Baum

how much you get overnight?

long duration couple of inches looking more likely...if lucky.

relying on the ukmet might not have been a winning strategy...in retrospect.

Fair assessment by LOT: WHILE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS STILL VERY LOW FOR HOW THINGS WILL EVOLVE SATURDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY, A FORECAST SOLUTION THAT APPEARED TO GARNER AN INCREASED AMOUNT OF SUPPORT AMONGST THE BROADER 00Z GUIDANCE SUITE IS ONE THAT INCLUDES A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING EARLIER AND DEEPENING AS IT TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD SOMEWHERE NEAR OR NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. IF A MORE "WOUND-UP" SOLUTION LIKE THIS WERE TO VERIFY, THEN A SWATH OF HEAVIER SNOWFALL COULD AFFECT A PORTION OF OUR FORECAST AREA, THOUGH THE LOCATION OF WHERE THIS HEAVIER SNOW OCCURS VARIES CONSIDERABLY AMONGST THE MODEL SOLUTIONS THAT HAVE IT. BUT AGAIN, THE COMPLEXITY OF THIS WEEKEND'S WEATHER PATTERN IS LEADING TO A GREATER DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY FOR OUR PRECIPITATION FORECAST THAN USUAL FOR A FORECAST THAT IS ONLY 24-48 HOURS OUT, AND GIVEN THE SHEER NUMBER OF POTENTIAL FAILURE MODES THAT EXIST FOR THIS HIGHER-END SNOWFALL OUTCOME, WOULD LIKE TO SEE SOME MORE CONSISTENT SUPPORT FOR THIS PARTICULAR SOLUTION BEFORE MESSAGING IT MORE PROMINENTLY.

4 am tomorrow he'll be the dream crusher. I've lived it.

or rumors of storms.

it'll happen when you least expect it.

as they say, frosting on a turd.

ban.

Imagine living through this alone. Thank goodness, for the creation of weather forums.

Saved. Snowblower wouldn't start. Stale gas from last time i used in it in 2015. I blame myself.

nowcast time

on a positive note, it's snowing in my backyard.

there's always this weekend's event. I'll see in that thread, shortly.

downstream radar spells the kiss of death. Nowcasting at it's finest.

it was nice having you around.

been along time since we've had a storm ratched up less than 24 hours inbound,

standard 4-8" event trending more towards 4-6". Hopefully, it holds.

uh-oh

yeah.that one last year was a bit deceptive as I recall. Got thumped the by warm air wing and screwed on the defo band as temps rose above freezing. Been a while since we've had a straight on solid wall to wall snow event . Time will tell.

when was the last 6" event at ORD? 8"?

I'm due.

The Climate Changer

we have some people that aren't going to make it to S-day.