Terpeast

I like that clustering off the NC coast

Not much. You’ve been all over this for a week now. It’s something to track for now

He’s got zero credibility at this point. Just like JB always calling for cold, and warminstas cherry-picking torch patterns.

77.5 for the high. Took advantage by going out for a run

High of 78 imby, still time

Making a run for 80, wow this is insane. 75 now

Feel better. I just had a bout of covid but luckily it wasn't a hard hitter like my first time.

Both storms look weird. Straight down from north and then back up the coast. Not sure I've seen an evolution like that and it actually resulting in snow for us

For what dates?

Low of 55, now 65/64 Looks like 70 is in play

Phase 7 in ninos is when KUs start as a wave in the pacific. FWIW

All because some woman was upset she missed her stop and attacked the driver. Initial reports indicated that the bus had swerved to avoid an oncoming vehicle; however, footage recovered from the bus shows that a female passenger had attacked the driver, who retaliated.[2] Local police have said the fight was the cause of the crash. Police said in a statement that the pair began arguing when the driver refused to let her off the bus after she missed her stop. The footage shows the pair gesturing at each other before the woman hits the driver in the face with her mobile phone.[1][3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Chongqing_bus_crash Savage.

Yep, I was here visiting my mom for Jan 2016. But I didn't post much here because I was going through some personal stuff (a divorce) I did enjoy the storm, we got about 30"

Agree. Droolworthy. If this H5 anomaly map verifies for a full month, and we don't get a HECS - or at minimum - a top 10 KU, I would be disappointed. Very disappointed.

El Nino

STJ going wild

Agreed. That map Ji posted looks like 2022-23. I wasn’t joking about planning a trip out west.

Time to plan a ski trip to Whistler then

Yep, when I predicted 20-40” for our sub, I gave DCA a “siting penalty” of -30% which comes to roughly 14-28”. Too bad

47, fog. Snow cover is gone. That was a good 10 days of snow pack.

Well, don’t look now but 6z op shows 3 hits down underneath into NC. Right where we want it? Btw I’m not worried about lack of snow on the means on the weeklies. It’s just not something to take seriously until discrete threats show up in range.

This can easily support snow if it’s falling at night and the 850 low passes south of us. Let’s give it a few more cycles, and if euro and gfs continue this trend and bring colder air in a bit earlier & souther, we can start honking. Still too early to think of this beyond anything more than snow TV

On the gfs the 850 low was over W PA 2 runs ago, and now its overhead if not a bit south of us. Still skeptical, and need other model support. Could be gfs moving closer to euro/cmc, but the latter two are still a bit too warm. Best case scenario for us is mostly rain and ending as snow with a coating. But we shall watch and see.

Many areas got whacked. Likely gone by tomorrow afternoon

H5 looks great. Near perfect. But what matters is what we have at the surface. How cold does it get, not just when it's dry, but when it's precipitating. Do we get a good high to the north when we get an incoming wave? Where does the r/s line lie? Those details obviously can't be resolved this far out, and I'd be highly skeptical of snow maps at 3 weeks out. Take last week for example - 3 weeks or even 1 week prior, snow maps barely showed an inch and we ended up getting ~10 in one week! I don't remember seeing a snow map like that on the weeklies that far out. If anything, they were further north across PA into SNE, even up until 2 days before the second wave, and then it dunked south at the last possible minute.