed out - still same result. Either way, I think there's some error here. But I'm still worried that other guidance is missing that trailing piece or its strength. I just hope that Euro's bias in hanging too much energy in that trailing piece is at work.
  21. Terpeast
    This isn't the first time that Euro was out on its own too far SE and then corrected in 2 runs. Let's hope this precedent continues here. https://x.com/lockingitin/status/1357391753909850112?s=20
  22. Terpeast
    Ok thought it was too early for the 6z ens. I’m discounting the outliers on both sides (cmc on one, euro on the other). I still think the op Euro is too suppressed at least for now. Things may change once the cutter gets out of here.
  23. Terpeast
    Are you saying the euro caved? Huge if true
  24. Terpeast
    That took more than 9 days! Like way more lol
  25. Terpeast
    Looks to me as the spread is showing a potentially slower system with more stragglers behind the main group
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