Baum

i miss my good friend https://x.com/landofthe80s/status/1864466792007258528

how the mighty have fallen: "WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN SOME DUSTINGS AND SLICK TRAVEL" Should note the AFD for this was quite detailed and impressive.

The annual Christmas torch is on the table. I've decided to get the Climate Changer a gift this year. Suggestions?

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF EDWARDSVILLE, ALTON, CENTRALIA, SAINT CHARLES, SAINT LOUIS, SALEM, LITCHFIELD, CAHOKIA, VANDALIA, AND BELLEVILLE 311 AM CST SAT NOV 30 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST THIS EVENING... * WHAT...SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 2 AND 5 INCHES. * WHERE...PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI. * WHEN...FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CST THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

BAM. https://x.com/bamwxcom/status/1862114711757639953 wanted to beat Spartman to it.

It's going to be okay. We're due. Enjoy your Thanksgiving. Be Thankful for what you have.

Establish the cold. The snow will come. Pessimism on Thanksgiving doesn't play. So keep your MJO and JMO's and SST's and weak La Nina signals and analogs. Be thankful for this sick hobby that has afflicted you.

if the cold establishes as advertised that's most likely a worst case scenario.

baby steps....

what's the 18Z NAM show?

I've always liked the NAM in this range. It just sorts stinks when it's D-Day.

LOT going down with the ship: POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR A WINTER STORM IN THE VICINITY OF THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO RIVER VALLEY DURING THE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY TIMEFRAME.

it was a good run

LOT tosses a bone, and laughs at the model worshipers: " POTENTIAL FOR TRAVEL IMPACTS IN THE REGION FROM ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE TUESDAY NIGHT TO THANKSGIVING DAY PERIOD APPEARS TO BE INCREASING. " been a few years since there was a trackable event potential around the Thanksgiving holiday and real cold to follow.

if you're sad in November. Quit now.

book it.

Quick model analysis says euro makes the most sense from a what's good for my back yard perspective.

https://x.com/nilwxreports/status/1859741033296429412 no clue on the validity, but it sound good.

Agreed. Unfortunately, recency bias about December gives me the shakes and nightmares about a slew of stat posts by the Climate Changer.

in 24 hours we've gone from a spread the wealth possible T-Day Midwest/ OV event to hoping for the long rumored clipper pattern prayer? At least it's not February.

appears to be the real deal for a mid-late November event

I'm not talking about those fake coating on the pumpkin events that stat geeks count I'm talking about,: "Over the river and through the woods, To grandmother's house we go; The horse knows the way to carry the sleigh, Through (the) white and drifted snow!" Obvious exaggeration given what's on the table. But a traditional mid-late November solid covering is right on time and good to see the week before Thanksgiving.

Going to put to bed the "latest first measurable snow on record" record to bed early this year. Good.