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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. Establish the cold. The snow will come. Pessimism on Thanksgiving doesn't play. So keep your MJO and JMO's and SST's and weak La Nina signals and analogs. Be thankful for this sick hobby that has afflicted you.
  2. if the cold establishes as advertised that's most likely a worst case scenario.
  3. I've always liked the NAM in this range. It just sorts stinks when it's D-Day.
  4. LOT going down with the ship: POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR A WINTER STORM IN THE VICINITY OF THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO RIVER VALLEY DURING THE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY TIMEFRAME.
  5. LOT tosses a bone, and laughs at the model worshipers: " POTENTIAL FOR TRAVEL IMPACTS IN THE REGION FROM ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE TUESDAY NIGHT TO THANKSGIVING DAY PERIOD APPEARS TO BE INCREASING. " been a few years since there was a trackable event potential around the Thanksgiving holiday and real cold to follow.
  6. Quick model analysis says euro makes the most sense from a what's good for my back yard perspective.
  7. https://x.com/nilwxreports/status/1859741033296429412 no clue on the validity, but it sound good.
  8. Agreed. Unfortunately, recency bias about December gives me the shakes and nightmares about a slew of stat posts by the Climate Changer.
  9. in 24 hours we've gone from a spread the wealth possible T-Day Midwest/ OV event to hoping for the long rumored clipper pattern prayer? At least it's not February.
  10. appears to be the real deal for a mid-late November event
  11. I'm not talking about those fake coating on the pumpkin events that stat geeks count I'm talking about,: "Over the river and through the woods, To grandmother's house we go; The horse knows the way to carry the sleigh, Through (the) white and drifted snow!" Obvious exaggeration given what's on the table. But a traditional mid-late November solid covering is right on time and good to see the week before Thanksgiving.
  12. Going to put to bed the "latest first measurable snow on record" record to bed early this year. Good.
  13. First mention of snow in the forecast for the season. The lifelong addiction continues.
  14. my guess is southeast Colorado and North New Mexico is already a bust.
  15. Thank goodness for lake effect rain. Who knew?
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