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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Wow, bullish. I was thinking 1-2” locally 3”
  2. Terpeast
    Yeah, I think those areas will be the winners, at least in agreement from the two groups of modeling. Personally, I’m not sure what to root for. The more amped NW group where I get more, but with potential ptype issues along and SE of 95… or the colder solutions with a central VA jack. Leaning towards the latter because I love cold smoke snows even if I get less. A compromise between the two would be perfect.
  3. Terpeast
    Some models say tomorrow midday, others delay it until tomorrow evening. Hard to say, depends on where that narrow band aims and when the column gets saturated enough
  4. Terpeast
    Looks like two groups of models, one has more snow NW of the fall line, the other has more SE. Gonna be interesting, and I hope everyone wins.
  5. Terpeast
    Snow shower stopped here in Vienna
  6. Terpeast
    I’m at my mom’s house in Vienna. Light snow and windy.
  7. Terpeast
    Flurries in vienna/fairfax
  8. Terpeast
    Better than a dusting eh? Looks like I missed this. Not sure its going to quite make it to i-66
  9. Terpeast
    43 in vienna, dark clouds moving in from the NW. looks like summer tstorms I’m sure my house in ashburn has a dusting by now
  10. Terpeast
    Went to Vienna today. Might snow in Ashburn and not here. Lol
  11. Terpeast
    At least the HRRR doesn’t show that 925 warm layer. For now. Either the Nam is onto something or it’s too warm
  12. Terpeast
    Well, that’s a new and surprising development with this system. Maybe I should not be so surprised
  13. Terpeast
    Hrrr doesn’t get the squall line far enough south for the dc metro, but radar looks better. Can see the mountains eating it up south of 50
  14. Terpeast
    I think someone pointed out (maybe it was you?) that EPS has been doing much better in the long range than gefs this winter.
  15. Terpeast
    24 low
  16. Terpeast
    Agree, the jack might be just NW/NE of Balt. My area will be cold enough but maybe too far W to jack. Still seems good for 1-3” if the models are right
  17. Terpeast
    Looks maybe as if the warm up will be brief.
  18. Terpeast
    Did they feed PSU’s drawings into the Gfs as input? Hmmm
  19. Terpeast
    Just a slightly deeper dig, and this has nuke potential
  20. Terpeast
    Digging a little more… i’m interested
  21. Terpeast
    TPV is way east, more into 50/50. Might help
  22. Terpeast
    Maybe not. Because 12z held a lot of energy back behind the vort which may have allowed it to dig. I don’t see it on 18z or this run
  23. Terpeast
    And TPV slightly east
  24. Terpeast
    It’s a hold, or even slightly better.
  25. Terpeast
    Maybe things’ve changed now, but when I was growing up here in Vienna, I would always hear about the “far N & W” suburbs like winchester getting a ton more snow. They were killing it and I was jealous.
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